Bitcoin Price: What Comes Next into Fall 2025? | Quant Expert
Published: 2025-04-20
Status:
Analyzed
Published: 2025-04-20
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin's bull market integrity will be maintained if its weekly close stays above $73k or if wicks stay above $69k (2021 high).
"I would say that confidence exists as long as Bitcoin basically stays above the 2024 high. Okay. So, which is 69 or sorry, uh 73K on on a on a weekly close. And I I think it could go as low as 69K the 2021 high, right? I think it could go as low as 69K on a wick and the integrity of the bull market is still maintained, right?"
Pending
If Bitcoin enters a left-translated cycle (dropping below current support), it will drop to the low $60s, then experience a large bounce to a macro lower high, offering a selling opportunity in Q3 2025.
"If it's a left translated cycle, what you would expect is a drop down here. If it drops down there, I don't think you should panic sell. I think you would get a large bounce, a macro lower high that you would you could probably sell into in the third quarter of the year."
Pending
In a worst-case, left-translated cycle scenario, the S&P 500 could drop 30-50%.
"I would say, you know, it's possible that the stock market could drop 30 or 40%. We already saw the stock market drop or it's even possible the stock market could drop 50, right? And in a really bad outcome."
Pending
In Bitcoin's worst-case (left-translated cycle), it will face rejection, drop, bounce around August 2025, then decline into 2026 to find support at 2023 price levels.
"my my guess is that, you know, if basically if if um if it's left translated and sort of the worst case scenario does play out for Bitcoin, it would look something like this, right? Where it it just gets rejected here, uh eventually it comes back down here, tags that trend line, gets a big bounce maybe into August or something. Um and then just comes back down and then sort of goes down like that into 2026. My guess is it would try to find support like somewhere in this range potentially where it was in in 2023 and then we just build a base hopefully from from that level."
Pending
Bitcoin is expected to experience one more drop before establishing a higher low and then rallying (post-mid-April 2025).
"I I kind of would still expect potentially one more uh drop before, you know, maybe putting in a higher low, right? So, you had your low here, maybe put in a higher low and then and then go back up."
Pending
If the money supply correlation fails, Bitcoin could see a lower low in May 2025, possibly triggered by a poor unemployment report.
"if the money if the liquidity if the money supply correlation breaks down and then we have to start looking at this and we go to a lower low in say like May or something, maybe we get like a bad unemployment rate print or something, right? I don't know."
Pending
If Bitcoin is in a right-translated cycle, it is expected to reach at least $170,000 (0.8 risk level).
"So if it's right translated you would probably expect it to go up to around 08 risk at the very least."
Pending
Bitcoin will eventually reach $300,000, but not in the current cycle, more likely in the next cycle (2028-2029) or the one after.
"I mean the reality is eventually I think Bitcoin's going to go to 300k. I don't think it's going to do it this cycle but it it certainly could do it you know next cycle or maybe the cycle after that depending on on if there is a recession or not."
Pending
The ETH/BTC ratio will bottom when Jerome Powell eases Quantitative Tightening (QT).
"if and when he does that's probably when ETH Bitcoin bottoms out against Bitcoin or sorry that's where ETH bottoms out against Bitcoin."
Pending
Ethereum (USD) may go lower into its regression band, potentially hitting $1000-$1200 as one more lower low, but will then bounce and rally, possibly reaching a new all-time high as a 'pre-recession rally'.
"my guess is that uh it will look it still could go lower, right? It could go lower into the regression band like it has previously, but my guess is it will get a bounce before too long. ... The only thing is if it if the entire pattern completes, then you might get one more lower low at the lower part of the regression trend line around,00 or,200. ... I have hopes that Ethereum will bounce somewhere in this range and it will get this rally right it'll get that rally and then from there it's not impossible for it to go to an all-time high in that in that scenario right like I I think you get your sort of your your pre-recession rally if you want to call it that."
Pending
Cardano (against Bitcoin) is predicted to continue bleeding until late October 2025, unless the Fed changes monetary policy.
"I'm kind of thinking right now that ADA is going to bleed against Bitcoin until probably late October."
Pending
Cardano (against Bitcoin) is expected to rally around November 2025.
"and then and then maybe it'll get another rally against Bitcoin come like November time frame."
Pending
Bitcoin dominance is expected to increase.
"I think Bitcoin dominance is going to go up."
Pending