Published: 2024-07-08
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Author buys an Apple $237 call option expiring by July 19, 2024.
"random play has been executed I got the 237 the other one was a little too much so we're in there"
Pending
Author buys five Intel $70 call options expiring in December 2024, expecting a pre-earnings run-up.
"I went with the Intel pre- earnings I grabbed a December 70 calls I grabbed five of them for 7 cents a pop"
Pending
Author buys two Citigroup $75 call options expiring in August 2024 as an earnings play.
"I grab City I believe $75 calls for August I grabbed two of them for 7 cents a pop so small earnings play again"
Pending
Intel stock is predicted to run up before its upcoming earnings report, and the author plans to sell call options before the report.
"my logic is it's going to run up ahead of earnings and then we're going to sell those out before earnings"
Pending
Nike stock, if it drops below $76 or $77, is predicted to fall to $70 or possibly $68 this week (week of July 8, 2024).
"anything below the 77 or 76 the doors open up to 70 maybe even 68 so this is going to be the week though where we get a little bit extra flush on it"
Pending
Author adds more Nike shares to long-term positions at approximately $73.77.
"I added more Nike to the long term I added I used the other I used a little bit more so I think it gave me a little bit of margin uh but I did 50 shares on the big account and then I did five shares on the YouTube account and then I did three shares on uh Colt sister around 7377 I believe"
Pending
Author buys two Unity Software $25 call options expiring in August 2024, expecting a pre-earnings run-up.
"I grabbed Unity uh 25 calls for August I grabbed two of them ... if it makes any sort of move to that pre- earnings level then that's it"
Pending
Gold price is predicted to experience decent-sized movements this week (week of July 8, 2024) and next, driven by upcoming domestic and international data.
"I think gold is going to move off of it so especially for this week coming into next I think gold should have some decent Siz moves"
Pending
President Biden is predicted to have a stronger chance of winning the next US election than generally perceived, based on the outcome of the French election.
"my tinfoil is that Biden has a better chance than you think and the franch election shows that"
Pending
Despite recent negative sentiment and calls for him to drop out due to age, President Biden is still predicted to have a chance to win the next US election, similar to how the left-wing held up in the French election.
"I think Biden could still win that's it France shows it... but I I think Biden still has a shot although everybody's saying oh he's not going to run now or we need to get rid of him he's old no I definitely think they uh that he still has a shot"
Pending
If President Biden withdraws from the next US election, Kamala Harris is predicted to be the Democratic nominee, having met progressive criteria and secured funding access.
"if Biden somehow is going to back out camela is the choice again she has all of the progressive check boxes marked she would get access to the funding it's not too far of a ticket if you compare it to anybody else"
Pending
Within the next couple of years, non-farm payrolls are predicted to be revised to a negative number (e.g., +100k to -50k), signaling a significant shift in the job market.
"one at one point in the next couple of years you are going to watch the nonf Farms get revised to a negative number... you will get a a negative revision you will see a jobs number go from positive 100,000 to negative 50,000 or something and when that happens then it's game on"
Pending
Intel stock price will increase leading up to its earnings report, and the speaker plans to sell their call options before the earnings announcement to profit from this 'pre-earnings hype'.
"my logic is it's going to run up ahead of earnings and then we're going to sell those out before earnings I don't think Intel is going to double up like that maybe it does but ideally the the play We're Going For is the pre- earnings hype."
Pending
Nike's stock will either stabilize ('level out') or experience a significant drop ('big flush') this week.
"this week we're going to finally uh see Nike either like actually level out or really get its big flush and then we're going to see where that stock ends up"
Pending
Meta Platforms is expected to have strong earnings in the coming weeks due to its ties to consumer spending, business activity, and AI. The stock could either drop significantly or surge past $530-$550 after its earnings report.
"I think meta is going to have a big earnings here I think they're related to the consumer as well as uh tied into the whole AI stuff and then added spend both consumer and business I I think there's a lot riding there and they're at all-time highs so I do think they're going to be uh not for today but for I think their earnings is in a couple weeks but I think that one is one I'd keep an eye out. ... I think meta could either die or it could go real nuts above because again 530 550 that's a huge level"
Pending
Nike's stock may experience further downside in the coming days, potentially dropping to as low as $68.
"we may get a couple of days of downside on Nike if it really starts hitting a new low so then we could either finalize our longterm or go for something else on there. ... anything below the 77 or 76 the doors open up to 70 maybe even 68"
Pending
UPS stock could experience downside if its earnings are poor, but the speaker views it as a strong long-term hold.
"I think there's downside if they do bad on earnings but I mean this stock isn't going anywhere"
Pending
The VIX (Volatility Index) is expected to become more active and make significant moves towards the end of July.
"maybe towards the end of July I think the Vicks might start making some moves"
Pending
The speaker prefers to buy Pfizer stock at a lower price point, potentially after its next earnings report if the stock drops, to capitalize on its 6% dividend yield.
"I prefer fizer at the lower end if if Again by next earnings if it drops that'll probably be our dividend pickup cuz I like visor at 6% still."
Pending
Intel's stock is expected to experience a significant increase in the lead-up to its earnings report (pre-earnings run), but will likely decline ('die') after the earnings announcement.
"at some point before Intel it's going to have a huge pre- earnings run and then it's going to say nothing about the earnings so unfortunately Intel is probably still going to die but it's going to go through that back and forth."
Pending
Despite recent events and public outrage, President Biden has a stronger chance of winning the upcoming US election than many anticipate, as indicated by the outcome of the French election where the left's support held up.
"my tinfoil is that Biden has a better chance than you think and the franch election shows that"
Pending
The real estate market is expected to show more significant reactions once changes in the job market become apparent.
"I'm sure you'll start to see real estate react more once the job market actually reacts."
Pending
Jerome Powell's testimony before Congress this week is not expected to bring about any significant policy changes or new information.
"I don't think Powell is going to say much at the Senate stuff... I'm not really expecting any big meaningful changes out of Powell before Congress."
Pending
This week's CPI data is expected to align with current market expectations (a 'pathy data'), potentially causing some volatility in bonds if there's a 'hot print,' but overall, the bond market is anticipated to be the most active area for traders.
"if it plays kind of like the non- farms in the last CPI it should be very pathy data meaning we just follow the golden path people are expecting it to come down I don't I think a hot print would mess with the bonds a little bit but I do think in general bonds will probably be the answer this week or if you want any action I think the Bond Market is going to have that for you"
Pending
If interest rates are cut, there will be a short-term increase in home prices. However, the long-term impact on the real estate market will be more dependent on the overall economy and the job market.
"in the short run there will be a short-term burst of lower rates impacting real estate but but then how much it really affects it all I think that'll depend on the whole scope of the economy and the jobs Market rather than just rates"
Pending
If President Biden withdraws from the election, Kamala Harris is the most likely replacement candidate, given her alignment with progressive priorities and access to funding.
"if Biden somehow is going to back out camela is the choice again she has all of the progressive check boxes marked she would get access to the funding it's not too far of a ticket if you compare it to anybody else"
Pending
Within the next few years, the US Non-Farm Payrolls report is predicted to show a negative revision, indicating a significant downturn in the job market (e.g., from +100,000 to -50,000 jobs). This event will signal a major shift in economic conditions.
"at one point in the next couple of years you are going to watch the nonf Farms get revised to a negative number... you will see a jobs number go from positive 100,000 to negative 50,000 or something and when that happens then it's game on"
Pending