ilmscore - ClearValue Tax

Predictions (2026)

Prediction

Quote

Status

A higher percentage of US taxes will go towards paying interest on the national debt.

And that means that a higher percentage of our taxes will go towards paying the interest on our national debt.

2 months ago Pending

A higher percentage of US taxes will go towards paying interest on the national debt.

And that means that a higher percentage of our taxes will go towards paying the interest on our national debt.

Pending

It will become more expensive for the US government to borrow money.

It's going to mean that it's going to become more expensive for the US government to borrow money.

2 months ago Pending

It will become more expensive for the US government to borrow money.

It's going to mean that it's going to become more expensive for the US government to borrow money.

Pending

The bond market will suffer in 2026 and 2027, and continue to worsen.

And the bond market's going to suffer this year. It's going to suffer next year. And it's just going to get worse and worse.

2 months ago Pending

The bond market will suffer in 2026 and 2027, and continue to worsen.

And the bond market's going to suffer this year. It's going to suffer next year. And it's just going to get worse and worse.

Pending

Social Security will become insolvent in 7 years (by 2033).

The reason why I'm saying that is because Social Security is on pace to go insolvent in 7 years.

2 months ago Pending

Social Security will become insolvent in 7 years (by 2033).

The reason why I'm saying that is because Social Security is on pace to go insolvent in 7 years.

Pending

The US national debt will exceed $64 trillion in 10 years (by 2036).

All these estimates that are being thrown around there, you know, oh, the government's going to be in 58 trillion in debt in 10 years or maybe it's going to be 64 trillion. In my opinion, they are wrong. They're underestimating it.

2 months ago Pending

The US national debt will exceed $64 trillion in 10 years (by 2036).

Pending

The amount of interest the US government pays will increase in 2026.

And 2026 is looking no different.

2 months ago Pending

The amount of interest the US government pays will increase in 2026.

And 2026 is looking no different.

Pending

US national debt will reach $39 trillion within a few weeks from the video publish date (2026-03-09).

And I'm telling you that in a matter of weeks, we're going to be at $39 trillion of debt.

2 months ago Pending

US national debt will reach $39 trillion within a few weeks from the video publish date (2026-03-09).

And I'm telling you that in a matter of weeks, we're going to be at $39 trillion of debt.

Pending

If the current war continues without de-escalation, the labor market will suffer further.

I'm just saying that if this war rages on, like there's no deescalation, then the labor market's going to suffer even more than it has been already.

2 months ago Pending

If the current war continues without de-escalation, the labor market will suffer further.

I'm just saying that if this war rages on, like there's no deescalation, then the labor market's going to suffer even more than it has been already.

Pending

The combination of weakening labor markets and soaring oil prices will lead to stagflation, which is worse than mere inflation.

A weakening labor markets, oil prices on a tear, and that's not leading us down a good path, which is just, okay, it's not inflation. The concern is stagflation. So that's going to be even worse.

2 months ago Pending

The combination of weakening labor markets and soaring oil prices will lead to stagflation, which is worse than mere inflation.

A weakening labor markets, oil prices on a tear, and that's not leading us down a good path, which is just, okay, it's not inflation. The concern is stagflation. So that's going to be even worse.

Pending

The Federal Reserve will justify interest rate cuts by citing weakening labor markets and framing rising inflation as temporary.

My bet is that they're going to say although inflation is rising, it's under control, it's transitory, it's it's temporary, something along those lines, and that they have to focus on the weakening labor markets. So, it's my belief that they're going to use that, the unemployment rate, as their justification or excuse to cut interest rates.

2 months ago Pending

The Federal Reserve will justify interest rate cuts by citing weakening labor markets and framing rising inflation as temporary.

Pending

The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in June 2026, driven by the new Fed chair's agenda.

So for the June meeting, there are decent odds that there's going to be interest rate cuts about a 51.3% chance. So it's going to be basically a coin toss whether they cut interest rates or not. And in my opinion, we will see more interest rate cuts. I would expect it to be in June. Otherwise, like why would President Trump have selected that new Fed chair, right?

2 months ago Pending

The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in June 2026, driven by the new Fed chair's agenda.

Pending

Rising gasoline prices will negatively impact the CPI inflation report, posing a problem for the Federal Reserve.

And this is not going to be good for the CPI inflation report. And I'm telling you that that's going to be a problem for the Federal Reserve.

2 months ago Pending

Rising gasoline prices will negatively impact the CPI inflation report, posing a problem for the Federal Reserve.

And this is not going to be good for the CPI inflation report. And I'm telling you that that's going to be a problem for the Federal Reserve.

Pending

Rising oil prices will lead to reduced consumer discretionary spending, hurting corporate profits and resulting in more layoffs.

And if the price of oil rises, then it's going to hurt consumers. It's going to hurt cons, you know, consumer discretionary spending. And then that's going to hurt corporate profits. And then what's going to happen? We're going to get more layoffs.

2 months ago Pending

Rising oil prices will lead to reduced consumer discretionary spending, hurting corporate profits and resulting in more layoffs.

Pending

WTI oil breaching $90/barrel will be detrimental to the US economy.

The price of oil, WTI, has now breached $90 a barrel. And this is not going to be good for the US economy.

2 months ago Pending

WTI oil breaching $90/barrel will be detrimental to the US economy.

The price of oil, WTI, has now breached $90 a barrel. And this is not going to be good for the US economy.

Pending

New tariffs will be temporary and eventually ruled illegal.

However, I if you've been paying attention, those tariffs, they're going to be temporary. And in my opinion, they're going to be ruled illegal as well. They might not be ruled illegal immediately, but you know, that's ultimately what's going to happen. At least that's my opinion.

2 months ago Pending

New tariffs will be temporary and eventually ruled illegal.

Pending

AI's contribution to total job cuts will accelerate, significantly impacting white-collar jobs.

And I'm telling you, that's actually not good. So, 10% might not seem like a lot, but it's trending up and it's it's accelerating pretty quickly because in 2025, AI was responsible for 5% of total job cuts. In 2023, AI was responsible for 3%. And here we are today at 10%. And in my opinion, like I've said this previously, that this is just going to accelerate. And this is going to be a really big impact on white collar jobs.

2 months ago Pending

AI's contribution to total job cuts will accelerate, significantly impacting white-collar jobs.

Pending

Job cuts in education, manufacturing, and transportation will worsen due to rising oil prices and supply chain disruptions.

And the expectation is that this is just going to get worse as the price of oil rises and supply chains are disrupted.

2 months ago Pending

Job cuts in education, manufacturing, and transportation will worsen due to rising oil prices and supply chain disruptions.

And the expectation is that this is just going to get worse as the price of oil rises and supply chains are disrupted.

Pending

February job losses will be revised to well over 100,000.

I believe that we lost well over 100,000 jobs in February. You just wait for the revisions to happen. Like you know that's what's going to happen.

2 months ago Pending

February job losses will be revised to well over 100,000.

I believe that we lost well over 100,000 jobs in February. You just wait for the revisions to happen. Like you know that's what's going to happen.

Pending

If oil prices spike rapidly and remain elevated for months, global recession risk will materially rise. If oil stabilizes or retreats quickly, the economy should absorb the shock. The outcome depends on the progression of the war.

If oil spikes rapidly and it stays elevated there for months, then yeah, the recession risk is going to rise materially. But if oil stabilizes or it retreats quickly, then the economy will be able to absorb the shock or it should be. However, ultimately it's all going to depend on how the war progresses.

2 months ago Pending

Pending

The new Fed chair under Trump will cut interest rates, but the depth of these cuts may be limited if oil prices remain elevated, leading to higher inflation.

Trump's new Fed chair is still going to cut interest rates like regardless of the situation. But the new Fed chair may not be able to cut as deeply as they want if oil prices remain elevated due to higher inflation.

