Published: 2025-04-25
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin is predicted to retest its 50-day moving average (estimated at 84K-85K) within the next two to three months, potentially by July 2025.
"So I would say there's a good chance you're going to see Bitcoin retest that 50-day moving average at the very least, right? Sometime, you know, within the next, I would say, two to three months. And it could be, it could be as late as July, right?"
Pending
If Bitcoin fails to hold its 50-day moving average and retests its 2024 lows at any point in 2025, the current cycle will not reach new all-time highs until the next cycle.
"If it does not hold the 50-day, then it's likely going to go to a lower low, right? And if Bitcoin, right, if Bitcoin comes back down to this level at any point this year, then I would, I would operate deterministically and say the cycle, you know, that's it, right there. It's not going to go to new all-time highs until, like, say, the next cycle, right?"
Pending
The Solana (SOL) / Bitcoin (BTC) pair is predicted to eventually drop to new lows, following a stochastic process similar to the ETH/BTC pair's past performance.
"But that is my view on Sol-Bitcoin. I do think it will eventually come back down here, but it's going to be a stochastic process to get there."
Pending
Bitcoin's price is predicted to correlate with the stock market (risk-on asset behavior) for future gains, rather than gold (risk-off asset behavior).
"I think if Bitcoin's going to go higher, it's going to be because the stock market's going higher, not because gold's going higher."
Pending
The Fed is predicted to end Quantitative Tightening (QT) in the summer of 2025, specifically suggesting May, June, or July.
"There's a chance they could end it this summer, right? There's a chance they can end it this summer. I don't know if they're going to do it at the May meeting or not. But, you know, given what I know right now, then I would say potentially this summer. ... if you made me guess as to when, I would probably say it will be May, June, or July, right? I don't know exactly when, but I would guess May, June, or July."
Pending
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is expected to rally back up to its 21-week EMA sometime in Q2 2025.
"I think the dollar at some point soon, you know, sometime probably in the second quarter, will likely get a rally back up to its 21-week EMA. Like, I think it's going to come back up here. And when that happens, net liquidity will get drained some."
Pending
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is predicted to decline into late 2025, followed by an increase in 2026.
"And then from there, I do think the dollar will probably go down into late 2025 before then probably going back up in 2026."
Pending
Bitcoin dominance is predicted to reach a short-term target of around 66%.
"And that next level at this point is right around 66%. So I'm thinking around 66% is a good short-term target."
Pending
The combined dominance of Bitcoin, USDT, and USDC will top out between 74% and 75%, similar to the previous cycle's peak.
"Last cycle, this metric topped at 75%, or 74, between 74 and 75%, right? That is when the Fed ended quantitative tightening, and right now we're between 71 and 72%. So if, I mean, if this thing just goes a little bit higher, it's going to be at the same level that it essentially topped out at last cycle."
Pending
Altcoins (excluding Ethereum) are predicted to underperform Ethereum over the coming years, as indicated by their ratio chart coming down.
"So my guess is that this chart will actually start to come back down over the coming years. That is my guess."
Pending
Gold is predicted to experience a correction sometime soon.
"So I do think it's going to get a correction sometime soon, but when it does, I would be a buyer of that drop."
Pending
The year 2026 is predicted to be a bear market year for crypto, aligning with historical patterns during midterm election years.
"It is hard not to be deterministic and just assume that 2026 is going to be a bad year for crypto, right? Like, the midterm year. So the longer we go without putting in a new all-time high, I feel like the closer we're going to get to that midterm year where basically a lot of people, and you know, I mean, it is, just every one of them's been a bear market so far. And I do not know why this time would be any different."
Pending