Published: 2024-04-13
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
By Summer 2024, social risk is predicted to fall into the 0-0.2 range, leading altcoins to find new lows against Bitcoin as rate cuts approach.
"as we get out into the summer and as we get closer and closer to R Cuts you might actually see the social risk fall back in to the 0 to 0.2 range where altcoins you know go to whatever lows they're going to go to on their Bitcoin pairs"
Pending
Social risk is predicted to decline during Summer 2024, even if Bitcoin reaches new all-time highs.
"I still think you're likely going to see the social risk go down into the summer even if Bitcoin does push to new highs"
Pending
Many altcoins are predicted to break support against Bitcoin as central bank rate cuts arrive.
"as rate Cuts arrived and as that happens you should see a lot of these alts break support against Bitcoin"
Pending
The 'Others Bitcoin' (an altcoin index against Bitcoin) is predicted to drop by 60% as rate cuts arrive, replicating a pattern from the previous cycle.
"what happens if we do the same thing drop 60 go up 60 and then drop 60 as rate Cuts arrived"
Pending
When Bitcoin dominance reaches 56%, ETH/BTC is predicted to close weekly below 0.049.
"at 56% dominance e Bitcoin should get a weekly close below 0049"
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to cool off in May 2024, causing social risk to decline, and leading to all Bitcoin pairs breaking down. Later in 2024, social risk will double bottom as Bitcoin dominance tops out, and then altcoins will recover against Bitcoin as rate cuts arrive.
"if something like that were to happen and and Bitcoin sort of cools off into the May time frame and social risk goes back down then I think everything we've spoken about over the last two and a half years finally comes to fruition um in this final Crescendo where all Bitcoin pairs break down the social risk goes back down social risk potentially puts in like you know a double bottom sometime later this year as Bitcoin dominance tops out and then and then finally we get to rate Cuts where where things turn around for the altcoin market at least on their their Bitcoin pairs"
Pending
Bitcoin dominance is predicted to reach 60% within the next 3 to 6 months (by July - October 2024).
"my guess is that dominance is going to go to 60% um in you know sometime over the next several months right um probably not going to get there immediately but probably going to get there within you know within the next 3 to 6 months or so is my guess as we'll see 60% dominance"
Pending
ETH/BTC is predicted to capitulate, dropping to the 0.03-0.04 range to find support before trending back up. This occurs as Bitcoin dominance tops out and social risk bottoms.
"we are at this phase of the cycle where eth Bitcoin capitulates... I think we will we'll go to 03 to 04 we'll find some support down there and will Trend back up that's my guess"
Pending
Social risk (crypto interest) will not durably increase for a significant period, following a pattern similar to the previous cycle.
"I'm arguing that if this is going to play out like last cycle then it could still be quite as quite some time before you see the social risk durably go up"
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates shortly after all Bitcoin pairs break down, similar to the last cycle.
"when they do break down assuming that they do I imagine the FED will cut not too long after that just like they did last cycle"
Pending
The current crypto market cycle is predicted to play out similarly to the last, but with a delay of approximately three quarters.
"it is in fact playing out like last cycle everything is just delayed by about three quarters"
Pending