2 months ago Pending

The new Fed chair under Trump will cut interest rates, but the depth of these cuts may be limited if oil prices remain elevated, leading to higher inflation.

Pending

If oil prices spike up, the Federal Reserve may delay interest rate cuts and maintain a tighter monetary policy for a longer period.

If the price of oil spikes up, then the Federal Reserve may delay rate cuts. They may keep their policy tighter for a longer period of time and they're basically going to be signaling caution.

2 months ago Pending

If oil prices spike up, the Federal Reserve may delay interest rate cuts and maintain a tighter monetary policy for a longer period.

If the price of oil spikes up, then the Federal Reserve may delay rate cuts. They may keep their policy tighter for a longer period of time and they're basically going to be signaling caution.

Pending

If WTI oil price reaches $90/barrel or more (a 50%+ spike) relatively soon (within a few months from video publish date 2026-03-05) and stays elevated for a few months, it will lead to an elevated recession risk.

If the price of oil goes up by 50% or more, basically to $90 a barrel or more and relatively soon, and if it's going to stay there for a few months. And if it plays out like that, then that's going to be a red flag. That's going to be an elevated recession risk. And the risk goes higher the higher that we go past $90 a barrel the more quickly we get there and the longer that we stay there.

2 months ago Pending

Pending

Heightened market volatility is expected.

I think it's a given that we're going to see heightened volatility.

2 months ago Pending

Heightened market volatility is expected.

I think it's a given that we're going to see heightened volatility.

Pending

The Iran situation will last for the entirety of March 2026, likely due to a US attempt at regime change.

I believe that this is going to last for the entirety of March because I believe that the US is most likely going for regime change.

2 months ago Pending

The Iran situation will last for the entirety of March 2026, likely due to a US attempt at regime change.

I believe that this is going to last for the entirety of March because I believe that the US is most likely going for regime change.

Pending

Gold mining companies will show better performance in Q1 2026 compared to Q4 2025.

So obviously, gold mining companies are going to show better performance in Q1 of 2026, which we're currently in, compared to Q4 of 2025.

2 months ago Pending

Gold mining companies will show better performance in Q1 2026 compared to Q4 2025.

So obviously, gold mining companies are going to show better performance in Q1 of 2026, which we're currently in, compared to Q4 of 2025.

Pending

There is a 97.4% chance the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at the March 18th FOMC meeting.

The next Federal Reserve FOMC meeting is going to take place on March 18th. And currently, according to the CME Fed Watch tool, there's a 97.4% 4% chance that the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates at that meeting.

2 months ago Pending

There is a 97.4% chance the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at the March 18th FOMC meeting.

Pending

If oil prices rise, inflation will increase, decreasing the odds of an interest rate cut.

Additionally, if the price of oil rises, then inflation's going to go up and then the odds of an interest rate cut will decrease.

2 months ago Pending

If oil prices rise, inflation will increase, decreasing the odds of an interest rate cut.

Additionally, if the price of oil rises, then inflation's going to go up and then the odds of an interest rate cut will decrease.

Pending

If oil prices continue to rise, corporate margins and profits will be negatively impacted, leading to demand destruction, stalled supply chains, and increased recession risk.

if oil prices continue going higher then that's going to be bad for corporate margins and also for corporate profits. And if there's going to be demand destruction, then supply chains are going to stall, which is going to increase the risk of recession.

2 months ago Pending

If oil prices continue to rise, corporate margins and profits will be negatively impacted, leading to demand destruction, stalled supply chains, and increased recession risk.

Pending

The stock market is likely to experience a dip.

my sentiment is that I do not think that we have an allcle sign to rush into the stock markets. Like personally, I wouldn't be surprised if we suffered a dip.

2 months ago Pending

The stock market is likely to experience a dip.

my sentiment is that I do not think that we have an allcle sign to rush into the stock markets. Like personally, I wouldn't be surprised if we suffered a dip.

Pending

Gold is expected to see further gains.

And I expect further gains in gold.

2 months ago Pending

Gold is expected to see further gains.

And I expect further gains in gold.

Pending

The US Dollar is expected to weaken, which will be good for silver.

Now, if the dollar weakens, which I expect it to do, then it's going to be good for silver.

2 months ago Pending

The US Dollar is expected to weaken, which will be good for silver.

Now, if the dollar weakens, which I expect it to do, then it's going to be good for silver.

Pending

The current tariffs will not resolve the trade deficit or the budget deficit.

I just want to say that these tariffs, they're not going to fix our trade deficit. They're not going to fix our budget.

2 months ago Pending

The current tariffs will not resolve the trade deficit or the budget deficit.

I just want to say that these tariffs, they're not going to fix our trade deficit. They're not going to fix our budget.

Pending

The tariffs imposed under Section 122 will be ruled illegal within approximately one year from the video publish date (2026-02-23).

I'm telling you right now that these tariffs under section 122, they're going to be they're going to be illegal. And it it might take another year for me to be proven correct.

2 months ago Pending

The tariffs imposed under Section 122 will be ruled illegal within approximately one year from the video publish date (2026-02-23).

I'm telling you right now that these tariffs under section 122, they're going to be they're going to be illegal. And it it might take another year for me to be proven correct.

Pending

The new 15% global tariffs under Section 122 will be ruled illegal within approximately one year from the video publish date (2026-02-23), leading to tax refunds for corporations.

Most likely, these new 15% tariffs are going to be ruled illegal. And the same thing's going to happen. You and me, we're going to continue to get taxed an extra 15%. And the legal system, they're going to rule it illegal and then the corporations are going to get their refunds, which is really our money. But this whole process may take another one year.

2 months ago Pending

The new 15% global tariffs under Section 122 will be ruled illegal within approximately one year from the video publish date (2026-02-23), leading to tax refunds for corporations.

Pending

President Trump may impose other fees on imported products, which will be passed on to American consumers as a tax, though not to the same extent as previous tariffs.

it's not going to be anywhere close to the extent of what was happening before the ruling came out. And another option is for President Trump to impose other fees related to imported products. So, they're not in this type of situation, they wouldn't be called tariffs. Rather, they would just be different types of fees. But you have to remember that these fees are going to be passed down to American consumers, and it's ultimately going to be a tax on Americans.

2 months ago Pending

President Trump may impose other fees on imported products, which will be passed on to American consumers as a tax, though not to the same extent as previous tariffs.

Pending

President Trump will not abandon his trade policy and will likely retool it to implement specific and targeted tariffs that may survive legal challenges.

my expectation is, and we're probably going to get confirmation of this in the press briefing, is that he's not going to give up on his trade policy. So although the majority of his tariffs were struck down under the IEPA, he's probably going to get some specific and targeted tariffs to survive if he just retools his tariff policy.

2 months ago Pending

President Trump will not abandon his trade policy and will likely retool it to implement specific and targeted tariffs that may survive legal challenges.

Pending

President Trump will have to rework the majority of his State of the Union speech next week due to the tariff ruling.

I'm just looking forward to the State of the Union address that's going to be next week. And I'm sure that this ruling, it totally messed up his speech. I'm sure that he's going to have to rework the majority of it.

2 months ago Pending

President Trump will have to rework the majority of his State of the Union speech next week due to the tariff ruling.

Pending

President Trump will hold a press briefing shortly to address the tariff ruling.

President Trump will be addressing the public in a press briefing very shortly. So, it's probably going to be out by the time that you're seeing this video.

2 months ago Pending

President Trump will hold a press briefing shortly to address the tariff ruling.

President Trump will be addressing the public in a press briefing very shortly. So, it's probably going to be out by the time that you're seeing this video.

Pending

Government tax revenue will decrease by approximately $150 billion per year compared to projections.

The government's tax revenue compared to their projections will go down by an approximate $150 billion a year.

2 months ago Pending

Government tax revenue will decrease by approximately $150 billion per year compared to projections.

