ilmscore | THE BIG DATA WEEK

THE BIG DATA WEEK

Predictions from this Video

Total: 24
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 24
Prediction
Topic
Status
Home Depot earnings are expected to be pivotal for understanding the broader economy and could reignite consumer fears or worries.
"Home Depot I like a lot I think Home Depot is going to be very pivotal I don't know cuz again like their latest trends have been weird where like they would just do very bad and kind of disconnected from what's going on but I think Home Depot is going to say a lot about the economy I think Home Depot McDonald's or Home Depot Walmart uh even Alibaba but Home Depot and Walmart uh they're going to uh it could reignite some of the uh consumer fears or worries"
HD
Pending
Gold is predicted to experience a 20% downside after the first interest rate cut, and then continue to climb afterwards, mirroring its behavior in 2008.
"I do think it has maybe 20% downside after we get our first cut and then after that I think uh it'll it'll continue to climb afterwards"
XAU
Pending
If Altria Group (MO) breaks above $53, it could potentially reach price targets of $55 or $58, with a possibility of hitting $60.
"Mo I mean really I think 52 and if it could get above 53 Mo could go as high as like 55 or even 58 I mean there is a world where $60 Mo exists but after all of this that would be in intense but it's possible I don't know if it's probable though"
MO
Pending
Interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are not expected to cause home prices to increase.
"even then there might be a little boost with the rate Cuts but I don't I'm not expecting rate cuts to be uh price increase inducing"
US Interest Rates
Pending
While a significant pullback and major price decline in the real estate market are possible, a 2008-style housing crisis is not expected.
"I think we could see a big pullback in ' 08 or a big pullback in real estate and maybe you know a major price decline but I don't think you could ever I don't know if you'd ever get anything that'll happen like' 08 did"
US Housing Market
Pending
Real estate markets in boom-and-bust, cash-driven areas like Las Vegas and Miami are predicted to be hit hardest, experiencing significant 'murder' on the downside. In contrast, areas with stable job markets and inherent stability will likely maintain their value during a pullback.
"I think Vegas Miami there those are usually hit the hardest again cash Industries and places that are really prone to booming bus and then places that don't have good jobs uh then the places with solid jobs will stay will stay up there... 100% I think some of the cheaper places that got very valuable for no reason those will be vulnerable again VI Miami and Vegas those are going to get murdered uh on the downside uh and then I do think if they if it was already like naturally just like stable and didn't go up or down too much those are going to be the places that'll do the same even during a pullback"
US Regional Real Estate
Pending
The Yen's direction and the resurgence of the carry trade depend on the Bank of Japan's stance; a dovish attitude will lead to Yen weakening, while a more forceful, data-supported hawkish stance will cause it to strengthen.
"the carry trade might come back if Japan is like a little scared puppy dog and they don't touch it and they're like oh [ __ ] we [ __ ] up and they don't want and they're too scared to talk aggressively everyone's going to pile back into the carry trade meaning the yen is going to weaken again and all of this was for nothing but if they come out and then they're like kind of a little more forceful and then the data supports it then we're still going to be kind of like then it'll keep advancing but we don't know yet the yen is is really weird right now because again it does have to play with the attitude of the Central Bank and whether or not they are more hawkish or doish"
Japanese Yen & Carry Trade
Pending
More high-quality companies will become available at value prices ('Bargain Bin') as interest rate cuts are implemented.
"I think if as we get into rate Cuts that's only going to happen more and more"
Equity Markets
Pending
The market is expected to experience significant volatility with 'pops and drops' throughout August 2024, driven by upcoming economic data and events.
"I think this month there's going to be a lot of pops and drops so right now we we kind of been like melting up a little bit but I do think the back and forth you know there's still a there's a lot of time and a lot of events so maybe maybe we'll eat all of our words tomorrow remember PPI and CPI we actually got a lot of stuff we're going to be dealing with this week so good luck my friends good luck"
August 2024 Market Outlook
Pending
The author anticipates a divergence between PPI and CPI data; a lower CPI (lower inflation) will be taken positively by the market, while higher inflation would lead to a negative market reaction. The exact leading indicator between the two is uncertain.
