ilmscore | BREAKING NEWS: A Change to the PDT Rule?!?

Predictions from this Video

Total: 15
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 15
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Should the PDT rule minimum be reduced, brokers are likely to introduce their own higher minimum account requirements to grant 4x leverage, with these minimums potentially differing among brokers.
"But I think that most likely brokers will step in and if this rule change takes effect, they will say that in order to have four times leverage, you need a a new, you know, minimum. And maybe that minimum will be different from broker to broker."
Brokerage policies (leverage requirements)
Pending
The proposed PDT rule change, allowing $2,000 accounts for unlimited day trading, is expected to be fully implemented and available within 8 months to a year from the video's publication date (July 2025).
"best case scenario, we're probably 8 months to a year away from seeing this come into production where you could fund an account with $2,000 and day trade as much as you want."
Regulatory change implementation (PDT rule)
Pending
A reduction in the pattern day trader rule's minimum balance will significantly increase the number of retail traders entering the US equities market.
"If all of a sudden the barrier to entry is that much lower, there's going to be a lot more people that come into the market."
Market participation (retail traders)
Pending
The US equities market is expected to experience increased trading volume, driven by new retail traders.
"And what we're likely going to see is increased volume in the market."
Market volume (US equities)
Pending
A rise in trading volume from retail traders will likely lead to increased volatility in lower-priced stocks.
"Increased volume most likely among retail traders is also going to increase volatility among lower price stocks."
Market volatility (lower price stocks)
Pending
The proposed pattern day trader (PDT) rule change will fundamentally transform day trading in the US equities market.
"And if this change takes effect, it's going to completely change the game when it comes to day trading the US equities market."
Day Trading Rules
Pending
Approximately one year from the video's publication (around July 2026), the markets may experience a significant surge in momentum.
"we may see a year from now a big surge of momentum in the markets"
Market momentum (US equities)
Pending
Most retail trading brokers are expected to introduce a new, higher minimum account balance requirement to qualify for 4x leverage, even if the general PDT rule is lowered to $2,000.
"I suspect that most retail trading brokers would probably choose a line there because if you have a trade like this that so quickly goes against you, you would be in the red before the broker could even step in and and intervene. ... they will say that in order to have four times leverage, you need a a new, you know, minimum."
Broker Leverage Rules
Pending
The proposed PDT rule change is expected to be reviewed in Fall 2025, approved, and then forwarded to the SEC for a final implementation decision.
"So, best case scenario for this proposed rule change is that it gets reviewed in the fall, gets approved, and then goes to the SEC for them to decide whether or not it's going to be implemented."
Regulatory Approval Process
Pending
Full implementation of the new PDT rule, allowing $2,000 accounts for unlimited day trading, is projected to be 8 months to a year away from July 2025 (i.e., March 2026 to July 2026).
"we're probably 8 months to a year away from seeing this come into production where you could fund an account with $2,000 and day trade as much as you want."
Day Trading Rules Implementation
Pending
A significant reduction in the barrier to entry for day trading will lead to a substantial increase in the number of new participants entering the market.
"If all of a sudden the barrier to entry is that much lower, there's going to be a lot more people that come into the market."
Retail Trading Market Growth
Pending
Increased market participation and trading activity resulting from the rule change will generate significantly more revenue for broker-dealers.
"what that's going to mean is a lot more money for broker dealers because they make money on every trade you take."
Broker Dealer Revenue
Pending
The market is expected to experience an increase in overall trading volume.
"what we're likely going to see is increased volume in the market."
Market Volume
Pending
Higher trading volume, particularly from retail traders, is predicted to increase volatility, especially among lower-priced stocks.
"Increased volume most likely among retail traders is also going to increase volatility among lower price stocks."
Stock Volatility
Pending
A substantial surge of momentum in the broader markets is anticipated approximately one year from July 2025 (i.e., by July 2026).
"we may see a year from now a big surge of momentum in the markets"
Market Momentum
Pending