The government's tax revenue compared to their projections will go down by an approximate $150 billion a year.

Pending

Corporations are expected to receive over $100 billion in tariff refunds.

Those refunds are expected to be over $100 billion and the they just made a ton of money.

2 months ago Pending

Corporations are expected to receive over $100 billion in tariff refunds.

Those refunds are expected to be over $100 billion and the they just made a ton of money.

Pending

American consumers will not receive refunds for tariffs paid, as refunds will go to corporations.

So you and me, we're most likely going to get paid nothing. We're not going to get refunded anything. So for the past year, all those tariffs that you and me paid is going to be refunded back to the corporations.

2 months ago Pending

American consumers will not receive refunds for tariffs paid, as refunds will go to corporations.

Pending

Money printing and interest rate cuts will help stocks and precious metals.

When the Federal Reserve prints money, that helps stocks and that helps precious metals as well. And when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, that helps stocks and that helps precious metals as well also.

2 months ago Pending

Money printing and interest rate cuts will help stocks and precious metals.

Pending

Kevin Worsh, as the new Fed chair, will cut interest rates.

the market believes that Kevin Worsh as the new Fed chair will do President Trump's bidding and cut interest rates.

2 months ago Pending

Kevin Worsh, as the new Fed chair, will cut interest rates.

the market believes that Kevin Worsh as the new Fed chair will do President Trump's bidding and cut interest rates.

Pending

Federal Reserve has a 68% chance of cutting interest rates by the June 17th meeting.

There's a 68% chance by that meeting that they will cut interest rates.

2 months ago Pending

Federal Reserve has a 68% chance of cutting interest rates by the June 17th meeting.

There's a 68% chance by that meeting that they will cut interest rates.

Pending

If interest rates are cut to 2%, inflation will rise, leading to low yields on savings and incentivizing investment in gold.

If they cut interest rates to let's just say 2% then what's going to happen? The rate of inflation is going to rise. You stick your money in the bank and then you're going to get a measly 2% return. So you're going to have high inflation. You're going to have a a low yield and then you would be more incentivized to invest in gold.

2 months ago Pending

If interest rates are cut to 2%, inflation will rise, leading to low yields on savings and incentivizing investment in gold.

Pending

Gold will receive tailwinds from dedollarization and interest rate cuts.

Gold is already getting a tailwind from ddollarization. This is from other countries preferring gold as a reserve asset. And interest rate cuts will be another tailwind for gold.

2 months ago Pending

Gold will receive tailwinds from dedollarization and interest rate cuts.

Gold is already getting a tailwind from ddollarization. This is from other countries preferring gold as a reserve asset. And interest rate cuts will be another tailwind for gold.

Pending

US government deficit will be $1.85 trillion for fiscal year 2026.

the expectation is that the US government will overspend and be at a deficit of $1.85 trillion for fiscal year 2026.

2 months ago Pending

US government deficit will be $1.85 trillion for fiscal year 2026.

the expectation is that the US government will overspend and be at a deficit of $1.85 trillion for fiscal year 2026.

Pending

Jerome Powell will not cut interest rates in his remaining two FOMC meetings as Fed chair.

So J. Paul has two more Fed meetings left as Fed chair and well according to market odds it looks like he's done cutting interest rates

2 months ago Pending

Jerome Powell will not cut interest rates in his remaining two FOMC meetings as Fed chair.

So J. Paul has two more Fed meetings left as Fed chair and well according to market odds it looks like he's done cutting interest rates

Pending

Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at the April 29th meeting (78.5% chance).

And right now, there's a 78.5% chance that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at that April meeting.

2 months ago Pending

Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at the April 29th meeting (78.5% chance).

And right now, there's a 78.5% chance that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at that April meeting.

Pending

Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at the March 18th meeting (94.1% chance).

Now, there's a 94.1% chance that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at the next meeting and a 5.9% chance that they will cut interest rates.

2 months ago Pending

Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at the March 18th meeting (94.1% chance).

Now, there's a 94.1% chance that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at the next meeting and a 5.9% chance that they will cut interest rates.

Pending

The stock market (Dow, S&P 500, NASDAQ) will continue to go up in the long run (beyond 3 years).

in the long run, it's just going to go up. In the long run, stocks are just going to go up. Like, they're going to continue going up like they've always done. So, I'm not talking about individual stocks, but I'm talking about like the Dow, the S&P 500, the NASDAQ. They're just going to keep going up.

2 months ago Pending

The stock market (Dow, S&P 500, NASDAQ) will continue to go up in the long run (beyond 3 years).

Pending

Dow Jones Industrial Average to reach 100,000 by early 2029.

I am predicting 100,000 of the DAO by the end of my term.

2 months ago Pending

Dow Jones Industrial Average to reach 100,000 by early 2029.

I am predicting 100,000 of the DAO by the end of my term.

Pending

The speaker would buy silver again and rebuild a position if the Gold to Silver Ratio (GSR) indicates it is justified (i.e., silver is cheap relative to gold).

If the gold to silver ratio justifies it, then I would rebuild the position.

3 months ago Pending

The speaker would buy silver again and rebuild a position if the Gold to Silver Ratio (GSR) indicates it is justified (i.e., silver is cheap relative to gold).

If the gold to silver ratio justifies it, then I would rebuild the position.

Pending

The stock market (market prices) will continue to rise due to financial asset inflation, as the Federal Reserve prints money and lowers interest rates, leading to a 'great meltup'.

I'm telling you, we are in the middle of the great meltup. The government is telling us that the purchasing power of our dollars is being devalued at a rate of 2.7% a year. ... All I know is that if I'm a long-term investor and I stay invested, then market prices are just going to keep going up thanks to financial asset inflation.

3 months ago Pending

The stock market (market prices) will continue to rise due to financial asset inflation, as the Federal Reserve prints money and lowers interest rates, leading to a 'great meltup'.

Pending

After a rapid compression of the Gold to Silver Ratio (GSR), gold is expected to outperform silver in the subsequent period.

Historically, when the gold to silver ratio compresses quickly, silver often overshoots and then underperforms gold in the following phase. That doesn't mean that silver crashes. It means that gold tends to become the better vehicle.

3 months ago Pending

After a rapid compression of the Gold to Silver Ratio (GSR), gold is expected to outperform silver in the subsequent period.

Pending

The speaker will buy back silver (SLV) if the Gold to Silver Ratio (GSR) rises to a certain point (unspecified).

If the GSR rises to a certain point then I will buy back that silver.

3 months ago Pending

The speaker will buy back silver (SLV) if the Gold to Silver Ratio (GSR) rises to a certain point (unspecified).

If the GSR rises to a certain point then I will buy back that silver.

Pending

The speaker will continue selling silver (SLV) if the Gold to Silver Ratio (GSR) continues to fall below 50.

If the GSR continues to fall, then I'm going to continue offloading more of my position.

3 months ago Pending

The speaker will continue selling silver (SLV) if the Gold to Silver Ratio (GSR) continues to fall below 50.

If the GSR continues to fall, then I'm going to continue offloading more of my position.

Pending

Precious metals will continue to perform well for long-term investors as dedollarization and inflation will continue under Worsh, albeit lumpier.

For precious metals investors, I would say don't worry if you're a long-term investor because Wars is not offering any solutions to reinstate confidence in the US dollar. Ddallization is going to continue. Inflation's going to continue. It's just going to be lumpier.

3 months ago Pending

Precious metals will continue to perform well for long-term investors as dedollarization and inflation will continue under Worsh, albeit lumpier.

Pending

The Federal Reserve and President Trump will continue to run the economy hot, printing money, leading to ongoing inflation and dollar devaluation, especially leading up to midterm elections.

It's still my opinion that the Federal Reserve and President Trump are going to run it hot, especially leading up to the midterm elections. Like what's nothing's going to change. What's changed? They're still going to print money. It's just the timing that they're, you know, worse is talking about. So the money printing is going to continue. Inflation's going to be ongoing. The dollar will continue to devalue. DD dollarization is still an ongoing thing.

