ilmscore | My Worst Case Scenario For Crypto in 2026… (FINALLY REVEALED)

Predictions from this Video

Total: 11
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 4
Pending: 6
Prediction
Topic
Status
Funstrat (Tom Lee's company) predicts Solana will fall to $50-$75 in the first half of 2026.
"My base case is a meaningful drawd down in the first half of 2026 with ... Salana $50 to $75."
SOL
Correct
Tom Lee's public bull case was Bitcoin at $150K in January 2026.
"the bull case was 150K in January, invalidating the four-year cycle, this is what Tom Lee was saying publicly he thinks could happen."
BTC
Incorrect
The speaker's bare case for Bitcoin, if the 4-year cycle holds, predicts a bounce from $60K-$65K to $95K-$100K, followed by a final capitulation to $56K.
"if the 4year cycle is intact I would expect a bounce from last cycles all-time high 60 65k maybe up to this resistance up here around 95k 100k and then we would see maybe a final capitulation at 56k"
BTC
Incorrect
Global Macro Investor predicts the current market cycle for Bitcoin will extend well into 2026, invalidating the traditional 4-year cycle.
"The balance of probabilities is that this cycle extends well into 2026. In that world, the 4-year cycle is dead."
Bitcoin/Crypto Market Cycles
Pending
Kathy Wood (Ark Invest) predicts 2026 will be a 'Goldilocks' year with stronger economic growth and much lower inflation, potentially dropping to zero or below due to falling oil and rents.
"So, we think next year could be somewhat of a Goldilocks year. And... growth will be much stronger and importantly inflation will be much much lower than it has been with tariffs... at some point it could drop to zero or below zero if we're right on uh oil continuing to fall and rents falling."
General Economy/Market
Pending
Fidelity predicts Bitcoin will have a down year in 2026, finding support in the $65K-$75K range.
"Fidelity is predicting that 2026 will be a down year with support for Bitcoin currently at the 65K to 75K price range."
BTC
Pending
Tom Lee believes Bitcoin and Ethereum will bounce and reach new all-time highs in January 2026.
"he still believes that Bitcoin is extremely oversold. Ethereum is extremely oversold. we'll see a bounce and we'll see a new all-time high in January. That's still what he believes."
BTC
Incorrect
Jordi Visser states Bitcoin's downtrend will remain in place and could extend further until it closes above $92,000 for three consecutive days.
"Until you close three days, three days in a row above 92,000, I think the downtrend is in place and you have to be very careful that it could extend further than what you believe."
BTC
Incorrect
A Fundstrat analyst predicts a meaningful drawdown in H1 2026 with Bitcoin falling to $60K-$65K, Ethereum to $1,800-$2,000, and Solana to $50-$75.
"My base case is a meaningful drawd down in the first half of 2026 with Bitcoin falling to 6065K, Ethereum to 1,800 to 2,000 and Salana $50 to $75."
Crypto Market
Pending
A Fundstrat analyst expects crypto to find a durable low in Q1-Q3 2026, followed by a rally into year-end, leading to a shorter and shallower bear market than previous cycles.
"I suspect that sometime in Q1 to Q3, we find a durable low and rally into year end, effectively ending the four-year cycle with a shorter and shallower bare market than in previous cycles."
Crypto Market Cycle
Pending
Kathy Wood predicts stronger economic growth and much lower inflation in 2026, potentially dropping to zero or below due to falling oil prices and rents.
"if we're right, uh growth will be much stronger and importantly inflation will be much much lower than it has been with tariffs. ... it could drop to zero or below zero if we're right on uh oil continuing to fall and rents falling."
Economy
Pending