The stock market (S&P 500) will go up in 2024, an election year, barring a Black Swan event.
"out of the last 16 election years the stock market has gone down only twice and that was during the year 2000 and 2008 which were just crazy years so assuming that luck is on our side and we don't have some crazy Black Swan event happen the stock market should technically go up in 2024 which is also an election year"