ilmscore | The Bond Market Just Broke The Fed

The Bond Market Just Broke The Fed

Published: 2025-09-10
Status: Available | Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 5
Correct: 5
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 0
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The bond market indicates a potential ongoing recession across G7 countries.
"The bond market is telling us we actually might be in a recession already."
Global Recession
Correct
The yield on UK 30-year bonds (guilt) reached its highest point since 1998.
"In the UK, for example, the yield on the 30-year bond called the guilt just went up to its highest level since 1998."
UK Bond Market
Correct
Japan's 30-year government bond yield reached a record high and moved in tandem with gold prices, an unusual market behavior.
"In Japan, their 30-year government bond yield hit a record high, and it's been moving almost at the same rate as the price of gold, which is something that should never normally happen."
Japanese Bond Market
Correct
Long-dated bonds in Germany and France are trading at multi-year highs.
"In Germany and France, their longdated bonds are also at multi-year highs."
German and French Bond Markets
Correct
Despite Federal Reserve signals of impending interest rate cuts, US long-term bond yields are increasing.
"And here in the US, the same thing. Even though the Fed is telling us they are preparing to lower interest rates, the opposite is happening. The yield on long-term bonds is going up."
US Bond Market
Correct