ilmscore | Bitcoin Whales Are Selling: The Bearish On-Chain Reality (2026 Outlook)

Bitcoin Whales Are Selling: The Bearish On-Chain Reality (2026 Outlook)

Published: 2026-01-04
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 6
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 6
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin's negative capital net flow is unlikely to turn positive quickly based on historical data.
"So to expect this to just turn around, I think is probably based on history, you know, is not a very good bet to take."
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to see further downside action in the middle of Q1 2026, unless it breaks and holds above 107K.
"But unless that happens, then my base case is that the middle of Q1, you know, we're probably going to see further downside action."
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin is more likely to reach 100K than to break below the 81K previous wick level (short-term trade outlook).
"I think it's much more likely we hit 100K than than we break below this previous wick level, 81K."
BTC
Pending
The US national PMI (ISM) is predicted to show an upside surprise (i.e., beat expectations).
"So it wouldn't be surprising to see an upside surprise here."
US Economy
Pending
Economic expansion (US national PMI above 50) is not expected to happen immediately but will take a long time to materialize.
"My base case is not that this happens immediately. It takes a very very long time for these things to actually come to fruition and end up playing out."
US Economy
Pending
Quantitative Tightening (QT) is reversing soon, leading to more money pushing into the economy and liquidity returning.
"so this is actually going to be reversing soon, and we're going to start to see more money push into the economy. Liquidity is coming back again."
Macroeconomics
Pending