Published: 2025-01-13
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Morty gives a 5% chance Bitcoin will reach $74,000.
"worst case scenario I would say was a 5% chance I still think it's a 5% chance that we reach the you know technical Head and Shoulders Target which is in the 74 region"
Pending
Morty gives a 15% chance Bitcoin will reach its 200-day EMA at $78,500.
"then a 15% chance that we hit the 200 EMA which Bitcoin always retraces to the 200 daily EMA before it moves up and that's sitting at now it's moved up a little bit around 78,500"
Pending
Morty gave a 35% chance Bitcoin would continue trading up along its trend line.
"then that there was a 35% chance that we would uh continue on our trend line and keep trading up"
Pending
Morty gave a 45% chance Bitcoin would sweep the $88,888-$89,000 liquidation level.
"a 45% chance that they would sweep that that last liquidation level which was at 88888 or 89,000"
Pending
Morty gives a 20% chance Bitcoin will go lower and break $89,500.
"I'd say 20% chance we go lower and break that low of 895"
Pending
Solana is expected to drop to $160-$150 due to panic selling.
"there's liquidity at 175 it's coming for that and probably with fomo selling I with panic selling it's going to drop lower 160 150 you've got to expect that this is crypto if you don't can't tolerate the crypto pullbacks you shouldn't be in crypto you should hold spot if anything and you know go for a walk this is how it works"
Pending
The premium of MicroStrategy stock (MSTR) over its Bitcoin holdings could fall to parity or even lower.
"not only can It Fall to parody to their Bitcoin bag assuming there's no intrinsic value for the business Etc but it can actually go lower because of a whole bunch of different reasons"
Pending
By 2028-2032, MicroStrategy's NAV (Net Asset Value) premiums will be eliminated by arbitrage.
"by 2030 2028 2032 nav premiums will all be arbed away"
Pending
Solana (SOL) is predicted to move up to $300.
"I believe from here we move up we move up to $300"
Pending
Spritz and Phantom wallets will integrate with Sui, and Sui will launch W Rus decentralized storage.
"Spritz is going to sui we've got Phantom going to sui we've got sui launching W Rus decentralized storage coming out sui and salana are going balls to the wall into internet 2 internet 2 is the future"
Pending
Volatility Shares will launch Solana Futures ETFs, and five Solana Spot ETFs are expected to roll out and be approved by Scott Besson after Trump's first month in office.
"they listed today on the SEC you can look it up right now they filed for five Salon future ETFs a 1x a 2X a 1x short it's happening volatility shares it's going to pick up the Futures ETF you have five spot ETFs rolling out probably after you know the first month of trump I expect Scott bent to start approving these things"
Pending
The S&P 500 (SPY) is expected to pull back to 5,500.
"the level I'm looking for for the Spy to pull back is 5,500 don't be shocked that's 20 points down that would be your 50% pullback from the move from August"
Pending
Once the S&P 500 hits 5,500 and reverses, it will trigger a massive rally ('banana zone') coinciding with Trump's inauguration.
"Once that's hit and that turns we're going to the Moon that's your banana Zone and it times up perfectly with the Trump inauguration"
Pending
The US government's sale of seized Bitcoin is a future event, dependent on Trump's administration and Senator Lummis's input.
"when they will sell yes it's still looming in the future we're gonna have to wait for Trump we're gonna have to wait for Lumis"
Pending
60% of S&P 500 companies, including major sectors like banks, telecommunications, and media, are predicted to fail or become 'zombie companies' within the next 8-10 years due to disruption.
"60% of the S&P 500 probably won't be here in 8 to 10 Years it'll all die it's all zombie companies and we're talking Banks we're talking Telco companies we're talking media companies all being disrupted"
Pending
Bitcoin is following the 2016-2017 market cycle pattern, which will lead to the greatest bull run ever seen, driven by significant capital flowing back into the market and into crypto.
"this is the 2016 17 cycle the red line is where we are now as you can see we following that cycle pretty cleanly and today we had that pullback you can see it there very cleanly we just went through that little pullback there at the end of the red line so for some hope the end of the show I have tremendous hope I believe that uh there will never be more money coming back into the market it's all about getting out of the pool and getting back in the pool then goes into crypto this is going to be the greatest bull run we've ever seen"
Pending
Bitcoin's price will inevitably rise due to rapidly increasing demand and decreasing supply.
"we have the demand going through the roof and the supply tanking it's only a matter of time before the laws of Economics start to function"
Pending
Nate Gaki predicts 50 new crypto ETFs will launch in 2025.
"Nate gaki who knows ETFs he predicts 50 new crypto ETFs coming this year"
Pending
Interest rates are predicted to remain high, around the 5% level.
"interest rates may stay high around this 5% level"
Pending
China's economy is predicted to follow a deflationary path, similar to Japan.
"China turning into Japan"
Pending
Crypto is poised to flourish under the incoming Trump administration, driven by improved regulation for DeFi, RWA (Real World Assets), and AI.
"I still hold hold that sort of view that I think crypto is about to flourish with some of the stuff that people are going to be able to do with it with Trump coming in particular if you start to get better regulation around defi RW AI"
Pending
The $7 trillion cash on the sidelines will only decrease when interest rates tank.
"7 trillion of cash in the sidelines now that will only go down when rates tank"
Pending
Trump will exert significant pressure on Jerome Powell to lower interest rates to boost stock market performance.
"his barometer of success is always stock market performance for him to show he is successful he has to bring rates down and I think he's going to exert a lot of pressure on Jerome Powell to do exactly that"
Pending
The current administration will strategically leave Trump with a challenging economic situation upon his inauguration.
