Published: 2025-02-25
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
ETH/BTC to bottom convincingly after its linear scale trend line support breaks.
"I think that eth Bitcoin can convincingly bottom after this trend line breaks"
Pending
If Bitcoin drops to $63k (from $87k at 00:00:20), the likelihood of a left translated cycle will increase significantly.
"if it ends up being 63k instead of 73k then I I think it would the likelihood of a left translated cycle would go up significantly"
Pending
If Bitcoin enters a left translated cycle, there will be a rally later in 2025, but it will resolve into a macro lower high in Q3 2025.
"if that were to happen I still think there would be a macro lower high in Q3... there would still be a rally later this year it would just resolve into a lower high"
Pending
SOL/BTC is 'cooked' for the current cycle, expecting rallies to resolve into lower highs, suggesting underperformance against Bitcoin.
"I actually think that the sole Bitcoin pair is cooked for the cycle at this point I I don't there's probably going to be rallies that resolve to lower Highs but so Bitcoin it looks like it's done for for this cycle"
Pending
Bitcoin was predicted to have a local top 54 weeks after the ETF launch, which occurred in the week of January 20, 2025.
"Bitcoin would probably have a local top at the very least about 54 weeks after the ETF launched and sure enough 54 weeks after the ETF launched was the week of January 20th"
Pending
If Bitcoin is in a left translated cycle, it would experience a big drop into the $60k-$70k range in Q1 2025, followed by a rally to a macro lower high in Q2 or Q3 2025.
"you would get a big drop in q1 ... into the 70s or the 60s you would get a big drop in q1 followed by a macro lower high in either Q2 or Q3 that would be a a left translated cycle"
Pending
The S&P 500 is expected to perform poorly/experience a normal correction from February to March 2025 in a post-election year cycle.
"from options expiration in February to option expiration in March in post election years the S&P is awful... you're just getting a normal correction that you normally get in February to March of the of the post election year"
Pending
If Bitcoin falls below $73k, a left translated cycle becomes more likely.
"below 73k I would argue it's more likely a left translated cycle if we go below 73k"
Pending
Bitcoin Dominance is predicted to potentially reach 66%.
"I think it's possible it could go to 66%"
Pending
Altcoin pairs are expected to fall to their range lows, which will likely cause Bitcoin Dominance to rise significantly.
"I just ultimately think the most like outcome is for alt Bitcoin pairs to come back down here and I just don't see a way for alt Bitcoin pairs to go down there without Bitcoin dominance going up a lot"
Pending
Bitcoin Dominance is predicted to more convincingly top out when altcoin pairs reach their range lows, sending the Bitcoin Dominance risk metric to the 0.9 to 1 risk band.
"if all Bitcoin pairs get that final drop to the range lows that would likely send the risk of Bitcoin dominance to the 0. N to1 rband at which point it it might more convincingly top out"
Pending
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is expected to have another rally, potentially reaching 108 or 109.
"I do think that will be another rally by it probably back up to 108 maybe maybe 109 at the very least"
Pending
Solana (SOL) is expected to eventually reach its range lows against Bitcoin (BTC), with rallies resolving into lower highs along the way.
"my view on salana is that it's it's going to eventually go to its range low against Bitcoin there's going to be some lower highs along the way that are going to get people upset because there's going to be people that are going to sell the low it's going to rally and then it'll put it a lower high"
Pending
SOL/BTC is predicted to take one to two years to reach its range lows, or it could accelerate the decline faster than ETH/BTC.
"it might take it a year or two to get down there or maybe it'll just front it'll just accelerate it maybe it'll just speedrun what e Bitcoin did but um I I think that it will eventually come down to the range lows"
Pending
ADA/BTC is expected to repeat its 2024 pattern of rallying in December and then fading.
"I think adaa Bitcoin is just repeating what it did last year rally in December rally in December go down and fade it's it's doing the same thing"
Pending
Ethereum is predicted to eventually drop into its regression band, followed by a significant rally out of it.
"it might just be sort of a drop into the regression band eventually and then a a big rally out of it"
Pending
Bitcoin Dominance is predicted to continue rising due to ongoing quantitative tightening, historical precedent, and altcoin pairs remaining far from their range lows.
"my main reason for staying bullish on dominance is because ... quantitative tightening is still going on and last cycle dominance kept going up until QT ended and then third of all ... all Bitcoin pairs still remain well off their range lows so you know you basically have for me three compelling reasons why it could just simply going higher it could just continue to go higher"
Pending
If the observed pattern continues, Ethereum is expected to have two consecutive red weeks, starting from the week of February 24, 2025.
"if the eth pattern continues it means that eth stays red for this week and it stays R next week if that pattern continues"
Pending
Crypto market relief not expected until the week of March 3-9, 2025 (conditional on labor market data).
"if we're going to see relief in the cryptoverse my guess is that it wouldn't happen until next week right"
Pending
The next major low for the crypto market is predicted to occur near the end of 2026.
"the next major low will likely be near the end of 2026"
Pending
Wage inflation is not expected to be similar to the 1970s.
"I don't think we're going to see the same type of wage inflation"
Pending
The crypto market is expected to experience a couple of weeks of price drops, likely during the last week of February and first week of March 2025.
"I kind of think the most likely outcome right now is that we get this couple of week drop right probably this week and next week"
Pending
All altcoin pairs are expected to eventually reach their range lows against Bitcoin.
"all Bitcoin pairs will likely go to the range lows before this is all said and done I think that is the most likely outcome"
Pending
The Bank of Japan is expected to implement two rate hikes between February 2025 and January 2026 to reach a 1% rate.
"the boj wants rates to be at 1% by January 2026 which means two rate hikes between now and and about 10 months from now"
Pending
Strong crypto market performance during the summer of 2025 would indicate a left translated cycle.
"if crypto does well in the summer it might actually be a sign of a left translated cycle"
Pending
Worst-case scenario for crypto is a left translated cycle with a major low occurring in 2026, followed by a recovery.
"absolute worst case scenario is that it's a left translated cycle and there's another major low in 2026 and then we get back on course"
Pending
If a left translated cycle occurs, its confirmation will not be apparent until Q3 2025.
"if that is what happens it's not going to be obvious until the third quarter I think I I don't think it would be obvious until Q3"
Pending
Meme coin activity and market share are predicted to reduce as free markets punish malinvestment.
"I think it'll reduce I I think that the free markets will punish that malinvestment"
Pending
If the upcoming labor report is bad, a very quick capitulation in the crypto market is possible.
"if the labor report comes in bad there could actually just be a very quick capitulation right there very well could be"
Pending