If Bitcoin experiences weekly closes below its 50-week moving average during Q4 2025 (the post-halving year's fourth quarter), the current bull cycle is predicted to be over, preventing further significant rallies.
"I think because it's the fourth quarter of the posth having year, if we think we have a shot clock and we think that the cycle is going to end in this quarter, then if you start getting weekly closes below the 50we moving average, I just don't know that we're going to have enough time to like really repair that and then go into another rally. Because if you look at all prior cycles, the cycle was over after you had weekly closes below the 50we moving average, right? Like that was kind of a a hallmark sign that hey the cycle is over."