Predictions from this Video

Total: 11
Correct: 6
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 5
Prediction
Topic
Status
Returns in arbitrage funds will be impacted due to increased costs (likely referring to the STT increase).
"But now arbitrage fund will get impacted. The return in arbitrage fund might get impacted. Why? Because they buy in let's say future and have a position in the cash market. So they try to take the benefit of the opportunity of that arbitrage. But the cost has increased now. So the return henceforth you will see get impacted in the arbitrage fund."
Arbitrage Funds
Correct
Arbitrage mutual fund categories will be a detriment.
"Uh and the second thing which uh makes me feel that mutual fund categories like arbitrage is definitely going to be a detriment"
Arbitrage Funds
Pending
Equities, especially small caps, will perform well.
"I'm reasonably confident that equities especially small caps now if you ask me"
Small Cap Equities
Pending
Companies with high cash on their balance sheets, especially among the NSE small cap 250 that have fallen the most, have a higher probability of announcing buybacks due to reduced taxation, which will be beneficial for shareholders.
"If frequency increases and if I don't even participate in that buyback that means that company is buying out its shares which is a very good positive sign. So now how does one trader derive a strategy out of what I just said so that it does not remain academic. You can look at all the NSE small cap 250 companies which have fallen the most. look at their balance sheet who has got maximum cash. those are the guys with a higher probability to announce a buyback because they want their share to go up or they want to distribute it and now they found a very efficient method to distribute this money cost effectively to a common shareholder."
Buyback Taxation
Pending
From April 1, 2026, buybacks will be taxed more favorably for retail investors, with capital gains only on the profit portion (not the full buyback amount) at 12.5% for long-term holdings, and an exemption for gains up to 1.25 lakh per PAN. This change is expected to be significant in the next financial year.
"So from 1st April 26, if I go for a buyback and let's say the buyback price I'm getting is three lakh rupees and the cost of my that particular shares are two lakh rupees. So I have to pay capital gain only on one lakh and not only that that's consider that as a long-term I'm holding for more than 12 and a half months or 12 months and then I'm offering this for a buyback. So I I will pay 12.5% tax. Not only that you know that in my long-term capital gain I don't have to pay tax up to 1 lakh 25,000 per person per pan this is exemption exemption right so if I give you in this example 3 lakh rupees is a buyback value 2 lakh is my cost so one lakh is my gain on this buyback on that I will pay 12.5% but if the total gain during the year is less than 1.25 25 but is not X. M so again this is a win-win and it's a great change I would say though people are not anticipating how big it is you will see next financial year"
Buyback Taxation
Correct
From April 1, 2026, secondary holders of SGBs will have to pay tax on redemption to the government, removing the tax-exempt benefit for them. This will lead to less traction and reduced buying interest in SGBs in the secondary market.
"So from 1st April 26 I go and surrender at the redemption to government and I have bought it. When you mean government RBI RBI because they will ask for the maturity when there is a due after the 8 years let's say you have invested for 5 years and remaining 3 years is with me. Okay. So for me is also till now tax exempt but from 1st April 26 it's changing. So I have to pay tax on that because I'm a secondary holder and not the primary holder. Oh so that's a big change. So from tomorrow onwards I think SGB will have a less traction. That's a big thing. Why? Because nobody want to buy SGB now because there is no benefit in the buying in a secondary market from the DMAC."
Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGB)
Correct
Starting Monday (the day after the budget), the liquidity in SGBs is expected to dry up as people become aware of the new tax rules for secondary holders.
"So now I am expecting from Monday which is tomorrow onwards which which is from the next day from the budget the liquidity in the SGB once people come to know should dry up"
Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGB)
Correct
The auto sector's strong performance will continue.
"Auto has done really well the last. So will that continue to happen? To my mind, yes."
Auto Sector
Pending
Railways and associated stocks are a good sector to invest in.
"uh rail and railways associated stocks are are not so frothy. Okay, I don't want to mention stocks because I'm not qualified. Yeah, that's one space where you it's good to fish there. That's a pond you would like to fish in."
Railways and Associated Stocks
Correct
Some cement stocks, especially those in the Nifty index, will perform phenomenally well.
"okay cement stocks some cement stocks will do phenomenally well in my belief especially if they are in nifty"
Cement Stocks (Nifty)
Pending
For Financial Year 2025-2026, the ITR 3 due date for business and profession filers will shift to August 31st (from July 31st), while ITR 1 and 2 filers will retain the July 31st due date.
"If you are a filing ITR 1 and two your due date going to be 31st July. If somebody like you and me filing ITR 3 because we are business and profession that has shifted to 31st of uh August instead of July. you get one more month from this year onwards when you go and file return for financial year 2526 in July 26. So for you and me because we are filing ITR 3 the due date is 31st of August instead of July. But if somebody is only sell right and having capital gain who are filing typically ITR 1 and two the due date is 31st July only."
Income Tax Return (ITR) Due Dates
Correct