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Predictions from this Video

Total: 7
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 7
Prediction
Topic
Status
Markets will not fully recover until both the US-China trade negotiations are settled and the Federal Reserve clarifies its stance on interest rate cuts.
"as long as there's an ongoing negotiation and nothing is settled then you can't expect markets to fully recover... So until we figure out a solution to these two problems (trade war and interest rate cuts), I do not believe that markets will have the environment nor condition to fully recover."
Market Recovery
Pending
If the Federal Reserve does not start cutting interest rates soon (from April 2025), the US government will refinance its $7 trillion debt in 2025 at a much higher rate.
"the seven trillion dollars that the US has the ability to refinance in 2025. So they want rates low and if Jerome Pal doesn't start cutting interest rates soon, they're going to have to refinance and they're going to have to refinance at a much higher rate."
US Debt Refinancing
Pending
The US national debt, currently $36 trillion, will continue to grow.
"the debt of $36 trillion that we're in debt is only going to continue to pile and pile and grow and grow."
US National Debt
Pending
If there is any increase in the 2025 CPI report for June or July, inflation will rise, moving further away from the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
"in the month of June or July, if I'm not mistaken, based off of 2024's performance, there was no increase. So, if there's any increase in 2025's inflation report, that would actually cause inflation to go up, pushing us further away from the 2% target that the Federal Reserve has."
Inflation (CPI)
Pending
If the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates soon, the US will have to refinance $7 trillion in 2025 at a much higher rate.
"the seven trillion dollars that the US has the ability to refinance in 2025. So they want rates low and if Jerome Pal doesn't start cutting interest rates soon, they're going to have to refinance and they're going to have to refinance at a much higher rate."
US Debt Refinancing
Pending
Markets will not fully recover until the US-China trade war is resolved and the Federal Reserve begins cutting interest rates.
"So until we figure out a solution to these three uh two three problems, I do not believe that markets will have the environment nor condition to fully recover."
Market Recovery
Pending
An increase in the US inflation report for June or July 2025, relative to 2024's performance, will cause inflation to rise and move further from the 2% target.
"in the month of June or July, if I'm not mistaken, based off of 2024's performance, there was no increase. So, if there's any increase in 2025's inflation report, that would actually cause inflation to go up, pushing us further away from the 2% target that the Federal Reserve has."
Inflation
Pending