Published: 2024-06-24
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
If Bitcoin breaks the 60,800 support level, it could fall to around 51,800.
"if we break this support I think that I mean perhaps we could get something similar to this some sort of fake up but fake out but the bigger level looking at both the price action and the volume profile is down here then at you know 51,800 maybe"
Pending
Mt. Gox Bitcoin distributions are predicted to start in July 2024.
"the mount g distributions are most likely to start in July"
Pending
Mt. Gox Bitcoin distributions are predicted to be finished by Q3 2024.
"they said that these distributions would happen would be finished by Q3"
Pending
50-70% of the Bitcoin distributed by Mt. Gox is predicted to be held by recipients, not immediately sold.
"the majority again 50 to 70% I believe of the mount gaau will be held at the very least so it's not like n billion is going to be dumped"
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to bounce and chop around the 60k support level for a period, rather than immediately breaking through it.
"I imagine at least some form of a of a bounce around this sort of level and then we'll have to decide like you don't just smash through 60k in my opinion it's been it's been tested so many different times and I think we're going to see uh it chop around this level for a little bit"
Pending
Bitcoin's price is predicted to rise naturally as global liquidity increases.
"Ral Paul likes to call it is about to get switched back on and we are about to go back up uh and Bitcoin will go back up naturally with with global liquidity"
Pending
Spot Ethereum ETFs are predicted to launch within the next week or approximately eight days from the video's publication date (June 24, 2024).
"in the next week potentially eight days is what Bloomberg predicts we will see spot e ETFs"
Pending
Ethereum ETF inflows are estimated to be only 15% of Bitcoin ETF inflows.
"the flows will be maybe 15% I estimate"
Pending
The Grayscale Ethereum Trust (GETH) is expected to unwind post-ETF launch, similar to GBTC, creating sell pressure on ETH.
"the ethereum grayscale trust unwind we're going to see the exact same Playbook roll out like we did with grayscale dumping nearly 60 % of their bags... they will be unwinding their trade probably pretty quickly so there will be some sell pressure which will impact eth"
Pending
Ethereum ETFs are predicted to achieve net inflows in the low billions, representing only 5-10% of Bitcoin ETF inflows, which will be considered disappointing.
"I think we probably end up in the in the low billions of inflows net inflows even including some of the grayscale exits but I think that will will definitely disappoint versus the uh the Bitcoin ETF I think we're we're talking about fractions here like 5 to 10%"
Pending
The initial price action for Ethereum around the ETF launch is predicted to involve a build-up of anticipation, followed by a post-launch disappointment and price dip, similar to Bitcoin's ETF launch.
"perhap that would be my B base C base case that something similar happens it kind of builds up some anticipation then on the launch day not much happens people get disappointed it backs up and only after that we will see what actually will happen"
Pending
Bitcoin dominance is predicted to approach 60% in the first week after the ETH ETF launch, driven by initial disappointment in ETH ETF performance.
"my personal view is that we'll probably see Bitcoin dominance head to closer towards 60 60% in and around that first week just as it slightly disappoints"
Pending
Solana is predicted to achieve 5,000x to 10,000x improvements in scale and cost, including a 99.9% cost reduction and a 1,000x increase in potential speed, due to ZK compression.
"we could see 5,000 to 10,000 uh improvements in scale and in cost on salana a huge huge upgrade here... 99% 99.9% reduction in cost which is huge also a THX increase in potential speed too"
Pending
Solana's recent technical upgrades are predicted to establish an "unsalable lead" and a strong, defensible competitive moat in terms of speed and cost for the foreseeable future.
"this unsalable lead now when it comes to being fast and cheap which is kind of what salana needs to be even before fire dances so it just feels like it's got a really strong defensible moat now for the foreseeable future in my opinion with that narrative"
Pending
A fleet of 1 million Tesla robotaxis is predicted to generate $17 billion in operating income, more than doubling current annual income, with potential to scale to 100 million robotaxis globally.
"a fleet of 1 million robot taxis will generate about 17 billion in operating income which is will more than double the annual income and of course from there they can scale and he mentioned numbers like a 100 million Robo taxis around the world"
Pending
10 out of the top 11 central banks are predicted to cut interest rates in the second half of 2024.
"10 of the top 11 central banks set to cut rates in the second half of this year"
Pending
Global liquidity is predicted to increase in the second half of 2024.
"Global equility is going to go back up particularly the second half up this year"
Pending
The global economy is entering one of the biggest periods of interest rate reductions seen in decades.
"we could be on for one of the biggest periods of reduction in rates we've seen in in decades here"
Pending
Massive, stealth easing totaling tens to hundreds of billions of dollars is predicted to occur to stabilize the US Treasury market due to Japanese bank issues.
"this could mean massive easing to the tune of tens hundreds of billions if this is done and it would be stealth"
Pending
The supply of US dollars is predicted to increase to maintain the current financial system setup.
"his conclusion is that the supply of dollars must increase to maintain the current setup basically"
Pending
DePIN is predicted to grow to a market size comparable to Decentralized Finance (DeFi).
"I think deepin is has the potential to be as big as dii"
Pending
Within 2-3 years (by 2026-2027), much of the world's technology is predicted to be mobile, AI-driven, decentralized, and tokenized.
"two years from now everything would be mobile everything would be AI driven everything will be decentralized tokenized Etc maybe not two years but three years for sure a lot will be"
Pending
AI Super Intelligence (ASI) is predicted to arrive within the next 10 years (by 2034).
"SoftBank uh CEO came out uh this week and says we're headed to Super intelligence for as uh for for AI ASI AI super intelligence is going to be coming in the next 10 years"
Pending
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is predicted to be mature by 2025-2026, and AI Super Intelligence (ASI) could arrive even sooner than 10 years, potentially within 2-3 years (by 2026-2027), with a 1600x pace of change.
"AGI will be mature in two years 2025 2026 ... the pace of change will be, 1600x better in two to three years... 10 years I think could be a little bit far off I think we could get there a lot sooner... two to three years ASI sorry ASI fast"
Pending
Given continuous doubling in AI capacity, AI intelligence is predicted to become 1,000 times better in 10 years (by 2034) and potentially 10,000 times more intelligent 10 years after reaching 10x human intelligence.
"doubling every year in capacity is not unrealistic... that means that in 10 years it will get a thousand times better so if we can get to the first 10x we will absolutely get to the 10,000 times more intelligent 10 years later than that"
Pending
Many high-value jobs are predicted to be replaced by AI sooner rather than later.
"a lot of what is today considered uh high value jobs I think will be replaced and uh sooner rather than later"
Pending