3 months ago Pending

The Federal Reserve and President Trump will continue to run the economy hot, printing money, leading to ongoing inflation and dollar devaluation, especially leading up to midterm elections.

Pending

In the medium term under Worsh, there will be a rotation from speculative growth investments to value stocks due to less liquidity.

In the medium term with Wars in power, I expect a rotation if there's going to be less liquidity being provided. So most likely there would be a rotation out of speculative growth investments and a rotation into value stocks that are actually making a profits and cash flow.

3 months ago Pending

In the medium term under Worsh, there will be a rotation from speculative growth investments to value stocks due to less liquidity.

Pending

Short-term market volatility is expected due to policy uncertainty and reduced confidence in the Fed put.

In the short term, I expect more volatility. That's because investments may struggle with policy uncertainty, mixed signals between rate cuts and liquidity tightening, and reduce confidence in the Fed put.

3 months ago Pending

Short-term market volatility is expected due to policy uncertainty and reduced confidence in the Fed put.

Pending

Worsh's policy will lead to more market volatility due to lumpy money printing.

Worsh is not presenting any solutions. All he's talking about is just adjusting the timing of the money printing, which means that there's just going to be more volatility because Paul is just doing it steadily and Wars is going to do it lumpy.

3 months ago Pending

Worsh's policy will lead to more market volatility due to lumpy money printing.

Pending

Inflation will be ongoing regardless of the Fed chair's policy.

Both result in money printing and ongoing inflation.

3 months ago Pending

Inflation will be ongoing regardless of the Fed chair's policy.

Both result in money printing and ongoing inflation.

Pending

Worsh will be the worst Fed chair for Bitcoin and crypto due to less liquidity, causing it to trade like an amplified tech stock.

So in other words, with less liquidity, Kevin Worsh would be very bad for Bitcoin and for crypto. So sure, a lack of liquidity that's going to be bad for stocks, for precious metals, you know, in general. But Bitcoin, of course, that's going to trade like an amplified tech stock. So, Worsh, he is going to be the worst Fed chair for Bitcoin.

3 months ago Pending

Worsh will be the worst Fed chair for Bitcoin and crypto due to less liquidity, causing it to trade like an amplified tech stock.

Pending

Gold will not enter a bear market (a sustained decline) because current policy changes required for such a market are incompatible with today's debt levels and politics.

And then you have scenario number three where gold enters into a bare market. So, this is the scenario that many people fear that gold has peaked and it's just going to be down from here. However, you know, this is my opinion that this would require policy changes that are incompatible with today's debt levels and politics.

3 months ago Pending

Gold will not enter a bear market (a sustained decline) because current policy changes required for such a market are incompatible with today's debt levels and politics.

Pending

Gold price can fall 15% or more due to news/events, but it will not be a crash like 2011 or 1980 (45-60% fall) as it's within a long-term bull market.

And then you have scenario number two where you can have sharp corrections within a bull market. So for this one, it's like, okay, gold can fall 15% or maybe even more on whatever news or current events, and that would feel devastating if it goes down 15%. But it would not resemble 2011 or 1980 when gold fell by 45% or 60%. So, I just want you to know that in a long-term bull market, we can still have sharp corrections.

3 months ago Pending

Gold price can fall 15% or more due to news/events, but it will not be a crash like 2011 or 1980 (45-60% fall) as it's within a long-term bull market.

Pending

Gold price will move sideways within a range for an extended period of time.

Instead of asking will gold crash the better question to ask in my opinion is what kind of downside is realistic in this type of environments and here are the scenarios that actually make sense. So you have scenario number one where you have volatility and consolidation. So this just means that gold the price of gold is going to move sideways for an extended period of time. So in other words, the price of gold is going to stay within a range.

3 months ago Pending

Gold price will move sideways within a range for an extended period of time.

Pending

If Trump's actions are intended to scare the next Fed chair, the Federal Reserve's independence will be greatly diminished, leading to increased distrust of the US dollar by other countries.

if what I'm [00:08:34] saying is true or correct, then that [00:08:36] means the Federal Reserve independence [00:08:38] is essentially diminished to a great [00:08:40] degree and that's going to result in [00:08:42] more distrust of the US dollar by other [00:08:45] countries.

3 months ago Pending

If Trump's actions are intended to scare the next Fed chair, the Federal Reserve's independence will be greatly diminished, leading to increased distrust of the US dollar by other countries.

Pending

Diminished Federal Reserve independence will lead to less confidence in the US dollar, causing it to weaken further.

And if the Federal Reserve's independence is [00:00:50] diminished, then there's going to be [00:00:52] less confidence in the US dollar. And if [00:00:54] there's less confidence in the US [00:00:56] dollar, then the dollar is going to [00:00:58] weaken even further.

3 months ago Pending

Diminished Federal Reserve independence will lead to less confidence in the US dollar, causing it to weaken further.

Pending

The current situation (criminal investigation of Powell) will accelerate the 'sell America' trend, implying further weakening of the US dollar.

So, what's [00:06:00] happening right now, it's adding more [00:06:02] fuel to the sell America trend happening [00:06:05] all over again, or I should say [00:06:06] reacelerating.

3 months ago Pending

The current situation (criminal investigation of Powell) will accelerate the 'sell America' trend, implying further weakening of the US dollar.

So, what's [00:06:00] happening right now, it's adding more [00:06:02] fuel to the sell America trend happening [00:06:05] all over again, or I should say [00:06:06] reacelerating.

Pending

There will be more interest rate cuts in 2026.

Will there be more interest rate cuts in 2026? Yeah, the answer is going to be yes.

3 months ago Pending

There will be more interest rate cuts in 2026.

Will there be more interest rate cuts in 2026? Yeah, the answer is going to be yes.

Pending

Gold price will reach $25,000 per troy ounce, then $100,000 per troy ounce, and eventually $1,000,000 per troy ounce within a few years (by 2030).

if you just wait a few years, gold's going to go up to 25,000 an ounce. It's going to go up to 100,000 an ounce. It's going to go up to 1 million an ounce. It is inevitable.

3 months ago Pending

Gold price will reach $25,000 per troy ounce, then $100,000 per troy ounce, and eventually $1,000,000 per troy ounce within a few years (by 2030).

if you just wait a few years, gold's going to go up to 25,000 an ounce. It's going to go up to 100,000 an ounce. It's going to go up to 1 million an ounce. It is inevitable.

Pending

Gold price will exceed $8,000 per troy ounce in the current super cycle (by 2030).

If gold goes to $8,000 in this cycle, then I'm telling you that would be normal. But this time, personally, I believe that's going to go higher, I expect more than 8,000 because this is not a regular cycle. This is a super cycle and this is key.

3 months ago Pending

Gold price will exceed $8,000 per troy ounce in the current super cycle (by 2030).

Pending

A new Fed chair (nominated by Trump) will be more aggressive with interest rate cuts (in 2026).

The new Fed chair that Trump's going to nominate very soon, like it could be any day now. That new Fed chair is going to be much more aggressive with the interest rate cuts.

4 months ago Pending

A new Fed chair (nominated by Trump) will be more aggressive with interest rate cuts (in 2026).

The new Fed chair that Trump's going to nominate very soon, like it could be any day now. That new Fed chair is going to be much more aggressive with the interest rate cuts.

Pending

If the unemployment rate rises, the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates; if it falls, they will delay cuts (in 2026).

If the unemployment rate rises, then they're going to be more inclined to cut interest rates. If the unemployment rate falls, then they're most likely going to delay further rate cuts.

4 months ago Pending

If the unemployment rate rises, the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates; if it falls, they will delay cuts (in 2026).

