ilmscore | December 7th, 2025 | tastylive's First Call

December 7th, 2025 | tastylive's First Call

Predictions from this Video

Total: 2
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 0
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Predicted that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, December 10, 2025, based on the high probability priced in by the market and lack of upcoming economic data to change it.
"if the Fed meeting were tomorrow at 88% chance, they're going to cut. Well, it's not tomorrow. It happens to be Wednesday. So unless this swings 33 points in the next few days, which by the way, looking at the economic calendar, you're not going to see"
Interest Rates
Correct
Predicted two additional interest rate cuts in 2026, with the market expecting them in April and July.
"the market has it queued up as April and then another one in July and then that's it for the cuts next year. So just two."
Interest Rates
Pending
Predicted that if the Fed signals more rate cuts, bond prices will become weaker due to expectations of stronger growth and more inflation.
"if they signal more cuts to come, given how the market's trading right now, it makes me think that we're going to see weaker bond prices, if only because we're going to be looking at stronger growth and more inflation."
Bond Market
Incorrect