I might Sell Texas Roadhouse Stock… Here’s Why…

"Max downside scenario I could see is some sort of massive compression in the PE Ratio forward PE ratio for the stock and it let's say over the next few years they never get Beyond $7 of eps I think like in my brain that is like worst worst case scenario for Google like they can like literally over the next few years they can never get past $7 EPs and they just are at a 12p so in that scenario that would be Max downside of about 40% over the next 3 years"

"on the flip side I see Max upside of about 120% for the stock over the next 3 years and the reason being is I I have them doing about $10 of eps in 2026 right I think in the the kind of the max upside scenario I think they could command a 30 PE ratio at that point in time which would be similar to you know actually that would be under Microsoft that would be under Apple companies like that but it would mean Google's getting a lot more respect in the market by that point in time and maybe all the all the visions of like a Google's you know getting eaten and they got too much competition all these visions that people have right now maybe those go away over the next few years and so if they're doing $10 EPS slap a 30 on it right which is once again a 30p that's you know around where Apple's at maybe even under apple and that's certainly under Microsoft right now then you're at about a $300 stock so which means you know we can call it roughly 0% upside or so over the next 3 years"

"when it comes to Apple we do know that likely a big iPhone's coming in September and I think that's going to you know mean very good things for this just called iPhone numbers in 2025"

"this quarter numbers are about to report it's in the bag the EPS I think's in the bag the revenue is in the bag in my opinion I would be shocked absolutely shocked if they missed on EPS or Revenue guidance in the bag also in my opinion I think they're going to beat in terms of if they do give any EPS guidance I think that's going to beat Revenue guidance I think that's going to beat as well"

"if they report something with a 21 in front of it or under it's going to crash and it's going to hit the market heavy heavy heavy okay if they have some sort of guide with a 21 in front of it or lower disaster disaster because at that point in time people are say oh my gosh the AI demand all a sudden is drying up this is this is not good and all a sudden you lose a bunch of optimism that was in the market okay so we cannot have something with a 21 one or below in front of it or Nvidia is going to go down massively and the whole Market's going to go down"

"if we have a 22 let's say the guidance is something with a 22 billion in front of it I think the Stock's still going down I don't think it's going to crash but I think we'll go down cuz people like oh boy okay you know this isn't quite the smash that Nvidia had before"

"I do believe if we have a 23 or above for the guide for NVIDIA that baby's going flying at after hours and uh is going to pull the whole cues up everything like that I think we'll be looking really good"

"if Nvidia comes in has a Guidance with a 24 in front of it 24 billion rev guide oh my gosh you know all the AI related stocks are just going to be booming and and the amount of new money coming in the ETFs because every quarter people are starting to slowly have their beliefs of like is this a bubble taken away and if Nvidia just keeps coming through with it you know it's game over and so I'll Palante your next thing you know would be $27 end a week"

"what about a stock like meta where's meta stock at the end of this week if if Nvidia goes flying in its smash Factory 500 plus for for a meta stock and a week because that will pull the whole cues up it will create a new level of optimism out there I can tell you that much and uh yeah met a 500 plus new all-time high for that stock at the end of this week"

"even amazing on Amazon I think would be like 177 end of this week if Nvidia comes in with the smash Factory"

"one of the biggest direct beneficiaries of AI is going to be Amazon at the end of the day and that's going to play out over the next many years you'll see that over the and I'm not talking about over the next just one or two years this for Amazon is something that will play out over the next decade"