If the unemployment rate rises, then they're going to be more inclined to cut interest rates. If the unemployment rate falls, then they're most likely going to delay further rate cuts.

Pending

The unemployment rate will be 4.4% by the end of 2026.

They expect that the rate of unemployment will end this year, 2026, with an unemployment rate of 4.4%.

4 months ago Pending

The unemployment rate will be 4.4% by the end of 2026.

They expect that the rate of unemployment will end this year, 2026, with an unemployment rate of 4.4%.

Pending

The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates only once by 0.25% in 2026.

The Federal Reserve projected that they're only going to cut interest rates one time this year by 0.25%.

4 months ago Pending

The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates only once by 0.25% in 2026.

The Federal Reserve projected that they're only going to cut interest rates one time this year by 0.25%.

Pending

The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at the January 28th meeting in 2026.

I expect that the Federal Reserve is not going to cut interest rates at their upcoming meeting in January, January 28th.

4 months ago Pending

The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at the January 28th meeting in 2026.

I expect that the Federal Reserve is not going to cut interest rates at their upcoming meeting in January, January 28th.

Pending

Recent events encourage China and Russia to further de-dollarize (medium to long term, within 3-5+ years).

Well, obviously this further encourages China and Russia, the biggest players, to ddollarize and continue ddollarizing.

4 months ago Pending

Recent events encourage China and Russia to further de-dollarize (medium to long term, within 3-5+ years).

Well, obviously this further encourages China and Russia, the biggest players, to ddollarize and continue ddollarizing.

Pending

There will be more global instability (long-term, beyond 2027).

You know, I believe that there's going to be more instability and again that's going to be a great setup for gold.

4 months ago Pending

There will be more global instability (long-term, beyond 2027).

You know, I believe that there's going to be more instability and again that's going to be a great setup for gold.

Pending

The situation in Venezuela will get worse before it gets better, potentially causing setbacks or unraveling the US game plan (short to medium term, within 1-3 years).

the situation is going to get worse before it gets better. And as the situation gets worse, like who knows how it's going to affect this game plan, whether it's going to be a setback in terms of the time frame or whether it's going to completely unravel the plan.

4 months ago Pending

The situation in Venezuela will get worse before it gets better, potentially causing setbacks or unraveling the US game plan (short to medium term, within 1-3 years).

Pending

If the US secures cheap Venezuelan oil, inflation will be subdued, economic growth will be higher, and the USA will prosper (long-term, likely beyond 2027).

And if that happens, inflation will be subdued. We're going to get higher economic growth and the USA will prosper and Venezuela is going to see some of that, you know, revenue in the form of royalties.

4 months ago Pending

If the US secures cheap Venezuelan oil, inflation will be subdued, economic growth will be higher, and the USA will prosper (long-term, likely beyond 2027).

Pending

Revitalizing Venezuela's oil sector will require a lot of time, potentially longer than Trump's estimate of 18 months (by mid-2027), due to uncertainty regarding instability.

That's because revitalizing Venezuela's oil sector is going to require time. It's going to require a lot of time. It's not going to be a quick process. Trump is saying as soon as 18 months, but I'll tell you that's uncertain because we don't know how bad the instability is going to become in Venezuela.

4 months ago Pending

Revitalizing Venezuela's oil sector will require a lot of time, potentially longer than Trump's estimate of 18 months (by mid-2027), due to uncertainty regarding instability.

Pending

Gasoline prices will have minimal impact in the short term (within 1 year).

Therefore, I'm telling you, do not expect gasoline prices to shoot up or down. Honestly, for the short term, this is going to have minimal impact.

4 months ago Pending

Gasoline prices will have minimal impact in the short term (within 1 year).

Therefore, I'm telling you, do not expect gasoline prices to shoot up or down. Honestly, for the short term, this is going to have minimal impact.

Pending

Gold prices will continue to increase in the long term (beyond 2027), despite short-term reactions to news.

And I want to show you the one-mon chart of the price of gold so you can see how it reacted to this news. Gold actually hit a record high in December 26th when it was at $4,550 a troy ounce. It had a minor correction to about $4,400 a troy ounce after reaching that record high. It was just floating around there as you can see. And then when this news was released, gold shot back up. But you know what? In all honesty, like my belief is that this is just a short-term reaction, and I don't think too much of it as a long-term holder of gold, but it plays into why gold keeps on moving up and why it's going to continue to go up.

4 months ago Pending

Gold prices will continue to increase in the long term (beyond 2027), despite short-term reactions to news.

Pending

A prolonged recession or deflation is not possible; if it occurs, it will be quickly cured within months by money printing, applicable to 2026 and beyond.

We cannot have a prolonged recession. We cannot have deflation. The numbers don't work in a debt bubble. And I just want to say that if we do run across those circumstances, then we're not going to stay there for long because it's easy to cure with money printing. You know, that'll stop a recession or deflation within a matter of months.

1 month ago Pending

A prolonged recession or deflation is not possible; if it occurs, it will be quickly cured within months by money printing, applicable to 2026 and beyond.

Pending

If the war deescalates, the economy will revert to its predestined trajectory of an expanding debt bubble, rising investment prices, and more inflation, which is inevitable for 2026 and beyond.

if this war truly deescalates and there's no longer a severe liquidity crunch and people are no longer scrambling to sell across the board and obtain cash, then we're going to revert back to the predestined trajectory. The trajectory of the debt bubble expanding, investment prices rising, and more inflation. Again, this is all by design.

1 month ago Pending

If the war deescalates, the economy will revert to its predestined trajectory of an expanding debt bubble, rising investment prices, and more inflation, which is inevitable for 2026 and beyond.

Pending

The economic model requires inflation, rising prices, increasing stock market, wages, and tax collections to prevent the debt bubble from popping, applicable to 2026 and beyond.

the current economic model needs the stock market to go up, needs wages to go up, needs tax collections to go up in order to prevent the debt bubble from popping. So the current economic model needs the stock market to go up, needs wages to go up, needs tax collections to go up in order to prevent the debt bubble from popping.

1 month ago Pending

The economic model requires inflation, rising prices, increasing stock market, wages, and tax collections to prevent the debt bubble from popping, applicable to 2026 and beyond.

Pending

The price of gold will continue to go up because it takes more devalued fiat currency to buy an ounce of gold, applicable to 2026 and beyond.

I want to show you the price of gold over the past 30 years. And it just keeps going up. Just take a look. And now you know why. It simply takes more devalued dollars or devalued fiat currency to buy an ounce of gold.

1 month ago Pending

The price of gold will continue to go up because it takes more devalued fiat currency to buy an ounce of gold, applicable to 2026 and beyond.

Pending

The S&P 500 will continue to go up due to increased money supply, which is essential to prevent the debt bubble from popping, applicable to 2026 and beyond.

Here's the performance of the stock market, the S&P 500 over the past 30 years. So notice how it just keeps going up. You know, gee, I wonder why. It's because there's more money circulating out there again, which is, you know, that's going to be essential to keep the debt bubble from popping.

1 month ago Pending

The S&P 500 will continue to go up due to increased money supply, which is essential to prevent the debt bubble from popping, applicable to 2026 and beyond.

Pending

The economy and labor market will deteriorate further.

I expect the economy and also for the labor market just to deteriorate even more.

1 month ago Pending

The economy and labor market will deteriorate further.

I expect the economy and also for the labor market just to deteriorate even more.

Pending

There will be no interest rate cut for a while (beyond September 2026).

the overwhelming expectation is that we're not going to see an interest rate cut for a while.

1 month ago Pending

There will be no interest rate cut for a while (beyond September 2026).

the overwhelming expectation is that we're not going to see an interest rate cut for a while.

Pending

AI will cause more disruption in the labor markets.

this is just this is just going to become more disruptive for the labor markets.

1 month ago Pending

AI will cause more disruption in the labor markets.

this is just this is just going to become more disruptive for the labor markets.

