![This is NOT Bullish For Crypto! [Most People Will Miss It] thumbnail](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/sjqVAws4b58/mqdefault.jpg)
This is NOT Bullish For Crypto! [Most People Will Miss It]
Published: 2025-12-22
Status:
Analyzed
Published: 2025-12-22
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin priced in silver is predicted to drop by 65% from its peak, reaching a level lower than current.
"We should see a drop of like 65%. That puts it a little bit lower than it is now."
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to retest $100K, then break down to make new lows, potentially ending its current cycle and starting to push up by Q1 or Q2 of 2026.
"My base case for now is that we retest 100K and then we sort of break down, make new lows. Maybe we start pushing up by the middle of next year. Q1 or Q2 of next year could be the end of this cycle."
Pending
A Q1 2026 reversal in crypto prices is possible due to continued tax loss harvesting in December 2025.
"So maybe we're going to see another Q1 potential reversal because we're going to have this tax loss harvesting in December likely to continue as people actively sell their crypto and their Bitcoin to realize some of those losses."
Pending
The Total 3 altcoin market cap (excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) might not expand past current levels until December 2026.
"For Total 3 to not expand past this line until next December?"
Pending
Crypto tech adoption may continue to increase in the shorter term without corresponding value accrual to crypto assets.
"But I think it is worth considering that there is a chance we continue to see adoption of the tech increase without value accruing to the asset layer in the shorter term."
Pending
AI-related assets are predicted to perform strongly, while crypto remains under pressure for an extended period.
"But I definitely do think it could be true that we stay under pressure and underwater for an annoying amount of time and see other assets, especially AI, do really well."
Pending
Global liquidity is expected to start impacting markets within the next 6 to 12 months (from December 2025, so between June 2026 and December 2026).
"But I do think over the next 6 months to 12 months, we start to see the liquidity that is being pushed into the markets from the US and the rest of the world start to end up playing into markets and filtering its way through."
Pending
The speaker's base case predicts Bitcoin will retest $100K, then drop to make new lows (likely below the $81K ETF cost basis mentioned earlier), with a potential upturn starting by mid-2026. Q1 or Q2 2026 is suggested as the end of the current market cycle's downturn.
"My base case for now is that we retest 100K and then we sort of break down, make new lows. Maybe we start pushing up by the middle of next year. Q1 or Q2 of next year could be the end of this cycle."
Pending
The crypto market is predicted to see a potential reversal in Q1 2026, following continued tax loss harvesting sales in December 2025.
"maybe we're going to see another Q1 potential reversal because we're going to have this tax loss harvesting in December likely to continue as people actively sell their crypto and their Bitcoin to realize some of those losses."
Pending
The altcoin market cap (Total 3, excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) is predicted to potentially not surpass its previous breakdown level until December 2026, implying a year of stagnation or decline.
"Is this something people are ready for? For Total 3 to not expand past this line until next December?"
Pending
The crypto market is predicted to remain under pressure and potentially 'underwater' for an extended period, while AI-related assets are expected to perform strongly.
"But I definitely do think it could be true that we stay under pressure and underwater for an annoying amount of time and see other assets, especially AI, do really well."
Pending
The speaker predicts that the majority of Layer 1 crypto valuations are currently overvalued and will struggle to grow into their true valuations without significant increases in on-chain user adoption.
"Personally, I don't particularly think that the vast majority of the valuation in L1s right now is right. They are priced to perfection... And so unless we get these new users on-chain, it is going to be very hard for these things to truly grow into their real valuations."
Pending
Over the next 6 to 12 months (from December 2025), global liquidity inflows are predicted to filter into crypto markets, leading to crypto prices closing the current gap and catching up with other assets/adoption.
"But I do think over the next 6 months to 12 months, we start to see the liquidity that is being pushed into the markets from the US and the rest of the world start to end up playing into markets and filtering its way through. And then we start to see this gap close."
Pending