ilmscore | All Season Portfolio Strategy for Long-Term Stock Market Success !! #Face2Face with Aniruddha Sarkar

Predictions from this Video

Total: 24
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 24
Prediction
Topic
Status
RBI predicted to cut interest rates within the next quarter (Jan-Mar 2025).
"RBI also could be cutting rates in the next one quarter."
Indian Interest Rates
Pending
The Ukraine war is predicted to end following Donald Trump's return to power (assumed January 2025).
"I think now with Mr Trump coming even that seems that definitely Ukraine war will come to an end."
Geopolitics
Pending
Indian corporate earnings for the second half of 2025 (Q3 and Q4 2025) are predicted to be very good.
"90% of them are bullish that the second half of this year will be very good a third quarter will definitely be good because of the festive season wedding season fourth quarter will also be good."
Indian Corporate Earnings
Pending
Q1 FY26 (April-June 2025) and Q2 FY26 (July-September 2025) earnings are predicted to be excellent compared to the same quarters in the previous year, driven by base effects and project implementation.
"after 4 months when we begin the FI 26 first quarter of fi 26 will be extremely good compared to the first quarter of this year because of the no base effect no election imp no elections base effect will come into picture and whatever projects were on the back burner they are also getting implemented now second quarter of next year second quarter f26 will be excellent compared to second quarter of this year because you can't get worse than this correct."
Indian Corporate Earnings
Pending
The market is predicted to start factoring in Q1 and Q2 FY26 earnings within a couple of months (early 2025).
"which means that market will start factoring in the first and the second quarter of fi 26 in a couple of months."
Indian Stock Market
Pending
The fund manager's portfolio earnings growth is expected to be 21-22% for FY26 (April 2025 - March 2026).
"current portfolio over fi 26 the portfolio earnings growth is roughly expected around 21 to 22%..."
Portfolio Performance
Pending
The market benchmark earnings growth is expected to be 11-12% for FY26 (April 2025 - March 2026).
"Benchmark earnings growth expected roughly around 11 to 12%."
Market Benchmark Performance
Pending
The fund manager's portfolio PEG ratio is projected to be around 1.3-1.33 for FY26, which is lower than the index PEG ratio of 1.7.
"PEG ratio portfolio is around 1.3 1 33 PEG ratio of index is around 1.7 which means your portfolio Peg is lower than the index C Peg which is an ideal situation."
Portfolio Valuation
Pending
The fund manager's portfolio beta is predicted to be around 0.85, indicating it will fall less in a declining market.
"portfolio beta is around 85 which means again that you know you will fall Less in a declining Market."
Portfolio Volatility
Pending
Indian textile companies are expected to undertake capex, leading to increased orders from the US and Europe and positive impact on numbers within a couple of quarters (mid-2025 onwards).
"Indian textile companies are thinking of doing capex okay because it's a pure opportunity which can come from a neighbor okay this is kind of an indication but numb it will start showing in the numbers after a couple of the quarters."
Indian Textile Sector
Pending
The Indian Healthcare/Pharma sector is predicted to experience continued tailwinds, including margin improvement and earnings growth, driven by factors such as adjustments in supply chains and the US Biocure Act favoring Indian CDMO companies.
"I'm seeing margin Improvement has picking up so this is an indication that valuation time correction CFE time correction valuations had become comfortable and now the margins are again improving growth in earnings is also picking up part of it you can say that all the supply chain over Supply those have been adjusted part of it you can say that in the US the biocure ACT us doesn't want to fund any Chinese uh companies now right right that is where Indian companies who have good presence in cdmo they can really do well companies who have good presence in the US market Europe Market they can do well margins are improving so these are kind of indications that you know textile kard Pharma is another area where the Tailwind is there."
Indian Healthcare/Pharma Sector
Pending
Sectors related to equity markets (asset management, wealth management, broking, and platform businesses like BSE) are predicted to continue performing well with strong earnings growth, driven by an exponential increase in equity participation in India.
"if the equity participation is going to continue do well their earnings are bound to do well so I would say asset management company wealth management company platform business like BC Etc I don't see a reason why you know if you have a horizon why this Tailwind can't continue in fact as I mentioned might not be so long like this whole Equity culture I think India is just beginning M if Equity participation in India is going to go up exponentially I think you know these sectors will bound to do well."