Pending

Purchasing power will experience further erosion.

So this just means more erosion in our purchasing power.

1 month ago Pending

Purchasing power will experience further erosion.

So this just means more erosion in our purchasing power.

Pending

Real assets will continue to increase in price.

So, what's the result going to be? real assets will continue going up in price.

1 month ago Pending

Real assets will continue to increase in price.

So, what's the result going to be? real assets will continue going up in price.

Pending

Fiat currencies will continue to devalue, and there will be more inflation.

They're just going to have to print more money. Fiat currencies will continue to devalue and there's going to be more inflation, right?

1 month ago Pending

Fiat currencies will continue to devalue, and there will be more inflation.

They're just going to have to print more money. Fiat currencies will continue to devalue and there's going to be more inflation, right?

Pending

If the Federal Reserve does not print more money, the debt bubble will burst, leading to a sovereign debt crisis and an economic depression.

Otherwise, what's going to happen? The debt bubble's going to burst. We're going to have a sovereign debt crisis and that's going to lead to an economic depression.

1 month ago Pending

If the Federal Reserve does not print more money, the debt bubble will burst, leading to a sovereign debt crisis and an economic depression.

Otherwise, what's going to happen? The debt bubble's going to burst. We're going to have a sovereign debt crisis and that's going to lead to an economic depression.

Pending

The Federal Reserve will inevitably print more and more money.

But what I can tell you with certainty is that they're going to have to print more and more money. Like that is inevitable.

1 month ago Pending

The Federal Reserve will inevitably print more and more money.

But what I can tell you with certainty is that they're going to have to print more and more money. Like that is inevitable.

Pending

The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates the same at the September FOMC meeting (86.4% chance).

And then we take a look out as far as September, an 86.4% chance that they're going to keep rates the same.

1 month ago Pending

The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates the same at the September FOMC meeting (86.4% chance).

And then we take a look out as far as September, an 86.4% chance that they're going to keep rates the same.

Pending

The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates the same at the July FOMC meeting (88.2% chance).

And then we take a look at the next meeting in July, an 88.2% chance that they're going to keep interest rates the same.

1 month ago Pending

The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates the same at the July FOMC meeting (88.2% chance).

And then we take a look at the next meeting in July, an 88.2% chance that they're going to keep interest rates the same.

Pending

The Federal Reserve will not change interest rates at the June 17th FOMC meeting (92% chance).

There's a 92% chance that they won't change the interest rates at that meeting [June 17th].

1 month ago Pending

The Federal Reserve will not change interest rates at the June 17th FOMC meeting (92% chance).

There's a 92% chance that they won't change the interest rates at that meeting [June 17th].

Pending

The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at the April 29th FOMC meeting (97.4% chance).

The next Federal Reserve FOMC meeting is going to take place on April 29th and there's a 97.4% 4% chance that they're not going to cut interest rates.

1 month ago Pending

The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at the April 29th FOMC meeting (97.4% chance).

The next Federal Reserve FOMC meeting is going to take place on April 29th and there's a 97.4% 4% chance that they're not going to cut interest rates.

Pending

Loans from the Federal Reserve to the US government (via Treasury purchases) will never be paid back.

The answer is that they're taking this newly printed money and they're buying US Treasury bills and Treasury notes and Treasury bonds. In other words, they are lending money to the US governments, loans that are never going to be paid back.

1 month ago Pending

Loans from the Federal Reserve to the US government (via Treasury purchases) will never be paid back.

Pending

The Federal Reserve will accelerate its money printing due to the deteriorating financial situation.

And that's before we've come across this deteriorating financial situation in March, which is of course most likely going to result in a faster rate of money printing.

1 month ago Pending

The Federal Reserve will accelerate its money printing due to the deteriorating financial situation.

And that's before we've come across this deteriorating financial situation in March, which is of course most likely going to result in a faster rate of money printing.

Pending

The Federal Reserve will print money at a rate of approximately $500 billion per year, based on the current rate of $40 billion per month.

they're printing about $40 billion a month. So that's, you know, that's going to be a rate of just under $500 billion a year of money printing.

1 month ago Pending

The Federal Reserve will print money at a rate of approximately $500 billion per year, based on the current rate of $40 billion per month.

they're printing about $40 billion a month. So that's, you know, that's going to be a rate of just under $500 billion a year of money printing.

Pending

Outrageous tolls on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz will be passed down to consumers, leading to higher prices.

those ships, they're either paying again in yuan or they're paying the outrageous toll, which would be passed down to consumers.

1 month ago Pending

Outrageous tolls on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz will be passed down to consumers, leading to higher prices.

those ships, they're either paying again in yuan or they're paying the outrageous toll, which would be passed down to consumers.

Pending

The Federal Reserve's monetary tools are ineffective in the current economic situation; they cannot raise rates to curb inflation without harming the economy, nor can they cut rates and print money without exacerbating inflation.

The Federal Reserve cannot fix this problem. Like, their tools are not going to work. They can't raise interest rates high enough to stop inflation without destroying the economy. Right? And they can't cut interest rates and print money without spiking inflation. Right?

1 month ago Pending

Pending

Rising input costs (oil, energy, fertilizers, metals) will lead to slower economies, job losses, and higher inflation (stagflation) in the US.

And it's the shooting up in price of these input costs that will create slower economies and job losses. So that's the difference. So we get a recession with higher inflation. It's basically the the worst of both worlds.

1 month ago Pending

Rising input costs (oil, energy, fertilizers, metals) will lead to slower economies, job losses, and higher inflation (stagflation) in the US.

Pending

The risk of stagflation in the US is increasing.

The risk of stagflation is rising fast in the United States of America.

1 month ago Pending

The risk of stagflation in the US is increasing.

The risk of stagflation is rising fast in the United States of America.

Pending

Housing inventory is expected to slowly improve and housing activity is expected to pick up slightly.

inventory is expected to slowly improve and housing activity is expected to pick up slightly.

3 weeks ago Pending

Housing inventory is expected to slowly improve and housing activity is expected to pick up slightly.

inventory is expected to slowly improve and housing activity is expected to pick up slightly.

Pending

US home prices will remain flat or rise by 1-3% annually.

Most likely home prices will remain flat or rise slightly like we're talking about 1 to 3% price growth annual.

3 weeks ago Pending

US home prices will remain flat or rise by 1-3% annually.

Most likely home prices will remain flat or rise slightly like we're talking about 1 to 3% price growth annual.

Pending

Home sales are expected to increase in 2026.

home sales are expected to increase in 2026.

3 weeks ago Pending

Home sales are expected to increase in 2026.

home sales are expected to increase in 2026.

Pending

Increased money printing by the Federal Reserve will lead to higher inflation and higher interest rates.

They're going to have to print more money, and that's going to mean higher inflation and higher interest rates.

3 weeks ago Pending

Increased money printing by the Federal Reserve will lead to higher inflation and higher interest rates.

They're going to have to print more money, and that's going to mean higher inflation and higher interest rates.

Pending

Foreign allies will likely de-dollarize, forcing the Federal Reserve to become the buyer of last resort for US Treasury bonds.

In my opinion, they're most likely going to ddollarize, which means that the Federal Reserve is going to have to step in as the buyer of last resort.

3 weeks ago Pending

Foreign allies will likely de-dollarize, forcing the Federal Reserve to become the buyer of last resort for US Treasury bonds.

In my opinion, they're most likely going to ddollarize, which means that the Federal Reserve is going to have to step in as the buyer of last resort.

Pending

Increased defense spending resulting from the war will become a permanent fixture in the budget.

Once that spending is built into the system, it doesn't come down. It becomes, you can think of it like a permanent thing.

3 weeks ago Pending

Increased defense spending resulting from the war will become a permanent fixture in the budget.