"I want to say I feel like CPI will be lower and PPI will be higher but than or or vice versa but it's hard to say but I do know that uh you know a lower CPI uh lower inflation the market will take it positively and then anything uh on the high side I think the market will vomit but it I do think there's going to be a Divergence between PPI and CPI but after some of the trends lately it's it's hard to tell because I don't know if we're five months delayed one month delayed and then which one will be the leader or not"
Economic Data (PPI & CPI)
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to reach $80,000 by November 2024.
"bitor 880,000 by November"
BTC
Pending
Gold is predicted to temporarily top out when a recession begins, then experience a potential 20% downside after the first rate cut, before bottoming out and ripping to a new all-time high, similar to 2008.
"I think gold will Top out temporarily when the recession starts and then as the market is finding its bottom gold will bottom out and then rip to a new high just like 08 so literally I do think it has maybe 20% downside after we get our first cut and then after that I think uh it'll it'll continue to climb afterwards"
XAU
Pending
The Yen carry trade is expected to resume, leading to Yen weakening, if the Bank of Japan adopts a cautious stance after its recent actions.
"the carry trade might come back if Japan is like a little scared puppy dog and they don't touch it... meaning the yen is going to weaken again and all of this was for nothing"
JPY
Pending
Altria Group (MO) is predicted to potentially reach $55-58, or even $60, if it breaks above $52-53.
"I think 52 and if it could get above 53 Mo could go as high as like 55 or even 58 I mean there is a world where $60 Mo exists"
MO
Pending
The market is expected to become highly volatile after today (August 12, 2024), with a potential 1-1.5% move for the week.
"all of the data literally today will probably be your only day that's chill and then after that I think we start to go crazy and I think we're pricing in around like 1 to 1.5 on the week or so"
Market Volatility
Pending
The speaker expects the real estate market to slow down.
"if I see real estate slowing down and I do"
Real Estate Market
Pending
The speaker does not expect upcoming interest rate cuts to cause home price increases.
"I don't I'm not expecting rate cuts to be uh price increase inducing"
Real Estate Market
Pending
The speaker predicts a potential 'big pullback' and 'major price decline' in the real estate market, but not a crisis on the scale of 2008.
"I think we could see a big pullback in ' 08 or a big pullback in real estate and maybe you know a major price decline but I don't think you could ever I don't know if you'd ever get anything that'll happen like' 08"
Real Estate Market
Pending
Significant market moves are expected after the CPI report (August 14, 2024).
"I think the bigger moves will happen after CPI"
Market Volatility
Pending
Kamala Harris is predicted to win the US Presidential election if people do not vote.
"y'all better go and vote otherwise camela is winning"
US Presidential Election
Pending
Real estate markets in places like Las Vegas and Miami are predicted to be hit hardest and 'get murdered' during a downside, due to their cash-based and boom-bust economies.
"I think Vegas Miami there those are usually hit the hardest again cash Industries and places that are really prone to booming bus and then places that don't have good jobs... those will be vulnerable again VI Miami and Vegas those are going to get murdered uh on the downside"
Real Estate Market
Pending
Interest rates are expected to be lower by September 2024, making it a good time to consider investing in bonds or high-yielding assets.
"by September in a month from now they're going to be switching you know uh the rates will be lower so now would be uh a good time to start moving into that"
Bond Market
Pending
The speaker expects August 2024 to experience significant 'pops and drops' (volatility) due to upcoming events and data.
"I think this month there's going to be a lot of pops and drops so right now we we kind of been like melting up a little bit but I do think the back and forth you know there's still a there's a lot of time and a lot of events"
Market Volatility
Pending
The speaker predicts a divergence between PPI and CPI, with CPI likely lower and PPI higher, or vice versa. A lower CPI is expected to be positive for the market, while a higher CPI would cause a negative reaction.
"I feel like CPI will be lower and PPI will be higher but than or or vice versa but it's hard to say but I do know that uh you know a lower CPI uh lower inflation the market will take it positively and then anything uh on the high side I think the market will vomit but it I do think there's going to be a Divergence between PPI and CPI"
US Inflation / Market Reaction
Pending