"The Economic Boom Is Just Getting Started"
Published: 2025-08-06
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-08-06
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Apollo Global Management predicts the US economy is on the verge of a boom.
"Apollo Global Management says that the economic boom is just about to start."
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Apollo Global Management believes the US economy is poised for significant growth.
"Meaning, he believes that we are right over here. And that's why in this video, I want to go over why Apollo Global Management believes that our economy is about to take off and what this can mean for you and your investments."
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Following the establishment of trade deals, the US economy is predicted to boom.
"But now that the trade deals are established, the economy is set to boom again, which is the other part of this Nike swoosh."
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Apollo's chief economist predicts the US economy will grow.
"And according to the chief economist at Apollo, our economy is set to grow."
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The US economy is expected to experience a slowdown followed by recovery, rather than a recession.
"Not a recession, but a Nike swoosh where we have a slowdown over the next several quarters and then we start to recover again."
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Three key factors are identified by Apollo's chief economist as reasons for expected US economic growth.
"And more specifically, he highlights three major reasons why he believes that our economy is set to grow on the second part of this Nike swoosh."
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Apollo's chief economist believes a contained growth slowdown means a recession will not occur.
"Number one is that our growth slowdown has been contained, which is why we have not seen a recession and why he does not believe that we're going to see a recession."
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Apollo's chief economist cites continued American spending and a strong job market as reasons for economic growth.
"Number two, he says that Americans are still spending money. And number three is because he says that our job market is still strong."
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The speaker will detail three points supporting Apollo's belief in an impending US economic boom.
"So, let me go through these three things that way you can understand a different perspective on why he believes that our economy is set to boom."
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The US economy is softening but not entering recession territory, following a period of high growth.
"The economy is not tipping into recession territory. It's just softening after years of outsized gains."
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Uncertainty exists regarding the US economy's performance in 2025, 2026, and beyond.
"And now the question on everybody's mind is what's going to happen in 2025 and what's going to happen in 2026 and beyond."
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Predictions for the US economy in 2025 and subsequent years range from contraction to growth.
"So, we are starting to see a lot of predictions about either the United States going to shrink in 2025 or it's going to start growing 2025 and further in the coming years."
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Apollo's chief economist predicts increased US economic growth in 2025 due to established trade deals and clearer government policy.
"We ultimately won't know, but this is where, according to Apollo's chief economist, we will start to see more growth in 2025 because we finally have some trade deals established and we have a more better outlined plan on what's going to be coming with government policy."
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Americans are predicted to spend more money in 2025 than in 2024, according to a Bank of America report.
"And according to the Bank of America report, Americans are spending slightly more money in 2025 than they did in 2024."
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Consumer spending trends provide insight into the overall economy.
"And so this is where when you understand what's happening with consumer spending, it can give you some insight on the economy."
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Spending growth among lower-income households is negative year-over-year.
"Lower income household spending growth is particularly soft with their total card spending growth negative year-over-year."
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Apollo maintains that consumer spending remains strong despite economic challenges.
"But despite all that, this is why Apollo is saying, 'Hey, you know what? Spending is still holding strong.'"
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Continued spending and a non-recessionary economic slowdown suggest overall economic growth.
"And when you couple this, the spending that's still happening along with this growth, which has cooled, but it is not a recession. These two things signal a growth in the economy."
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Apollo reports that the US job market, despite a slowdown, is still showing strong performance.
"According to Apollo, the job market, while slowing, continues to post solid numbers."
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There is an increasing number of underemployed individuals in the United States.
"we're seeing a growing number of undermployed people in the United States."
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Despite cooling, the US job market is still considered strong.
"But despite that, the job market is still strong."
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Apollo predicts economic growth will occur in the near future due to trade deals, new government policies, and a turning economic corner.
"And now because of the trade deals because of the new government policies because things have finally started to turn that corner here in this Nike swoosh Apollo says that this is the time where we're now going to see this growth happening"
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The US is predicted to be entering a 'debt death spiral'.
"America's entering a debt death spiral."
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The US government is paying nearly a trillion dollars annually in interest on its rising debt.