Once that spending is built into the system, it doesn't come down. It becomes, you can think of it like a permanent thing.

Pending

Veterans care from the current conflict will result in tens to hundreds of billions of dollars in long-term costs.

If even a fraction of current troops qualify, then we're talking about tens or even hundreds of billions of dollars in long-term costs.

3 weeks ago Pending

Veterans care from the current conflict will result in tens to hundreds of billions of dollars in long-term costs.

If even a fraction of current troops qualify, then we're talking about tens or even hundreds of billions of dollars in long-term costs.

Pending

The current cost-ineffective strategy of using expensive interceptors against cheap drones is not sustainable in the long run.

So, that's not sustainable in the long run.

3 weeks ago Pending

The current cost-ineffective strategy of using expensive interceptors against cheap drones is not sustainable in the long run.

So, that's not sustainable in the long run.

Pending

Industrial expansion for weapon production will be a multi-year effort costing hundreds of billions of dollars.

This is a multi-year, hundreds of billions of dollars effort.

3 weeks ago Pending

Industrial expansion for weapon production will be a multi-year effort costing hundreds of billions of dollars.

This is a multi-year, hundreds of billions of dollars effort.

Pending

Rebuilding damaged military bases in the Gulf region will take years and cost billions of dollars.

It's going to take years and it's going to cost billions of dollars.

3 weeks ago Pending

Rebuilding damaged military bases in the Gulf region will take years and cost billions of dollars.

It's going to take years and it's going to cost billions of dollars.

Pending

The true cost of the war in Iran will be higher than reported due to the need to replace used inventory at higher current market prices.

It means that the real cost of the war is being understated because we're going to have to replace everything that we're using at today's much higher prices.

3 weeks ago Pending

The true cost of the war in Iran will be higher than reported due to the need to replace used inventory at higher current market prices.

It means that the real cost of the war is being understated because we're going to have to replace everything that we're using at today's much higher prices.

Pending

The war in Iran is expected to cost more than initial estimates.

Historically, wars usually end up costing more than expected.

3 weeks ago Pending

The war in Iran is expected to cost more than initial estimates.

Historically, wars usually end up costing more than expected.

Pending

There is a higher probability the Federal Reserve will print even more money later in 2026, which will be inflationary, contrary to their stated plans to decrease money printing.

after the talks have failed, it is my opinion that there's now a higher probability that they're going to have to print even more money later on in 2026, which is of course inflationary.

3 weeks ago Pending

There is a higher probability the Federal Reserve will print even more money later in 2026, which will be inflationary, contrary to their stated plans to decrease money printing.

after the talks have failed, it is my opinion that there's now a higher probability that they're going to have to print even more money later on in 2026, which is of course inflationary.

Pending

If the US-Iran situation escalates, the Federal Reserve will have to accelerate its rate of money printing beyond the current $40 billion per month.

However, they're currently printing about $40 billion a month. But if this escalates $40 billion a month, that's going to look like rookie numbers. So my concern is that they're going to have to accelerate the rate of money printing.

3 weeks ago Pending

If the US-Iran situation escalates, the Federal Reserve will have to accelerate its rate of money printing beyond the current $40 billion per month.

Pending

A slowdown in Europe and Asia (due to higher energy prices) will lead to declining demand for US exports, weaker global manufacturing/trade, and negatively impact US corporate earnings, financial markets, and economic growth.

If Europe slows down, demand for US exports declines. If Asia slows down, global manufacturing and trade weaken and that ultimately feeds back into corporate earnings to financial markets and economic growth in the US.

3 weeks ago Pending

Pending

Higher energy prices will slow down global trade.

So in other words, higher energy prices will slow down global trade.

3 weeks ago Pending

Higher energy prices will slow down global trade.

So in other words, higher energy prices will slow down global trade.

Pending

The current situation increases the risk of stagflation, potentially hitting Europe and Asia harder than the US.

But what this situation does is increase the risk of moving in that direction and this doesn't affect just the United States of America. In fact, Europe and Asia could be hit even harder.

3 weeks ago Pending

The current situation increases the risk of stagflation, potentially hitting Europe and Asia harder than the US.

But what this situation does is increase the risk of moving in that direction and this doesn't affect just the United States of America. In fact, Europe and Asia could be hit even harder.

Pending

Higher oil prices (leading to increased business costs) will result in higher prices across the entire economy.

If that happens, then those costs like those higher costs will get passed down to consumers and that's going to mean higher prices across the entire economy.

3 weeks ago Pending

Higher oil prices (leading to increased business costs) will result in higher prices across the entire economy.

If that happens, then those costs like those higher costs will get passed down to consumers and that's going to mean higher prices across the entire economy.

Pending

Escalation of the US-Iran conflict will disrupt oil supply and spike oil prices.

So any escalation in this conflict and of course there's going to be disruption. It's going to affect this, you know, the supply of available oil and it's going to spike up the price of oil

3 weeks ago Pending

Escalation of the US-Iran conflict will disrupt oil supply and spike oil prices.

So any escalation in this conflict and of course there's going to be disruption. It's going to affect this, you know, the supply of available oil and it's going to spike up the price of oil

Pending

If the US continues to harm allies, they will be less incentivized to buy US treasury bonds, leading to a weaker dollar and higher inflation in the US.

If we keep hurting our friends and allies, then it's not going to be incentive for them to buy our treasury bonds and lend us money, which means a weaker dollar and even higher inflation in the US.

3 weeks ago Pending

If the US continues to harm allies, they will be less incentivized to buy US treasury bonds, leading to a weaker dollar and higher inflation in the US.

If we keep hurting our friends and allies, then it's not going to be incentive for them to buy our treasury bonds and lend us money, which means a weaker dollar and even higher inflation in the US.

Pending

The Federal Reserve will eventually have to accelerate money printing to avoid a recession and liquidity problems in the debt bubble environment.

it is my prediction that sooner or later they're going to they're going to have to accelerate the money printing because again, we cannot afford a recession. We cannot have liquidity problems. Like it doesn't work in our debt bubble environment.

4 weeks ago Pending

The Federal Reserve will eventually have to accelerate money printing to avoid a recession and liquidity problems in the debt bubble environment.

Pending

Inflation will accelerate in 2026, with the most significant impact in the latter half of 2026 and throughout 2027.

I also said that we'll see an acceleration of inflation in 2026 with the brunt of it occurring in the back half of 2026 and 2027.

4 weeks ago Pending

Inflation will accelerate in 2026, with the most significant impact in the latter half of 2026 and throughout 2027.

I also said that we'll see an acceleration of inflation in 2026 with the brunt of it occurring in the back half of 2026 and 2027.

Pending

Higher diesel fuel prices will accelerate the rate of inflation.

if we have higher diesel fuel prices, then it's going to cost more money to farm, to mine resources, to ship, to make products, to also deliver. And of course, that's going to accelerate the rate of inflation.

4 weeks ago Pending

Higher diesel fuel prices will accelerate the rate of inflation.

Pending

There will be a reduced supply of oil due to damaged energy infrastructure in the Gulf that cannot be quickly repaired.

the energy infrastructure in the Gulf has been damaged and those damages they cannot be repaired very quickly which means that there's going to be a less supply of oil

4 weeks ago Pending

There will be a reduced supply of oil due to damaged energy infrastructure in the Gulf that cannot be quickly repaired.

the energy infrastructure in the Gulf has been damaged and those damages they cannot be repaired very quickly which means that there's going to be a less supply of oil

Pending

Energy prices will not quickly return to February levels (implying they will remain elevated) in the short term.

I do not expect energy prices to quickly return back to how it was back in February.

4 weeks ago Pending

Energy prices will not quickly return to February levels (implying they will remain elevated) in the short term.

I do not expect energy prices to quickly return back to how it was back in February.

Pending

Accelerated money printing will lead to further devaluation of the dollar, increased inflation, and greater wealth inequality.

