We are in a Stock Market Crash | You Just don’t know it yet
Published: 2024-07-10
Status:
Analyzed
Published: 2024-07-10
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Estee Lauder stock is predicted to fall below $100 very soon after July 2024.
"it might break $100 very soon"
Pending
When the economy strengthens with low inflation, low unemployment, and strong real wages, Target (TGT) is predicted to outperform Walmart (WMT) again.
"when economy does get strong again true low inflation plus low unemployment plus strong real rages don't be surprised the target comes back"
Pending
The IPO market, currently 'dead' (as of July 2024), might recover in 2025 or 2026.
"the IPO Market might come back in 2025 2026 but it is dead right now completely dead"
Pending
There is a 60% chance the top of the stock market (big tech) will break in the next 3-6 months (from July 2024), leading to a major market-wide flush down where consumer stocks reach 'silly pricing'.
"One is a scenario where the top of the market breaks in the next 3 to 6 months and the whole Market has a major flush down... those stocks will start to get to silly pricing... maybe I'd go 6040 maybe I would go 60% chance this happens"
Pending
There is a 40% chance that the top of the market (big tech) remains stable (5-10% down at most), while the broader market (the other 90%) recovers in Q4 2024 and into 2025, contingent on economic improvement, easing inflation, and the Fed lowering interest rates.
"the second scenario that I could see playing out here is a to stop the top stays fine... but the in the 90% so the rest of the market essentially starts to come back in Q4 2024 and into 2025 now in order to get this you honestly need the market you need the economy to get better you need inflation to get better and you need the FED to start lowering rates... I'd go 40% chance that happens"
Pending
Estee Lauder (EL) stock predicted to fall below $100 very soon from July 2024.
"it might break $100 very soon"
Pending
The strong stock performance of Toll Brothers (TOL), which was up 47% in the past year from July 2024, is predicted not to last.
"by the way that won't last but for now it's great for Toll Brothers"
Pending
The IPO market, which was dead in 2022-2024, is predicted to recover in 2025 or 2026.
"the IPO Market might come back in 2025 2026 but it is dead right now completely dead"
Pending
Walmart (WMT) stock is predicted to continue outperforming Target (TGT) stock as long as the economy remains challenging.
"the longer the econom is in a tougher place the longer Walmart will outperform Target"
Pending
Target (TGT) stock is predicted to rebound and outperform Walmart (WMT) stock once the economy strengthens, characterized by low inflation, low unemployment, and strong real wages.
"when economy does get strong again true low inflation plus low unemployment plus strong real rages don't be surprised the target comes back"
Pending
The author predicts a 60% chance of a major stock market flush within 3-6 months from July 2024, triggered by big tech stocks experiencing a blow-off top and peaking in Q3 or Q4 2024. This flush would lead consumer stocks like Nike (NKE) to the $50s, Starbucks (SBUX) to fall another 15-20% from its then-current price, and Estee Lauder (EL) to drop to $75-$90. Conversely, there's a 40% chance that big tech remains stable (max 5-10% down), while the broader market, including consumer stocks and the Russell 2000, recovers in Q4 2024 and into 2025, provided the economy improves, inflation lowers, and the Fed cuts rates.
"I see there being two potential ends to this story... One is a scenario where the top of the market breaks in the next 3 to 6 months and the whole Market has a major flush down... you get those stocks to Peak around November... you'd see a big fall on the S&P 500 a big fall on the NASDAQ... those stocks will start to get to silly pricing... Nike in the 50s... Starbucks stock fell another 15 20% that would be shocking all... Estee Lauder... breaks 100 and goes to 90 $85 75 that's a shocking a... The second scenario... the top stays fine... but the in the 90% so the rest of the market essentially starts to come back in Q4 2024 and into 2025... if I had to put odds on it I would say it's about a 50/50 on which one of these scenarios plays out... maybe I'd go 6040 unlike a 60% chance this happens versus a 40% chance that happens"
Pending
Estee Lauder stock predicted to fall below $100 very soon after July 2024.
"EST day louder say it louder it's beyond brutal this stock's down 44% plus now on a 5e keep this in mind this stock was 3 $70 a share less than three years ago yeah got to be flipping my flapjacks it might break $100 very soon"
Pending
Walmart is predicted to continue outperforming Target as long as the economy remains in a tough place.
"the longer the econom is in a tougher place the longer Walmart will outperform Target right and eventually that will change but for now that's the situation"
Pending
The IPO market is predicted to recover and come back in 2025-2026.
"there might the IPO Market might come back in 2025 2026 but it is dead right now completely dead right"
Pending
Mega-cap tech stocks (Meta, Nvidia, Google, Tesla, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft) predicted to reach specific highs (e.g., Meta > $600, Nvidia > $150, Tesla > $300, Amazon > $250, Apple > $250, Microsoft new ATH) for a 'blowoff top' around November 2024, followed by a major market flush down for the S&P 500 and NASDAQ within 3-6 months (by Jan 2025), driving consumer stocks to 'shock and awe' prices (60% likelihood).
"one is a scenario where the top of the market breaks in the next 3 to 6 months and the whole Market has a major flush down... say meta hits a 600 plus and Nvidia goes to 150 plus and Google flies Tesla goes to 300 plus Amazon's 250 right 225 something like that Apple goes to New all-time highs 250 something like that after their earnings Microsoft goes to a new all-time high let's say we got some sort of really like blowoff top but then those companies start to kind of weaken maybe their numbers in Q4 and maybe we're in a situation where these companies report their end of October beginning of November numbers they're not not quite as strong right and so all of a sudden you get those stocks to Peak around November which is similar to what happened in 2021... you'd see a big fall on the S&P 500 a big fall on the NASDAQ after kind of a blowoff top situation... these consumer stocks that I ran you through at the top of this video... those stocks will start to get to silly pricing."
Pending
Mega-cap tech stocks are predicted to remain relatively stable (max 5-10% down), while the broader market (consumer stocks, Russell 2000) will begin a recovery in Q4 2024 and continue into 2025, playing catchup (40% likelihood).
"the second scenario that I could see playing out here is a to stop the top stays fine now when I say fine it means the top of the market stays in kind of a uh if there is any downward move it kind of is in the five to 10% range okay and so there's no like major like 15 20 25% move down for the top of the market so the top stays fine but the in the 90% so the rest of the market essentially starts to come back in Q4 2024 and into 2025... all these stocks that we ran you through at the beginning of this video a lot of these weaker stocks start to perform better you see the Russell 2000 start to perform a lot better and these stocks kind of play catchup right"
Pending