Published: 2024-04-29
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin will chop sideways post-halving for 30 days, averaging a 5% gain.
"all the historic CES basically 30 days after the having Bitcoin chops sideways it goes up either 5% or falls down 5% uh on average it's 5% gain so with that it's it's not surprising what's happening right now"
Pending
Hong Kong Bitcoin ETF is predicted by issuers to achieve $125 million in first-day inflows.
"the Hong Kong ETF issuer expressed confidence that the issuance scale of the... could match the first day of us inflows of about 125 million and there's many investors as well in Singapore Middle East and other places that are interested it's not just Hong Kong and not just High Networth individuals in mainland China but uh the issuers are confident they get 125 million in the first day which would match the US ETFs"
Pending
Bitcoin is expected to test lower in the short term.
"I would be unsurprised if we had a little bit of a of a of a test lower"
Pending
The first 30 days post-halving will be 'dead', followed by 'bombastic' returns in the next 60 days of the 90-day period.
"the 30 days the three months after the having can be very spectacular the average return for the 90 days after the having so the first 30 days of the 90 days is dead and then then the next 60 days of the 90 days can be bombastic"
Pending
If the Japanese Yen faces problems, leading to quantitative easing (QE), Bitcoin will 'absolutely rip'.
"if the Japanese Yen really does become a problem we're probably just bring forward QE um and that would probably just mean that we absolutely rip"
Pending
A significant flow of stablecoins is predicted to move through the Solana network.
"you could really see a big flow of stable coins moving through it"
Pending
In a severe economic crisis involving a bond market meltdown, Bitcoin will initially see an aggressive sell-off but will perform 'very very well' in the medium term.
"if this was to really spiral and things were to get really bad and let's say Bon were to blow out I actually think that Bitcoin would rally but it it very easily have a selloff and maybe even an aggressive sell-off like we saw just like with the banks uh moving like they did... Bitcoin does well in the crisis it may do not that great in the first two weeks of that sort of Crisis but I think it will do very very well in in the medium term"
Pending
MicroStrategy's earnings per share (EPS) will be 'obscene' if accounting rules change to reflect Bitcoin holdings and gains.
"if they can do that the earnings per share for micro strategy will be obscene today"
Pending
MicroStrategy is predicted to experience another short squeeze similar to its previous run to $2000.
"we could see that happen again"
Pending
Tesla is likely to get Full Self-Driving (FSD) approval for public roads in China through a partnership with Baidu for 3D mapping.
"they are looking to find a way to legally operate FSD on public roads in China and they've put together a partnership with Buu which have 3D mapping so now the Tesla cars will have 3D mapping and they'll probably get FSD approval as well"
Pending
Cities with congestion and a lack of cab drivers will adopt Tesla's Robo-taxi, leading to widespread FSD approval across Europe in a 'game of domino'.
"those cities that have congestion that don't have enough cab drivers that need this type of Robo taxi thing they will adopt because they have to... everyone will approve it for sure it's just a game of domino"
Pending
Tesla's Robo-taxi service could open up an entirely new business segment.
"the robo taxi thing could be a whole new whole opening up of the business I think"
Pending
The Ethereum ETF is not expected to be approved in May 2024.
"I still think the ETF is not going to come in May"
Pending
Solana will become 'very very difficult to argue against' after the implementation of Firedancer.
"I think salana particularly after um fire answer will be very very difficult to argue against"
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to reach above $100,000 by the end of the current year (2024).
"I think we going higher than higher than 100K yeah"
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to easily go above $100,000, potentially reaching over $200,000, by the end of the year (2024).
"I think Bitcoin could easily go above 100K um it could even go above 200k by the end of the year"
Pending
Smaller DeFi and wallet operators will ring-fence the US market due to inability to fight SEC lawsuits, while larger entities like MetaMask may continue to fight.
