Published: 2024-04-14
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
ETH/BTC pair to eventually close below its range low (around 0.049).
"I do still think e Bitcoin will eventually close below the range low whether it's this week or next week I don't know"
Pending
Bitcoin to experience a 20-22% pullback to $57k-$59k.
"at some point I'm going to guess that we're going to see that 20 to 22% pullback... that would put you at around you know 57 to 59k"
Pending
If Bitcoin's then-current high is the top, it will drop 30% to $51.5k.
"if this is the top and it's a 30% drop it puts you at 51 and a2k"
Pending
ETH/BTC pair is predicted to durably break down below support.
"I think eth is is going to break down durably"
Pending
Bitcoin Dominance is predicted to reach 60%.
"I've said forever that it's probably going to go to 60%"
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to experience a 30% correction during summer 2024, potentially bringing its price down to $50k-$52k.
"going into the summer you see a 30% correction right whether it is from 73k and it goes down to 50K or whether it's from you know 75k and it goes down to 52k"
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to top out in Q4 2025 (the post-halving year).
"maybe Bitcoin tops out in Q4 of the post having year just when it always does"
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to return to its bull market support band during summer 2024 (May-July), possibly falling below it briefly until significant monetary policy easing (e.g., a 200 basis point rate cut) arrives.
"as we get into like May and June and July I I think we're going to be sort of wrestling with with Bitcoin getting back to the bullmark sport band... then you could get a brief downtrend below it until until there's you know until loer monetary policy arrives in Mass"
Pending
Bitcoin USD was predicted (on Jan 2, 2024) to remain strong until Bitcoin dominance reaches approximately 56%, which would occur before the first Federal Reserve rate cut.
"Bitcoin USD stays strong until approximately 56% dominance which occurs before the First Rate cut arrives"
Pending
It was predicted (on Jan 2, 2024) that when Bitcoin dominance reaches 56%, the ETH/BTC pair would break below 0.049.
"at 56% dominance e Bitcoin is broken below 049"
Pending
The ETH/BTC pair is predicted to drop to the 0.03-0.04 range, even if Bitcoin's USD price drops.
"it's free to drop to the 0.3 to 04 range even on a Bitcoin USD drop"
Pending
All altcoin/Bitcoin pairs are predicted to break down during the week of the Bitcoin halving (April 15-21, 2024).
"whether Bitcoin puts in a higher high or a lower high during the week of the having I think all Bitcoin pairs could very well break down okay that's my that's what I think I think that they're going to break down"
Pending
After altcoin/Bitcoin pairs break down, the crypto market could enter a 'summer lull' in 2024.
"once they break down I I I think that could be you know that we could be just going in for sort of a a summer lull"
Pending
The 'Others/Bitcoin' market cap (everything outside top 10) is predicted to drop 60% from its peak, reaching 0.1 (from 0.2 at video publish).
"60% would put it at at at 0.1 it's currently at 02 so it's already dropped half of what we said it was likely going to drop"
Pending
All altcoin/Bitcoin pairs are predicted to drop to 0.25, a 37-38% drop from the 0.4 level at the time.
"ultimately all Bitcoin pairs you're going to go down to here to 0.25 ... alt Bitcoin pairs still have about a 37% drop ahead of them alt Bitcoin pairs 37 38% drop to get down to the range lows"
Pending
All altcoin/Bitcoin pairs are predicted to top out in January 2026.
"a 3/4 delay basically puts all Bitcoin pairs topping in January of 2026"
Pending
In the next market phase (after Fed easing), altcoin/Bitcoin pairs are predicted to increase, regardless of Bitcoin's USD price.
"altcoins lead Bitcoin then what happens then altcoins go up against Bitcoin no matter the direction of Bitcoin USD"
Pending
All altcoin/Bitcoin pairs are predicted to bottom out during summer 2024 ('dog days of the summer').
"that is coming probably this summer where all Bitcoin pairs come back down here right and they bought them during the dog days of the summer and then in here you'll likely see all Bitcoin pairs bottom"
Pending
Even if Bitcoin's USD price bounces, altcoin/Bitcoin pairs are predicted to continue dropping.
"even if Bitcoin gets a bounce all that it would do is just wreck altcoins even more on their Bitcoin pairs"
Pending
If all altcoin/Bitcoin pairs close at or below 0.39, the altcoin market is predicted to enter a risk-off phase for 3-6 months.
"if they're at 39 and Below that's probably it for the altcoin market for a while for at least three to six months okay it's a riskof signal"
Pending
Blue chip dominance is predicted to reach 73% during the Bitcoin halving week (April 15-21, 2024), acting as a risk-off signal.
"blue chip dominance which is near 73% which is the riskof signal that still needs to happen and it probably will happen the week at the having"
Pending
The Fed is predicted to potentially cut interest rates in June 2024, with a slight possibility for May 2024, earlier than market consensus.
"I could easily see that being shifted to June easily in fact I'll tell you something crazy if I were not looking at this if I were not looking at at this at all and I didn't see what the market thought like only a 6% chance of a rate cut in May if I didn't see that and I was just looking at this then I would be tempted to say they might cut in May as crazy as that sounds"
Pending
The Federal Reserve was predicted (on Jan 2, 2024) to start cutting interest rates in the first half of 2024.
"the FED starts to cut in H1 2024"
Pending
After altcoin/Bitcoin pairs bottom, altcoin USD valuations are predicted to still drop in line with Bitcoin USD, due to insufficient Fed rate cuts.
"people start buying alts thinking they bottomed against Bitcoin and they probably have but then their USD valuations go down commencer it with Bitcoin USD because the F fed is still unwilling to cut enough"
Pending
Altcoins are predicted to eventually find a bottom, followed by a period (starting roughly from Jan 2025) where the market questions if central banks avoided a second wave of inflation.
"finally risk assets you know these altcoins Co find a bottom and then we spend the next year wondering if they stayed the course long enough to keep inflation from coming back in a second wave"
Pending