ilmscore | Is A Global Recession Coming?

Is A Global Recession Coming?

Published: 2025-04-11
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 5
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 5
Prediction
Topic
Status
Mark Zandi (Moody's chief economist) predicts tariffs will lead to a significant loss of American jobs and a spike in unemployment.
"According to Mark Xandandy, chief economist of Moody's, this is going to cost a lot of American jobs and send unemployment spiking."
US Labor Market
Pending
Goldman Sachs estimates a 45% probability of the US entering a recession by April 2026.
"Goldman Sachs says there's currently about a 45% chance in the next 12 months, up from a previous forecast of 35%."
US Economy
Pending
JP Morgan predicts the US will enter a recession in H2 2025, with GDP contracting 1% in Q3 2025 and 0.5% in Q4 2025, and unemployment rising to 5.3%.
"JP Morgan believes that the United States will enter into a recession in the latter half of 2025 as GDP contracts by 1% in the third quarter and by 0.5% in the fourth quarter with unemployment then pushing itself up to 5.3%."
US Economy
Pending
Poly Markets indicates a 61% probability of a US recession being declared by the end of 2025.
"Poly Markets 61% probability that a recession will be declared by the end of the year."
US Economy
Pending
OECD projects global GDP growth of 3.1% for 2025.
"the OECD or the Organization for Economic Cooperation Development, they are still projecting a global 3.1% GDP growth for 2025."
Global Economy
Pending