"I think you will see this though there's a lot of people that do not have the money to fight like consensus uh the SEC and I think you saw this happen with many different um cases in like the uh even in the nft space when I was involved like people just ring fence the US because they just can't be bothered with the headache... I think metamark will probably stay because they're fighting the case but a lot of the smaller wallets... I think you'll see this from a lot of smaller operators in the Defi and and wallet space"
Pending
New decentralized wallets will emerge, and the US government will ultimately fight a losing battle against decentralization.
"can they shut everyone down no because new ones will pop up and that's the beauty of decentralization so they're winning they're fighting a losing battle I think over time"
Pending
If the SEC's stance on software as speech reaches the Supreme Court, the SEC is likely to lose.
"if it did come to a big Supreme Court case odds are they'd lose the SEC like they have done against even xrp and coinbase etc etc"
Pending
Other fiat currencies are predicted to follow the Japanese Yen's decline.
"and and other Fiats will follow this"
Pending
China will continue reducing its US treasury holdings and buying gold.
"China's going to start doing that they have already been doing that they've been reducing their their treasury Holdings and buying gold"
Pending
The Chinese government is predicted to become more open and cooperative with Western companies.
"I think the Chinese government wants to be much more open much more Cooperative with Western companies"
Pending
An LLM aggregator service will emerge, offering free access to various open-source LLMs.
"the next thing we'll probably see watch this space will be an llm aggregator that will be over all the open- source llms and you'd be able to get all you want for free"
Pending
Artificial intelligence will continue to double in capability repeatedly at an unfathomable pace.
"now it will keep getting twice as good twice as good again and again and again we can almost not Phantom this"
Pending
AI will cause far more disruption across all industries than currently imaginable in the long term.
"it will disrupt everything a lot more than we can imagine"
Pending
The legal case between Consensus and the SEC is predicted to take several months or longer to resolve.
"consensus has a very strong case against the SEC but we're probably talking a few months till that gets resolved maybe even longer than that"
Pending
Many meme coins will only experience one pump and then decline, with no second pump, though some may transition to more serious, long-term projects.
"many of these meme coins will only have one pump not all of them some will kind of transition into something more longterm and more serious but many will have a curve that looks like this and there's no second pump on this ones"
Pending
Hong Kong Bitcoin ETFs predicted to achieve $125 million in inflows on their first day, matching US ETF first-day performance.
"The Hong Kong ETF issuer believes they could match the first day of US inflows of about 125 million."
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to reach $300,000 based on a model developed by the host.
"The other one [scenario from my 2021 model] ends up in 300,000."
Pending
A significant problem with the Japanese Yen will likely trigger early Quantitative Easing, leading to a substantial increase in Bitcoin's price.
"If the Japanese Yen really does become a problem, we're probably just bring forward QE... and that would probably just mean that we absolutely rip."
Pending
Stripe's support for USDC stablecoin payments will be massive, allowing widespread use of crypto for online purchases, especially leveraging Solana's speed.
"This is gigantic if they are adding support for stable coin payments you can actually start using crypto... I mean I think this will be massive actually I 100%."
Pending
A scenario where Asian countries sell US treasuries to protect their currencies could lead to a global market meltdown; Bitcoin might initially dip but will perform 'very, very well' in the medium term.
"If [Japan, South Korea, China] start selling US treasuries... you could have a bit of a spiral here... a bit of a meltdown or bit of a freak out. Bitcoin does well in the crisis, it may do not that great in the first two weeks... but I think it will do very very well in in the medium term."
Pending
MicroStrategy's earnings per share will become 'obscene' and 'melt faces' if FASB rules are modified to allow them to reflect Bitcoin holdings and gains.
"Literally if they can do that [FASB allows them to reflect Bitcoin holdings and gains], the earnings per share for MicroStrategy will be obscene today... their earnings per share will will melt faces."
Pending
MicroStrategy's stock is predicted to 'go to the Moon' (experience a large price increase) when Bitcoin rallies, driven by its short interest and meme stock characteristics.
