ilmscore | SELL NOW‼️The STOCK MARKET WILL CRASH in October

Predictions from this Video

Total: 26
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 26
Prediction
Topic
Status
Housing prices are more likely to be deflationary than inflationary over the next 12 months (from September 2024 to September 2025).
"why you're set up more likely for a deflationary environment in housing for the next 12 months then inflationary"
Housing Market
Pending
Inflation is not expected to significantly increase in October 2024, preventing dramatic market concern.
"we don't have the ingredients for inflation to go insane in October and cause some sort of dramatic worry and concern from the market"
Inflation
Pending
Bank earnings for the upcoming season (starting October 2024) are unlikely to be horrible.
"if you're banking that these earnings are going come in horrible for the banks to start out earning season that might be end up being a very very tough betet to take"
Bank Earnings
Pending
Big Tech companies are expected to report strong earnings and guidance for the upcoming season (late October/November 2024).
"big Tech numbers should be pretty dang good so I wouldn't be banking that big Tech's going to report some disastrous numbers and guidance"
Big Tech Earnings
Pending
It will take several months for current bullish market sentiment to shift to bearish sentiment (from September 2024 onwards).
"it's going to potentially take months to get folks from the bullish side over to the bearish side"
Market Sentiment
Pending
If one political party (specifically, Democrats with Harris winning) gains too much control in the upcoming US election (November 2024), it would cause significant negative market sentiment.
"the biggest worry for the market is that that Harris would win and it would kind of be like Dems would just dominate this this election essentially that would that would definitely cause a market to uh I'm just going to be honest with you guys have a problems in the sentiment"
US Election Impact on Market
Pending
A recession is predicted to occur when public discussion and concern about it diminishes.
"when everybody does stop caring about the recession or stops talking about it that's when it's actually going to happen"
Recession
Pending
A significant rise in the unemployment rate (7-10%+) is not expected to occur in October 2024.
"7% 8% 9% 10% plus unemployment numbers that could eventually happen but it's not happening in October"
Unemployment Rate
Pending
The Yen carry trade is unlikely to cause a major market problem in October 2024.
"it's not a super high probability here to cause some sort of major problem in in October"
Japan/Yen Carry Trade
Pending
The stock market is unlikely to tank in October 2024, similar to how it defied seasonal expectations by not tanking in September 2024.
"if you're then banking that October the Market's going to tank just be careful because September the market was supposed to tank and we didn't get the tank"
Stock Market (October 2024)
Pending
The stock market is typically expected to perform very well from November through January.
"November through January usually great because November is usually a phenomenal month for the market December phenomenal month for the market January phenomenal month for the market"
Stock Market Seasonal Performance
Pending
The stock market is guaranteed to experience a crash at some point in the future (within the next 1-3 years or more), though the exact timing is uncertain.
"we will have a crashing Market eventually it's just a question of is it next month 3 months 6 months a year 2 years 3 years eventually you're going to have it"
Future Stock Market Crash
Pending
No major commodity inflation will occur in October 2024.
"we don't have any sort of major commodity inflation that all a su's going to hit in October"
Commodity Inflation
Pending
Gas prices will not be a big issue in October 2024.
"in terms of in the short term in October gas prices is that going to be some sort of big issue nope not whatsoever"
Gas Prices
Pending
Housing will experience a deflationary or flat environment over the next 12 months (from September 2024), rather than an inflationary one.
"you're set up more likely for a deflationary environment in housing for the next 12 months then inflationary"
Housing Market
Pending
Major bank earnings and guidance released in October 2024 are unlikely to be horrible or significantly negatively impact the market.
"are these companies guidance going to be some horrible guidance numbers um that is going to freak the market out big time probably not just to be quite frank the banks are pretty well in in a pretty good position."
Bank Earnings
Pending
Big Tech companies are predicted to report 'pretty dang good' earnings for Q3 2024 (reported late October/November 2024), not disastrous numbers or guidance.
"big Tech numbers should be pretty dang good so I wouldn't be banking that big Tech's going to report some disastrous numbers and guidance."
Big Tech Earnings
Pending
The market is unlikely to go down substantially in October 2024 due to sentiment.
"it's hard to really see the market going down substantially in October based upon sentiment there"
Stock Market Sentiment
Pending
If Kamala Harris wins the presidential election and Democrats dominate Congress in November 2024, it would cause significant negative market sentiment.
"The biggest worry for the market is that that Harris would win and it would kind of be like Dems would just dominate this this election essentially that would that would definitely cause a market to uh I'm just going to be honest with you guys have a problems in the sentiment."
US Election Outcome
Pending
The market (big investors, hedge funds, Wall Streeters) expects a split government (gridlock) in Washington after the November 2024 election.
"there's a belief that things are going to kind of be split up and you're kind of going to end up in gridlock in Washington which is actually what the stock market wants so stock market wants big investors want hedge fund money wants they want gridlock and if you listen to a lot of these big wall streeters that's what they're talking about they want gridlock and that's what they also expect"
US Election Outcome
Pending
A widespread margin call scenario is not realistic for October 2024.
"the Margin Call scenario not super realistic for right now at least right"
Margin Calls
Pending
A recession will occur when people stop talking or caring about a recession.
"when that when they do when everybody does stop caring about the recession or stops talking about it that's when it's actually going to happen"
Recession
Pending
The unemployment rate is unlikely to skyrocket in October 2024 or the short term.
"it's tough to bank on unemployment rate skyrocketing in the short term"
Unemployment Rate
Pending
The Yen carry trade or issues in Japan are not highly probable to cause a major market problem in October 2024.
"it's not a super high probability here to cause some sort of major problem in in October"
Global Markets
Pending
The Federal Reserve will not cause a market crash in October 2024 because they do not have a meeting scheduled then.
"if the fed's going to cause a crash how are they going to cause a crash when they're not even meeting in October right"
Federal Reserve
Pending
The stock market typically experiences substantial gains in November, December, and January.
"the market usually goes up substantially November December January"
Seasonal Market Performance
Pending