Equity Market Related Sectors
Pending
Donald Trump was predicted to win the US 2024 election and be inaugurated in January 2025.
"then there was concern about uh what happens in the US elections I think that also is now behind us and we have Mr Trump coming back in the month of Jan"
US Elections
Pending
The Ukraine war is predicted to end following Donald Trump's return to power.
"I think now with Mr Trump coming even that seems that definitely Ukraine war will come to an end M"
Geopolitics
Pending
The RBI is expected to cut interest rates in the next quarter (Q1 2025, Jan-Mar).
"RBI also could be cutting rates in the next one quarter"
India Monetary Policy
Pending
Corporate earnings for the second half of 2025 (Q3 and Q4) are predicted to be very good due to the festive and wedding seasons.
"90% of them are bullish that the second half of this year will be very good a third quarter will definitely be good because of the festive season wedding season fourth quarter will also be good"
India Corporate Earnings
Pending
Earnings for Q1 FY26 (April-June 2025) and Q2 FY26 (July-September 2025) are projected to be extremely good due to favorable base effects and accelerated project implementation.
"first quarter of fi 26 will be extremely good compared to the first quarter of this year because of the no base effect no election imp no elections base effect will come into picture and whatever projects were on the back burner they are also getting implemented now second quarter of next year second quarter f26 will be excellent compared to second quarter of this year"
India Corporate Earnings
Pending
The market will begin to factor in the positive earnings outlook for Q1 and Q2 FY26 within a couple of months (from January 2025).
"market will start factoring in the first and the second quarter of fi 26 in a couple of months"
Market Sentiment
Pending
The speaker's portfolio earnings growth for FY26 is expected to be 21-22%, significantly outperforming the benchmark's 11-12% growth.
"current portfolio over fi 26 the portfolio earnings growth is roughly expected around 21 to 22%... Benchmark earnings growth expected roughly around 11 to 12% which means you have a portfolio which is almost growing at Double the index earnings"
Portfolio Performance
Pending
The speaker's portfolio is expected to maintain a lower PEG ratio (1.3-1.33) compared to the index (1.7) for FY26, indicating better relative value.
"PEG ratio portfolio is around 1.3 1 33 PEG ratio of index is around 1.7 which means your portfolio Peg is lower than the index C Peg which is an ideal situation"
Portfolio Valuation
Pending
The portfolio's beta of 0.85 indicates it will fall less than the broader market during a decline.
"portfolio beta is around 85 which means again that you know you will fall Less in a declining Market"
Portfolio Volatility
Pending
Indian textile companies are expected to pursue capex and see increased orders from US/Europe due to global supply chain shifts, indicating future growth.
"after a long time Indian textile companies are thinking of doing capex okay because it's a pure opportunity which can come from a neighbor ... they are coming to them asking for the samples okay can they execute so much order can they and all that"
Indian Textile Sector
Pending
The Indian healthcare/pharma sector is expected to experience continued margin improvement and earnings growth, driven by comfortable valuations, normalized supply chains, and opportunities from US 'biocure act' for CDMOs with US/Europe presence.
"for the last 8 months 10 months I'm seeing margin Improvement has picking up so this is an indication that valuation time correction CFE time correction valuations had become comfortable and now the margins are again improving growth in earnings is also picking up ... Indian companies who have good presence in cdmo they can really do well companies who have good presence in the US market Europe Market they can do well margins are improving"
Indian Healthcare & Pharma Sector
Pending
Sectors related to Indian equity markets (asset management, wealth management, broking, and platform businesses like BSE) are predicted to perform strongly as equity participation in India is expected to grow exponentially.
"if the equity participation is going to continue do well their earnings are bound to do well so I would say asset management company wealth management company platform business like BC Etc I don't see a reason why you know if you have a horizon why this Tailwind can't continue in fact as I mentioned might not be so long like this whole Equity culture I think India is just beginning M if Equity participation in India is going to go up exponentially I think you know these sectors will bound to do well"
Indian Financial Services
Pending