"When Bitcoin rips like this thing [MicroStrategy] can can really... go much further... I hope this thing goes to the Moon."
Pending
Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) system is likely to receive approval for operation on public roads in China, following a partnership with Baidu.
"They'll probably get FSD approval as well [for public roads in China]... with Baidu."
Pending
Tesla's planned ride-hailing business is predicted to effectively compete with established players like Uber and Lyft.
"They think that [Tesla's ride-hailing business] could really compete with like Uber and Uber and Lyft."
Pending
Tesla's Optimus robot business, while uncertain, has the potential to become a 'huge win'.
"Optimus and the robot part of the business could be probably has the the most unknown but could be a huge huge win if they do do that well."
Pending
The Ethereum ETF is predicted not to be approved in May 2024.
"I still think the ETF [Ethereum ETF] is not going to come in May [2024]."
Pending
Ethereum Layer 2 solutions and optimistic rollups are predicted not to effectively solve the scalability problem.
"I am not optimistic on optimistic rollups or ETH L2s are not solving the problem."
Pending
Solana will see increased adoption because users prioritize permissionless access, speed, and low fees over maximal decentralization, which Solana offers effectively.
"People don't care about decentralized, they care about permissionless... and now we have Solana which kind of does that only better and better decentralization."
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to go higher than $100,000, potentially even exceeding $200,000, by the end of 2024.
"I think we going higher than higher than 100K... Bitcoin could easily go above 100K, it could even go above 200k by the end of the year."
Pending
The rule preventing Bitcoin ETFs from being used as collateral will eventually be reversed.
"I think it's just a preemptive strike... which will be reversed ultimately because an asset is an asset."
Pending
Many smaller DeFi and crypto wallet operators will exit or restrict services in the US due to regulatory pressure and the cost of legal battles.
"I think you'll see this from a lot of smaller operators in the Defi and and wallet space [ring-fencing the US]."
Pending
The US government's efforts to shut down crypto wallets and services will ultimately fail because new decentralized alternatives will continuously emerge.
"Can they shut everyone down? No because new ones will pop up and that's the beauty of decentralization so they're winning they're fighting a losing battle I think over time."
Pending
The Japanese Yen is in an unstoppable, rapid decline, and other fiat currencies will experience similar collapses.
"This is just a short deadly spiral out of control and nothing can stop it, and other Fiats will follow."
Pending
Cities experiencing congestion and a shortage of taxi drivers will be compelled to adopt robo-taxi services.
"Those cities that have congestion... they will adopt [robo-taxi services] because they have to."
Pending
Meta's open-sourcing of its Llama AI model is predicted to increase competition for, and potentially challenge the growth of, Microsoft and OpenAI in the AI sector.
"Meta's open-source Llama AI model could now compete with ChatGPT... the growth in like Microsoft and what OpenAI has been doing could now be challenged."
Pending
An aggregator for all open-source Large Language Models (LLMs) will likely emerge, offering free access to their capabilities.
"The next thing we'll probably see... will be an LLM aggregator that will be over all the open-source LLMs and you'd be able to get all you want for free."
Pending
Artificial intelligence will disrupt all technology, tech companies, crypto, and the entire digital era far beyond current imagination.
"Artificial intelligence... will disrupt so much technology, tech companies, AI and everything around crypto and the entire that I call era digitalis it will disrupt everything a lot more than we can imagine."
Pending
The Igan airdrop is predicted to be worth multi-billions of dollars.
"Igan which people say you know could be multi-multi-billions."
Pending
Farcaster, Drift, and Renzo are expected to have significant airdrops.
"Farcaster has big airdrop... you have Drift... and then you have Renzo... so four relatively Big Airdrops."
Pending
The Blast airdrop is expected to occur within approximately one month from the video date (April 29, 2024).
"Blast... that's gonna be a big airdrop which I think should be in the next month or so."
Pending
A majority of meme coins are predicted to experience only a single significant price pump, without subsequent large rallies.
