ilmscore | Bitcoin: Market Cycle Theory (Normal Cycle or Left Translated?)

Predictions from this Video

Total: 10
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 10
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin's market cycle peak is predicted to occur in Q4 2025, following historical patterns from previous halving years.
"Bitcoin essentially has peaked in the fourth quarter of all po having years right so that's your 2013 2017 2021 and potentially 2025"
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin pairs are expected to roll over and break down by late March or early April 2024, leading to a local top for Bitcoin (USD pair) in April or May 2024.
"I've said many times I think that we are going to see Bitcoin pairs roll over as we get here into the end of March and early April and I would expect them to break down either in April or in May and when they break down I think it will be a local top for Bitcoin USD"
BTC
Pending
If Bitcoin's price action mimics 2019, it will experience a six-month cool-off period from its local top (e.g., April/May 2024) until Q4 2024, characterized by lower highs and lower lows.
"if it plays out like 2019 right like this green line over there then essentially what you get is just a six-month cool off period where you start to put in lower highs and lower lows right just about about six months going all the way out until Q4"
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin dominance is predicted to top out in Summer 2024.
"what happens if dominance this cycle tops this summer sometime this summer"
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin is likely to experience a local top around April 2024, with a potential deviation of plus or minus one month.
"I do think there is a good amount of evidence to suggest that we will have a local top sometime around April plus or minus one month or so"
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin dominance rising above 55.3% is predicted to serve as a 'risk-off' warning signal for the crypto market during the summer months of 2024.
"The range here that we're looking at is is 55.3% so above 55.3 that could be the warning sign that could be the riskoff signal um for for the summer"
BTC
Pending
During Bitcoin's cool-off phase, altcoins are predicted to struggle and remain 'stuck in traffic' relative to Bitcoin, having broken off their Bitcoin support levels.
"Bitcoin stays well off its lows but maybe some of the altcoins are stuck in traffic on struggle street because they've been broken off of their Bitcoin support levels"
Altcoin Performance
Pending
The first Federal Reserve rate cut is projected for June 2024, with subsequent cuts in September and December 2024.
"at this point it looks like the First Rate cut is going to be in June and so what you might have is you might have sort of a a a June cut a September cut and then a December cut"
Interest Rates
Pending
Altcoin/Bitcoin pairs (excluding the top 10 cryptocurrencies) are predicted to drop approximately 64% from their current level of 0.25 to around 0.1.
"64% from there would put others Bitcoin you know all the way down at at around 0.1 they're currently at 0.25"
Altcoin/Bitcoin Pairs (Excluding Top 10)
Pending
The unemployment rate is projected to be significantly higher in 8-9 months (late 2024/early 2025), which would force the Federal Reserve to aggressively cut interest rates.
"if you think about it like 8 to nine months from now it could really be you know a significant amount higher forcing the market to price that in and forcing the FED to aggressively cut rates"
US Economy (Unemployment Rate)
Pending