Published: 2024-09-04
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Apple stock is more likely to be lower one to two weeks after its new iPhone launch event (around September 9th, 2024) compared to its price on the video's publish date (September 4th, 2024).
"if you had a bet one way or another the there's a higher probability that apple is lower you know a week from now or two weeks from now than it is today I guess you can say"
Pending
Nvidia's chip sales growth will not sustain 50%+ year-over-year increases in 2026 and 2027.
"people are going to finally realize with Nvidia over the next few years... in 26 and 27 oh it's not just up in in 50% plus a year just like people had to realize with Tesla"
Pending
Tesla stock will experience significant upward movement from late September into early October 2024 due to hype around the October 10th event. For the stock to continue rising significantly after the event, an exceptionally positive announcement would be required.
"My guess is Tesla Stock's going to roll heavy at the end of September going into the beginning of October it's going to be a hype thing and then... the only way Tesla Stock's going to keep going up after that is they're going to just have to have a 10 of 10 day like it's going to have to be the most insane stuff you ever seen..."
Pending
If the economy cools significantly over the next year, construction spending will slow down 'majorly' in 2026 and 2027, negatively impacting Caterpillar's stock.
"caterpillar would be a play on construction spending slowing down majorly in 2627... that could mean really bad construction spending in 26 and 27 right which would obviously very negatively affect caterpillar"
Pending
Chipotle's sales are predicted to go 'the wrong way' (decline) in 2025.
"Chipotle... there'd be a play more on sales going the wrong way in 25"
Pending
The new iPhone cycle will be 'really good,' with booming sales in late September and October 2024, which will be ultimately positive for Apple stock in October-November 2024.
"I still think the iPhone cycle is going to be really good and you're going to hear a lot in late September and into October about iPhone sales are booming and they're selling really well... that's going to be very good for the stock ultimately probably in October November"
Pending
Nvidia stock has the potential to short-term bottom in the first week of September 2024 if the DOJ antitrust investigation creates enough panic selling.
"Nvidia honestly could short-term bottom this week if this doj thing freaks people out... is a potential a real potential that it could short-term bottom this week"
Pending
Amazon, Meta, and Google stocks might drop 5-10% from their current levels, but a 20-30% decline is highly unlikely.
"could you get those stocks [Amazon, Meta, Google] down 5 10% from here sure but could you get them down 20 30% I think that's very difficult"
Pending
If the US unemployment rate rises significantly (e.g., to 4.5% then 4.6% in subsequent reports within 1-2 months of September 2024), market participants will shift from expecting a soft landing to a hard landing, leading to a stock market decline of 10% or more.
"if next thing you know we see we go to 4.4 4.5 4.6... all of a sudden Market participants are going to go from soft Landing expected to hard Landing expected and what that would do for valuations and what that would do for the stock market is down significantly when I say down significantly I'm talking 10% plus"
Pending
There is a 90% probability that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates at its September 17-18, 2024 meeting.
"they're going to likely lower interest rates right that was I would say that's like a 90% probability right now they're going to lower interest rates"
Pending
The stock market will enter 'panic mode' if the Federal Reserve is forced to cut interest rates by 75 basis points or more.
"you want to talk about the market really freaking out if next thing you know the fed's cutting 75 or more panic mode in the market panic mode"
Pending
There is a less than 10% probability that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at all at its September 2024 meeting. If they don't cut, the market will 'freak out'.
"if for any reason reason they did not cut interest rates oh boy oh boy you want to talk about the market freaking out that would be a freak out that's insanely low probability I would call less than 10% probability the FED doesn't cut rates at all"
Pending
If oil prices double, leading to gas prices of $6-8 per gallon, the consumer will be 'done,' and the US economy will enter a massive recession.
"if we saw any sort of 2x in oil price like we saw back then right we'd be looking at easily $6 to 8 a gallon for gas... and if we see that I can just tell you the consumer will be done and we will be in for a massive recession after that"
Pending
The stock market is expected to go lower in September 2024 based on historical patterns.
"so the moral of the story is the market should go lower this month"
Pending
There is a high probability that small-cap stocks (Russell 2000) will become an attractive investment target when the Federal Reserve begins cutting interest rates.
"there's a high probability that when the FED starts cutting rates here people are going to look at these Russell type stocks and they're going to say this is where we need to be positioning into the market... we need to be in the small cap stocks"
Pending
Many high-quality value and dividend stocks (e.g., Nike, Wynn Resorts) are expected to form a multi-year bottom during the fourth quarter of 2024 (October-December), regardless of broader market performance in 2025-2026. This period will present a 'generational buying opportunity' for these specific stocks.
"I expect these stocks to do a multi-year bottom in the fourth quarter this year and I still expect that I think regardless of what happens in the market in 25 26 I believe many many of these stocks multi-year bottom... I do look at a lot of these great dividend and value names the Nikes and the the wind Resorts and a lot of these different stocks as bottoming and doing a multi-year bottom essentially during this fourth quarter of this particular year... this is a true generational buying opportunity but it's in those sorts of stocks this time"
Pending