"they're going to hold it out until Trump that's seven days that's one week from now they're going to leave Trump with a big [ __ ] show"
Pending
Global liquidity is bottoming out, and governments will eventually print $20-30 trillion.
"Global liquidity looks like it's bottoming out it's coming people the banana Zone will come they will print 20 to30 trillion it's just a question of time"
Pending
Trump's inauguration will trigger a wave of bullish news and money printing to bail out the insurance and real estate industries, thereby preventing a major financial crisis.
"There'll be a stream of news a stream of PR coming out of the Trump inauguration which will be bullish and uh including money printing I believe they have to print money to bail out the insurance industry to bail out the real estate industry to prevent another great financial crisis"
Pending
The macro environment is expected to experience significant volatility during Q1 2025.
"macro I think can have a bit of a wobble here for q1 like I think can it needs to work out what it wants to do for a little bit here"
Pending
Emerging market (EM) currencies are in dangerous territory, and high interest rates could lead to macro-level breakdowns.
"you'll see people talking about em there's a lot of em currencies which Dangerously in dangerous territory right now but just expect people to that sort of macro worry with rates high again that normally leads to things potentially breaking on a macro level"
Pending
Widespread crypto adoption is expected, especially if a national Bitcoin Reserve is established.
"we're going to see widespread adoption particularly if you start to see a Bitcoin Reserve as well"
Pending
Fire Dancer (Solana's validator client) is scheduled to launch in Q1 2025.
"q1 is now so we're in 21 when fire danc is supposed to launch"
Pending
Fire Dancer will enable Solana to achieve 1 million transactions per second (TPS).
"they're solving it with fire dancer to make 1 million TPS capable"
Pending
The Base blockchain will be limited in DeFi and AI due to KYC/AML regulations and may eventually launch its own token and move off Ethereum.
"they are highly regulated which means from a defi perspective they're going to have to face things like kyc and AML which means they're going to be limited in their use of AI agents in automation things like that they they're gonna have to play it easy plus base is very much an ethereum shop and at any moment they can make their own Bas token and get off ethereum"
Pending
A 'Base token' is expected to be released, which the speaker plans to invest in.
"I would wait for the based token if it does come out I personally will invest"
Pending
Tensions regarding China/Taiwan and in the Middle East are expected to diffuse quickly under the Trump presidency, partly due to positive relations between Trump and Putin.
"this Chinese thing with Taiwan this postering seems like Trump and Putin are getting on well I think that's going to diffuse very fast the Middle East seems to have tempered down I think that's going to diffuse fast"
Pending
Trump is expected to approve the Fair Tax Act 2025, which would implement a 23% sales tax and eliminate federal and state income taxes.
"perhaps Trump will approve it that's a 23% sales tax eliminating the IRS income tax at the federal and state level people this is a major tax revision proposal it's already got 11 Congress people support look out for that the fair tax act 2025"
Pending
US actions, such as attempts to buy Greenland or military intervention, could significantly increase the risk for Taiwan and potentially provoke Chinese aggression.
"the whole us buys Greenland thing or maybe even us invades thing I think that would make Taiwan a much higher risk just just to be quite Frank um I don't I think that would probably give a green light for China to do whatever the hell they like there"
Pending
AI crypto projects will face challenges in long-term utility due to easy replication of open-source technology, leading to 'vampire attacks' and a consolidation phase in the Solana ecosystem to identify market leaders.
"it's very very difficult to underwrite utility for a long long time on these sort of projects because AI it's so easy to replicate what people are doing um and so there's always like next week there's another project which comes out which is just as strong as the last one they're all built on open source rails so often that requires like big positive externality effects of like the network growing very very big which AI 16z had but then has face F over this over this project so I feel like the salant ecosystem is still trying to work out who's going to be the leader it's trying to consolidate around like which are going to be the leaders of this of this of this cycle"
Pending
Aggressive briefs from agencies like the CFPB (Consumer Financial Protection Bureau) will be dismissed by the incoming Trump administration on day one due to lack of legal authority.
"these are simply briefs they put out an aggressive fear-mongering brief and everyone reacts like it's truth this is rubbish this will get thrown out on day one"
Pending
The DXY (Dollar Strength Index) will not sustain above 110 and will decline soon, which is a prerequisite for a crypto bull run.
"until this comes down crypto will not Rally we won't have a bull run but it will come down soon I believe 110 is the resistance if we get through it it won't be long last"
Pending
A large crypto rally to all-time highs will not occur until global liquidity significantly increases.
"until those things happen we won't get a rally back a large rally you know to all time Highs but right now we're in that zone of buying"
Pending
The next round of global money printing will be substantial (potentially $20 trillion or more), and a larger percentage of this new liquidity will flow into crypto than ever before.
"what is the print going to be is it going to be nine trillion again like 2008 or is it going to be 20 trillion people we're talking a lot of liquidities coming where will it go a larger percentage will go to crypto than ever before I can assure you that"
Pending
Traditional telecommunications infrastructure (towers, copper, fiber optics) will become obsolete and worthless ('go to zero') due to disruptive technologies (e.g., global satellite internet).
"every Telco company in in the world has to lay a ton of infrastructure Towers copper fiber optics Etc that's all about to go to zero ladies and gentlemen zero"
Pending
The world is entering a 'Fourth Turning,' an 80-100 year cycle of systemic change impacting the economy, monetary system, government, culture, and society.
"this is the fourth turning it's the 80 to 100 years cycle change there will be a systemic change in the economy the way we the monetary system the government culture Society everything"
Pending
Gary Gensler will resign next week, coinciding with Trump's inauguration.
"next week's show is Trump inauguration day plus Gary G resignation day Gary G is out next show will be a big show guys"
Pending