ilmscore | How Bitcoin Could Hit $250K By December! [Arthur Hayes]

How Bitcoin Could Hit $250K By December! [Arthur Hayes]

Published: 2025-04-04
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 9
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 8
Pending: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Increased dollar liquidity from Fed buying treasuries will flow into crypto, leading to very good performance for Bitcoin and the crypto ecosystem in Fiat terms.
"at the end of the day the amount of dollars will increase to buy treasury bonds and that will flow in its way into crypto and I believe Bitcoin and the crypto ecosystem will do very very well in Fiat terms"
BTC
Incorrect
Bitcoin's correlation with NASDAQ will eventually weaken, and it will perform more like gold.
"I think Bitcoin is going to perform more like gold but it's going to take a while for the market to sort of ditch this um correlation between the NASDAQ and and Bitcoin"
BTC
Incorrect
Bitcoin (BTC) will experience a choppy to down April (2025), testing the $76,500 level but likely holding above it.
"I think it's going to be very choppy uh a choppy to down uh month obviously I hope the 76500 holds I think it will but I think we're going to come close to uh to testing that"
BTC
Incorrect
Bitcoin dominance will continue to rise; once Bitcoin reaches $110,000-$120,000, altcoins will begin to 'fire,' leading to a rotation of capital from Bitcoin into altcoins.
"most of what we're buying is Bitcoin I think Bitcoin dominance um that is the percentage of Bitcoin in the whole cryptocurrency Market continues to rise and then at some point know let's say bitcoin's 110 120,000 or some level then alt coins will start to to get to Fire and then we'll start rotate out of that and into some things that we really like"
BTC
Incorrect
Ethereum (ETH) is predicted to outperform Solana (SOL) in the current cycle due to its current 'hated' status, which suggests mean reversion.
"if I had to deploy a fresh you know dollar of capital today I'd buy eth rather than salana just because E's more hated than salana"
ETH, SOL
Incorrect
The memecoin fad will slow down for a while, leading to less activity on Solana and hurting its ability to outperform other L1s in this cycle.
"The mcoin Fad I think is going to be done for a while...a lot of retail people lost a lot of money and they're not going to be you know slinging stuff on pumped out fun and creating transaction fees for salana as much as they used to so I think that narrative around salana being the mecoin uh L1 that's going to hurt its ability to you know really outpace other l1s in in this cycle"
SOL
Incorrect
By December 2025, money will be gushing globally due to US policy and other countries' responses to bring prosperity before the 2026 elections.
"the money is going to start gushing and obviously you're going to have a response from the rest of the world to their populaces saying I'm going to protect you from America let's print some more money and bring Prosperity here"
Global Monetary Policy
Incorrect
Jerome Powell will use recession fears as a justification to cut rates, stop Quantitative Tightening (QT), and start Quantitative Easing (QE).
"if there's this this media Friendzy about recession recession recession then Paul can stand up there at the podium at the the next press conference and say oh I'm afraid of a recession therefore I preventively have cut rates and stop QT start a QE all these different things"
US Monetary Policy
Incorrect
While some memecoins will perform well in the next market leg up, the widespread 'everyone trying to make a 100 million dollar market cap' game will rotate to other areas, indicating a less pervasive memecoin frenzy than before.
"will there be mem coin that do very very well in the next leg up absolutely but will there be sort of the plethora of you know everyone trying to take a a million million dollar mcoin to100 million dollar market cap I think that sort of game is going to rotate to something else"
Memecoins
Correct