All Hellllll will break loose in the Market
Published: 2024-06-03
Status:
Analyzed
Published: 2024-06-03
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
RH will be in a difficult financial situation for the next couple of years (through mid-2026) if the weak business and housing environment persists.
"if the business environment remains weak for the next 2 or 3 years the company isn't going to be in a good place because now the company in in recent quarters actually started losing money so now they're losing money their balance sheets weakened what do they Doo boy well do you start getting promotional there well then you ruin your brand you're supposed to be a luxury brand if all a sudden you start doing you know big signs that say 40% off you you just ruined your brand you can't do that when you're supposed to be a luxury brand right so that you he stuck the company in my opinion in a bad place for this next couple years if unless the housing environment gets a lot better and a lot quicker it it's not good it's not good"
Pending
Treasury rates yielding 5%+ will not be available for Palantir a year or two from June 2024 (by June 2026).
"I don't think you're going to be able to get these sorts of rates a year from now or 2 years from now"
Pending
Palantir will not be able to get 5%+ in treasuries by June 2025, with rates possibly dropping to 2.5-3%.
"let's say you can no longer get you know 5% Plus in treasuries let's say at that time maybe only 3% or 2 and a half%"
Pending
Palantir will not pay dividends for the entire current decade (until 2030).
"I don't think paler should pay dividends this entire decade this entire decade I'm not talking about this entire year I'm talking about this entire decade don't worry about that"
Pending
Palantir's topline revenue growth will accelerate over the next several quarters (from June 2024).
"I think that's what you're going to see over the next several quarters is is a topl line acceleration it's and it's going to be beautiful"
Pending
Palantir's government revenue will continue to increase.
"They will also like seeing government revenue continue to increase"
Pending
Deflation will become apparent in government economic numbers within the next 12 months (by June 2025).
"what is coming is deflation you not going to see it in the government numbers tomorrow or next week but I promise you over the next 12 months you will see it and it's going to hit and it's going to hit hard"
Pending
The auto market will experience deflation, with significant price reductions from dealerships, within the next 6 to 12 months (by June 2025).
"what you're going to see in the auto market over the next 6 to 12 months is deflation You will see deflation at the end of the day these dealerships right they added really good for you know a pretty good uh amount of time there they things have changed the buyer pool has dried up interest rates have gone up significantly customers they they can't afford a lot of these vehicles especially at the prices a lot of these you know auto manufacturers are trying to sell for and so these dealerships are going to have to slowly come into reality and some of them are already doing it I'm already seeing you know $13,000 off this $12,000 off this $9,000 off this $7,000 off this but they're going to have to come to the to the realization that price has got to move down and move down significantly"
Pending
Interest rates will remain elevated for the next 6 to 12 months (until June 2025).
"interest rates are basically guaranteed to be elevated for at least 6 to 12 months cuz let's assume they cut one or two times this year okay it's not going to move interest rates that much were we going to cut from 5.5 down to five you know we're that's still a very high interest rate compared to any time in really the past 15 20 years so that means interest rates are going to continue to weigh on this economy over this next let's say 12 months"
Pending
Deflation will worsen, and business failures will increase significantly over the next 6 to 12 months (by June 2025).
"the higher probability is the seeds of deflation that I'm showing you today is going to get a lot worse over the next 6 to 12 months the amount of of you know businesses that unfortunately go out of business in the next six to 12 months is going to go up significantly"
Pending
RH (Restoration Hardware) is predicted to be in a difficult financial position for the next couple of years (until June 2026), unless the housing market significantly improves quickly.
"he stuck the company in my opinion in a bad place for this next couple years if unless the housing environment gets a lot better and a lot quicker it it's not good it's not good"
Pending
Palantir (PLTR) is predicted to perform well irrespective of economic conditions such as inflation or deflation.
"pener is one of those sorts of companies that is set up to do well regardless [of deflation/inflation/economic conditions]"
Pending
Palantir (PLTR) will likely not be able to earn 5%+ interest rates on treasuries a year or two from now (by June 2025 - June 2026).
"I don't think you're going to be able to get these sorts of rates [5%+] a year from now or 2 years from now I just don't"
Pending
Palantir (PLTR) is predicted not to pay dividends throughout the 2020s decade.
"I don't think paler should pay dividends this entire decade"
Pending
Palantir (PLTR) is predicted to have significantly more long-term upside than Nvidia (NVDA).
"I think for the longterm paler is the better play I think there's much more upside for paler longterm then actually there is an Nvidia"
Pending
Palantir (PLTR) is predicted to experience an acceleration in top-line revenue growth over the next several quarters (by early-mid 2025).
"I think that's what you're going to see over the next several quarters is is a topl line acceleration it's and it's going to be beautiful"
Pending
Palantir's (PLTR) government revenue is predicted to continue to increase.
"They will also like seeing government revenue continue to increase"
Pending
The economy will experience significant deflation within the next 12 months (by June 2025).
"I promise you over the next 12 months you will see it and it's going to hit and it's going to hit hard"
Pending
The auto market will experience deflation in prices over the next 6 to 12 months (by December 2024 to June 2025).
"what you're going to see in the auto market over the next 6 to 12 months is deflation you will see deflation"
Pending
Interest rates will remain elevated (around 5% Fed Funds rate) for at least the next 6-12 months (until December 2024 - June 2025), even with potential one or two cuts, continuing to weigh on the economy.
"interest rates are basically guaranteed to be elevated for at least 6 to 12 months cuz let's assume they cut one or two times this year okay it's not going to move interest rates that much were we going to cut from 5.5 down to five you know we're that's still a very high interest rate compared to any time in really the past 15 20 years so that means interest rates are going to continue to weigh on this economy over this next let's say 12 months"
Pending
The current deflationary trends in the economy will significantly worsen over the next 6 to 12 months (by December 2024 - June 2025).
"the seeds of deflation that I'm showing you today is going to get a lot worse over the next 6 to 12 months"
Pending
The number of businesses going out of business will significantly increase over the next 6 to 12 months (by December 2024 - June 2025).
"The amount of of you know businesses that unfortunately go out of business in the next six to 12 months is going to go up significantly"
Pending
Housing prices are expected to be lowered significantly and apartment communities will offer promotions (e.g., free rent) in the future, indicating the bottom of the deflationary cycle for housing, though this has not happened yet.
"I'm not seeing any seeds of deflation in housing yet I'm not seeing prices really get lowered the way they're going to get lowered likely... when you see those [promotions like first month free, two months free] we're at the bottom... not seeing it yet that will come but it's not here yet"
Pending
The stock market is currently unprepared for the upcoming deflationary cycle over the next 12 months (by June 2025), as participants are still focused on inflation, which will appear in numbers for several more months.
"the market is not very prepared for us to go into a deflation cycle because everybody's thinking inflation inflation inflation and uh I'm I'm like inflation's a thing of the past now it's going to show up in the numbers still for the next several months"
Pending
The Federal Reserve will panic and aggressively cut interest rates once unemployment begins to significantly increase.
"as soon as unemployment starts to take up in any major way you know the fed's going to start cutting like crazy they're going to panic"
Pending