ilmscore | NFA Live! Bitcoin in 2024

NFA Live! Bitcoin in 2024

Predictions from this Video

Total: 22
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 22
Prediction
Topic
Status
Ethereum's price is predicted to reach $12,500 by Q4 2025.
"this will come down to my $12,500 ethereum price prediction... ethereum's price reached $12,500 this quarter"
ETH
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement a 25 basis point rate cut next week (around September 19, 2024).
"we're looking at 25 basis point cut and before this I think it was around it was a 7030 split some people were still saying that we're going to we're going to cut this by 50 but looks like the entire world now is looking at it and say yes it's going to be a 25 basis point cut"
Federal Reserve Rates
Pending
Inflation is expected to continue to decline.
"inflation will will should in theory continue to decline"
US Inflation (CPI)
Pending
The crypto market has already priced in a 25 basis point Fed rate cut.
"my my guess is that 25 basis points is is is very much already priced in by the crypto Market"
Crypto Market Pricing
Pending
The 25 basis point rate cut (around September 19, 2024) is not expected to change the market in the short term.
"I wouldn't be surprised if in in the short term let I mean let's say they go ahead with the um uh with the 25 basis point cut next week I don't think that will necessarily change anything in the short term"
Short-Term Market Impact
Pending
Two additional 25 basis point rate cuts are anticipated in 2024.
"I think as well as next weeks there's I think the the supposed to be two more this year um which are again two more of 25 I think is being factored in"
Federal Reserve Rate Cuts (2024)
Pending
Both traditional and crypto markets are predicted to rally immediately after the upcoming rate cut.
"right now it's going to be an exuberance people are going to be happy there there's going to be a price appreciation the traditional markets should rally and then the uh crypto markets will also rally again"
Market Rally Post Rate Cut
Pending
A hard economic landing or bear market is predicted for 2026, aligning with historical midterm election year cycles for crypto.
"if we get a hard Landing but it doesn't happen until 2026 or something kind of like when we always have bare markets in crypto you know the midterm years you're 2014 2018 2022 2026 perhaps that'll be the N"
Economic Recession/Bear Market
Pending
If Donald Trump wins the US presidential election, a new crypto market narrative of 'a Bitcoiner in the White House' could emerge.
"if Trump wins that could that could be a narrative because that was really you know unprecedented and Unthinkable until until just recently so you know that could be that could be enough"
Crypto Market Narrative (US Elections)
Pending
Beginning in 2025, banks will be able to hold Bitcoin.
"from next year banks will be able to hold it banks will be able to hold Bitcoin"
Banking & Bitcoin
Pending
If Kamala Harris wins the US presidential election, a narrative will form that her administration will crash both crypto and traditional markets, leading to crypto being 'flushed out' of America but adopted in the EU, Southeast Asia, Russia, China, and India.
"I'm going to go against guy and take the opposite let's say KLA Harris gets in so now we have a person who let's be honest is not pro Bitcoin and not pro crypto and is not pro- regulatory Clarity so the narrative then becomes okay get this now get Bitcoin and crypto now before the market collapses because when she's in there and her administrations in there they're going to crash the markets and not just the crypto markets but the traditional equity markets so you have to get it now because it's a store of value and uh it's a it's a digital gold so that'll be that part and then of course it'll say but don't worry about it because the narrative is it'll be flushed out of America and then we'll get it in the EU and Southeast Asia and Russia and China India will will adopt it and that's okay because that's where it go"
Crypto Market Narrative (US Elections)
Pending
The crypto bull market is expected to peak in Q1 or Q2 of 2025.
"if if if the bull market sort of plays out as we're as we've been kind of expecting you know we see that Peak q1 or Q2 2025"
Crypto Bull Market Peak
Pending
Rob plans to sell 80% of his entire crypto portfolio (up to 100% of altcoins, and also Bitcoin) in 2025, anticipating a market top, and then rebalance.
"when 2025 comes around uh I'll be selling 80% all of my crypto and that might be up to 100% for alts because I just think that's usually where we go and then I'm also going to sell my Bitcoin and then I'll I'll rebalance"
Personal Crypto Portfolio Strategy
Pending
Rob predicts Ethereum will reach $12,500 by the end of Q4 2025.
"My $12,500 ethereum price prediction"
ETH
Pending
Rob states his plan to sell 80% of his crypto portfolio, potentially 100% of altcoins, and also some Bitcoin, then rebalance, in 2025.
"when 2025 comes around uh I'll be selling 80% all of my crypto and that might be up to 100% for alts because I just think that's usually where we go and then I'm also going to sell my Bitcoin and then I'll I'll rebalance"
BTC
Pending
The host predicts the Fed will enact a rate cut next week (from 2024-09-12).
"I'm sure it has helped secure a rate cut for um for next week"
US Fed Rate Cut
Pending
Guy predicts the Fed will enact a 25 basis point rate cut next week (from 2024-09-12).
"I think that probably is is gives them the leeway to stick with to stick with 25"
US Fed Rate Cut
Pending
Guy predicts a 25 basis point rate cut next week (from 2024-09-12) will not cause short-term changes in the crypto market.
"I don't think that will necessarily change anything in the short term"
Crypto Market Reaction to Rate Cuts
Pending
Rob predicts that initial rate cuts will lead to exuberance, price appreciation, and a rally in both traditional and crypto markets.
"it's going to be an exuberance people are going to be happy there there's going to be a price appreciation the traditional markets should rally and then the uh crypto markets will also rally again"
Market Reaction to Rate Cuts
Pending
The host predicts a growth scare similar to 2016 will occur, leading to an S&P drop, followed by a recovery, with a recession finally happening in 2026.
"I wouldn't be that surprised to see something like that happen like kind of get a scare and then people like oh maybe it's not as bad and and and then in in 2026 when it always does"
Hard Landing/Recession
Pending
Guy predicts AI will profoundly change the world in 10 years.
"10 years from now the world is going to look totally different because of AI"
Artificial Intelligence
Pending
The host predicts the 10-year yield will experience a slight increase after rate cuts, provided there is no immediate recession.
"I wouldn't be surprised if the 10year yield got at least a little bit of a bounce after rate Cuts assuming there's no immediate recession"
10-Year Treasury Yield
Pending