"Many of these meme coins will only have one pump... and there's no second pump on these ones."
Pending
A hack or major incident at Coinbase, which provides custody for many new Bitcoin ETFs, would result in the 'worst hit to the system ever' for the crypto market.
"Imagine heaven forbid something happens to Coinbase they get hacked, that could be the worst hit to the system ever."
Pending
Bitcoin will initially perform poorly in a financial crisis but will rebound and do very well in the medium term.
"Bitcoin does well in the crisis it may do not that great in the first two weeks of that sort of Crisis but I think it will do very very well in in the medium term"
Pending
If MicroStrategy's accounting is modified to reflect Bitcoin holdings, its earnings per share will be 'obscene' (for Q1 2024, reporting on the day of the video).
"literally if they can do that the earnings per share for micro strategy will be obscene today"
Pending
MicroStrategy stock could experience another short squeeze, similar to its previous rally to $2,000, negatively impacting hedge funds.
"we could see that happen again"
Pending
Meta's open-sourcing of its Llama AI model could negatively impact Microsoft and OpenAI by creating significant competition for ChatGPT.
"they've G kind of Open Source with their llama AI model um which is could could kind of be bad for Microsoft and and open AI like if we have an open source um llm which is which which could uh now compete with um chat GPT"
Pending
The spot Ethereum ETF will not be approved (or begin trading) in May 2024.
"I still think the ETF is not going to come in May"
Pending
The Blast crypto project's airdrop is anticipated within the next month (from April 29, 2024).
"that airdrop which I think should be in the next month or or so that that's a very very near-term one"
Pending
Bitcoin price will exceed $100,000 by the end of 2024.
"I think we going higher than higher than 100K"
Pending
Bitcoin could reach above $100,000, potentially even $200,000, by the end of 2024.
"I think Bitcoin could easily go above 100K um it could even go above 200k by the end of the year"
Pending
Bitcoin price to reach $300,000, based on one of his models (from February 2021).
"the other one ends up in 300,000"
Pending
Many smaller crypto operators will exclude US customers due to the prohibitive cost and burden of fighting SEC regulations.
"I think you will see this though there's a lot of people that do not have the money to fight like consensus uh the SEC and I think you saw this happen with many different um cases in like the uh even in the nft space when I was involved like people just ring fence the US because they just can't be bothered with the headache it's not that they agree with the SEC they just don't have the funds to fight them and they don't they can't be bother to to face the headache until somebody with more with more funds fights them"
Pending
MetaMask is predicted to continue operating in the US because they are actively fighting their legal case against the SEC.
"I think metamark will probably stay because they're fighting the case"
Pending
US regulators are fighting a losing battle against crypto decentralization, as new services will always emerge.
"Can they shut everyone down no because new ones will pop up and that's the beauty of decentralization so they're winning they're fighting a losing battle I think over time"
Pending
US regulators are focused on services facilitating criminal activity, not broadly targeting open-source crypto or the entire industry.
"I don't think they're going after open source I don't think they want to stop the whole thing I think they specifically going after things they feel is is uh running a service targeting um criminal activity"
Pending
Other fiat currencies will follow the Japanese Yen's decline, eventually failing.
"other Fiats will follow this is just a perfect storm in a teacup where they have no choice but to shrivel up and die"
Pending
Global financial instability (e.g., countries selling US Treasuries) could force the Federal Reserve to implement more relaxed monetary policy sooner.
"this could force the FED to bring forward uh more easing uh like a more relaxed policy"
Pending
An aggregator for open-source Large Language Models (LLMs) is expected to emerge, offering free access to various LLMs.
"the next thing we'll probably see watch this space will be an llm aggregator that will be over all the open- source llms and you'd be able to get all you want for free"
Pending
Artificial intelligence will continue to double in quality repeatedly at an unimaginable pace.
"now it will keep getting twice as good twice as good again and again and again we can almost not Phantom this"
Pending