ilmscore | Mastering Creative Real Estate Financing with Kevin Amolsch

Mastering Creative Real Estate Financing with Kevin Amolsch

Published: 2024-05-03
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 8
Correct: 7
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Banks are predicted to continue restricting lending well into 2025.
"this is for the foreseeable future I mean well into 25 I would I would suspect um Banks aren't going to be lending"
Banking / Credit Availability
Correct
A stock market correction is predicted if the anticipated 150 basis points in interest rate cuts by experts in 2024 do not occur, as the market has already factored them into valuations.
"you know what what the experts are saying 150 basis points in in 2024 so now you have the stock market anticipating I don't know three Half Point Moves In the interest rate and they're building that into the valuation which scares the crap out of me because this there's so much volatility in the stock market which is why I love real real estate that's not going to impact it but it's definitely built into the stock market and I would suspect when that doesn't come to fruition we'll see some type of Correction"
Stock Market / Interest Rates
Incorrect
The large Millennial cohort is predicted to further constrain housing supply and ensure stability in real estate values due to their prime first-time home buyer age and wealth transfer.
"that Cort by the way is larger than than Baby Boomers right now so I think that's even going to hurt Supply further so I don't really see a way out here so I think there's a lot of stability in real estate values"
Housing Market / Demographics
Correct
Banks will continue to have limited lending well into 2025.
"and this is for the foreseeable future I mean well into 25 I would I would suspect um Banks aren't going to be lending"
Banking/Lending
Correct
The speaker expects to see 'some pain' (challenges/downturns) in the banking sector and certain classes of commercial real estate.
"but I am worried about baking and I am a little bit worried about the commercial certain classes in the commercial real estate I think we're going to see some pain in those two sectors"
Banking / Commercial Real Estate
Correct
A stock market correction is likely if the anticipated 150 basis point interest rate cuts in 2024 do not occur as expected by the market.
"I would suspect when that doesn't come to fruition we'll see some type of Correction"
Stock Market
Correct
The housing shortage will continue indefinitely due to lagging new construction and increased demand from the large Millennial cohort, who are prime first-time homebuyers inheriting wealth, thus ensuring stability in real estate values.
"the shortage I don't see an end in sight we just are so far behind on New on new construction... what's happening is that that wealth is is transferring to Millennials and Millennials are in the prime firsttime high home buyer that Cort is 25 years old right so they're the first-time home buyers so all this wealth is transferring to them what are they going to go do with it so I think and and that Cort by the way is larger than than Baby Boomers right now so I think that's even going to hurt Supply further so I don't really see a way out here so I think there's a lot of stability in real estate values"
Housing Market
Correct
Certain sectors of commercial real estate and the banking industry are predicted to experience challenges or 'pain'.
"I am a little worried about banking and I am a little bit worried about the commercial certain classes in the commercial real estate I think we're going to see some pain in those two sectors"
Banking & Commercial Real Estate
Correct