"However, when debts rise relative to incomes on a chronic basis for a long time, so as it rises, right now for the US government, it's almost a trillion dollars a year that goes to interest payments."
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Apollo Global Management predicts the US economy is about to take off and experience significant growth.
"Meaning, he believes that we are right over here. And that's why in this video, I want to go over why Apollo Global Management believes that our economy is about to take off..."
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The US economy is expected to boom again due to the establishment of trade deals.
"But now that the trade deals are established, the economy is set to boom again, which is the other part of this Nike swoosh."
Pending
Apollo's chief economist predicts the US economy will experience a slowdown followed by recovery, not a recession, resembling a 'Nike swoosh' trajectory.
"And according to the chief economist at Apollo, our economy is set to grow. Not a recession, but a Nike swoosh where we have a slowdown over the next several quarters and then we start to recover again."
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Apollo's chief economist outlines three reasons for expected US economic growth: contained slowdown (no recession predicted), continued consumer spending, and a strong job market.
"And more specifically, he highlights three major reasons why he believes that our economy is set to grow on the second part of this Nike swoosh. Number one is that our growth slowdown has been contained, which is why we have not seen a recession and why he does not believe that we're going to see a recession. Number two, he says that Americans are still spending money. And number three is because he says that our job market is still strong."
Pending
The US economy is softening but not entering recession territory after a period of high growth.
"The economy is not tipping into recession territory. It's just softening after years of outsized gains."
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Economic growth in Q1 2025 was lower than expected due to tariffs, but Q2 2025 saw faster-than-expected growth, with predictions for 2025 and 2026 being varied due to policy changes.
"And now the question on everybody's mind is what's going to happen in 2025 and what's going to happen in 2026 and beyond. And we're starting to see a lot of wide potentials. And the reason why there's so much uncertainty is because we've seen so many government policy changes in 2025 through the Trump presidency. In the first quarter, we saw the economy grow by less than expected because of the initial rounds of tariffs. And then in the second quarter of 2025, we saw the economy grow faster than expected."
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Apollo's chief economist predicts more US economic growth in 2025 due to established trade deals and clearer government policy, despite varied predictions.
"So, we are starting to see a lot of predictions about either the United States going to shrink in 2025 or it's going to start growing 2025 and further in the coming years. We ultimately won't know, but this is where, according to Apollo's chief economist, we will start to see more growth in 2025 because we finally have some trade deals established and we have a more better outlined plan on what's going to be coming with government policy. So, there's less uncertainty."
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Americans are spending slightly more money in 2025 than in 2024, with credit and debit card spending per household showing a 0.2% year-over-year increase in June.
"And according to the Bank of America report, Americans are spending slightly more money in 2025 than they did in 2024. Credit and debit card spending per household increased 0.2% year-over-year in June compared to 0.8% year-over-year in May."
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Spending growth for lower-income households is soft, with negative year-over-year total card spending growth.
"lower income household spending growth is particularly soft with their total card spending growth negative year-over-year."
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Apollo suggests that despite a slowdown in growth, spending, and the job market, the US economy will see growth due to trade deals and new government policies, following a natural post-pandemic adjustment.
"So, we have some interesting news here where it says, yeah, growth is slowing, but it's not going into recession. And then we have spending which is cooling but it's still strong. And then we have the job market which is also cooling but is still staying strong which seems like a lot of butts but this is where what Apollo is saying is we are seeing a slowdown but the reason why we're seeing the slowdown is because we saw such huge growth post pandemic. So we saw that natural slowdown that we have been facing and now because of the trade deals because of the new government policies because things have finally started to turn that corner here in this Nike swoosh Apollo says that this is the time where we're now going to see this growth happening"
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Prediction that America is entering a 'debt death spiral'.
"America's entering a debt death spiral."
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US government interest payments on debt are approaching a trillion dollars annually due to chronic debt increases relative to income.
"However, when debts rise relative to incomes on a chronic basis for a long time, so as it rises, right now for the US government, it's almost a trillion dollars a year that goes to interest payments."
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