I expect an acceleration of money printing. And that's going to lead to more devaluing of the dollar, more inflation, and of course, more wealth inequality.

4 weeks ago Pending

Accelerated money printing will lead to further devaluation of the dollar, increased inflation, and greater wealth inequality.

I expect an acceleration of money printing. And that's going to lead to more devaluing of the dollar, more inflation, and of course, more wealth inequality.

Pending

Oil prices will become more expensive due to the toll in the Strait of Hormuz, with costs passed to consumers.

due to the toll in the straight of Hormuz oil is going to become more expensive and that's that cost the additional cost it's going to be passed down to consumers you know making energy prices more expensive

4 weeks ago Pending

Oil prices will become more expensive due to the toll in the Strait of Hormuz, with costs passed to consumers.

Pending

Government money printing to fund wars will cause inflation, leading to an increase in home prices.

they're just going to print money to fund the wars, which of course is going to cause inflation, which is going to cause home prices to go up.

1 month ago Pending

Government money printing to fund wars will cause inflation, leading to an increase in home prices.

they're just going to print money to fund the wars, which of course is going to cause inflation, which is going to cause home prices to go up.

Pending

Mortgage interest rates will decrease if the current conflict ends and oil prices fall.

if the war ends and oil prices come down, then you're going to see mortgage interest rates go down.

1 month ago Pending

Mortgage interest rates will decrease if the current conflict ends and oil prices fall.

if the war ends and oil prices come down, then you're going to see mortgage interest rates go down.

Pending

Home prices will be close to flat in 2026, with no housing market crash.

2026 is probably going to be a boring year, close to flat. So, what I'm saying is basically no housing market crash again.

1 month ago Pending

Home prices will be close to flat in 2026, with no housing market crash.

2026 is probably going to be a boring year, close to flat. So, what I'm saying is basically no housing market crash again.

Pending

Housing inventory will not surge in the near future.

I do not see a flood of inventory coming online anytime soon.

1 month ago Pending

Housing inventory will not surge in the near future.

I do not see a flood of inventory coming online anytime soon.

Pending

Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in April (4.1% chance).

there's a 4.1% chance that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates.

1 month ago Pending

Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in April (4.1% chance).

there's a 4.1% chance that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates.

Pending

Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in April (95.9% chance).

there's a 95.9% chance that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in April.

1 month ago Pending

Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in April (95.9% chance).

there's a 95.9% chance that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in April.

Pending

Federal Reserve to make one interest rate cut in 2026.

the Federal Reserve is still projecting one interest rate cut this year in 2026.

1 month ago Pending

Federal Reserve to make one interest rate cut in 2026.

the Federal Reserve is still projecting one interest rate cut this year in 2026.

Pending

Core PCE inflation to be 2.7% by end of 2026.

back in December that they could bring it down to 2.5% by the end of 2026. Now they're saying 2.7%.

1 month ago Pending

Core PCE inflation to be 2.7% by end of 2026.

back in December that they could bring it down to 2.5% by the end of 2026. Now they're saying 2.7%.

Pending

PCE inflation to be 2.7% by end of 2026.

back in December, the Fed thought that they could bring it down to 2.4% by the end of the year, and now they're saying 2.7%.

1 month ago Pending

PCE inflation to be 2.7% by end of 2026.

back in December, the Fed thought that they could bring it down to 2.4% by the end of the year, and now they're saying 2.7%.

Pending

Unemployment rate to be 4.4% by end of 2026.

Back in December, the Federal Reserve projected that we're going to finish the year at an unemployment rate of 4.4%. And they left this projection unchanged.

1 month ago Pending

Unemployment rate to be 4.4% by end of 2026.

Back in December, the Federal Reserve projected that we're going to finish the year at an unemployment rate of 4.4%. And they left this projection unchanged.

Pending

US economy to grow at 2.4% in 2026.

Now, they revised it upward to 2.4%.

1 month ago Pending

US economy to grow at 2.4% in 2026.

Now, they revised it upward to 2.4%.

Pending

The private credit market is likely entering an adjustment phase after a period of rapid growth.

periods of rapid growth are often followed by periods of adjustments. And the private credit market may simply be entering that adjustment phase.

1 month ago Pending

The private credit market is likely entering an adjustment phase after a period of rapid growth.

periods of rapid growth are often followed by periods of adjustments. And the private credit market may simply be entering that adjustment phase.

Pending

The private credit market is currently experiencing early signs of stress, but it is uncertain if it will spiral into a full-blown crisis.

Will the private credit market navigate this period smoothly or will rising defaults create more significant problems? But right now the evidence suggests that we're seeing early signs of stress, not a full-blown crisis. Of course, the big question is, is it going to spiral out of control or not?

1 month ago Pending

The private credit market is currently experiencing early signs of stress, but it is uncertain if it will spiral into a full-blown crisis.

Pending

BlackRock and Blackstone will be fine, but some other private credit institutions will face serious trouble.

I'm sure that Black Rockck and Blackstone, they're going to be fine because they are the behemoths in the industry. You know, they have the capital. But some of these institutions, they're probably going to be in serious trouble.

1 month ago Pending

BlackRock and Blackstone will be fine, but some other private credit institutions will face serious trouble.

Pending

An interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June 2026 is still possible, despite rising inflation, as they could use various excuses to justify it.

But I'll tell you that this is my honest assessment that I wouldn't rule out an interest rate cut off the table in June. And here's why. Just think about it. It's very straightforward. They could always come up with lame excuses to cut interest rates in the face of rising inflation.

1 month ago Pending

An interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June 2026 is still possible, despite rising inflation, as they could use various excuses to justify it.

Pending

If the 'special military operation' (referring to the Gulf situation) does not deescalate, inflation will rise in March, April, and May 2026.

And if this special military operation does not deescalate or terminate soon, then you're going to have rising inflation in March, in April, in May.

1 month ago Pending

If the 'special military operation' (referring to the Gulf situation) does not deescalate, inflation will rise in March, April, and May 2026.

And if this special military operation does not deescalate or terminate soon, then you're going to have rising inflation in March, in April, in May.

Pending

The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at its April 29, 2026 meeting (87.3% probability).

The next Federal Reserve meeting is going to be on April 29th. And here were the odds of a rate cut before the CPI inflation reports. An 87.1% chance that they're not going to cut interest rates in April either. And here are the odds after the CPI inflation reports. So it barely moved. The odds that they will not cuts at that meeting changed from 87.1% to 87.3%.

1 month ago Pending

The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at its April 29, 2026 meeting (87.3% probability).

Pending

The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at its March 18, 2026 meeting.

The market expectation is clearly no rate cut in March. And I completely I completely agree with the the March expectation.

1 month ago Pending

The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at its March 18, 2026 meeting.

The market expectation is clearly no rate cut in March. And I completely I completely agree with the the March expectation.

Pending

If the situation in the Gulf continues, inflation in April 2026 will be 'even uglier' (higher than March) as businesses fully pass on costs to consumers.

So if this thing drags on in the Gulf, then April is going to be even uglier as the costs get fully or more pushed down from the businesses to the consumers.

1 month ago Pending

If the situation in the Gulf continues, inflation in April 2026 will be 'even uglier' (higher than March) as businesses fully pass on costs to consumers.

So if this thing drags on in the Gulf, then April is going to be even uglier as the costs get fully or more pushed down from the businesses to the consumers.

Pending

Inflation for March 2026 will be 'ugly' (high).

So listen, I'm just warning you that March is going to be ugly.

1 month ago Pending

Inflation for March 2026 will be 'ugly' (high).

So listen, I'm just warning you that March is going to be ugly.

Pending

Diesel fuel prices are up 33% year-over-year as of March 11, 2026.

So, diesel is at $4.83 a gallon right now. Last month, it was at $3.67. Last year, it was at $363. So, when you compare February of this year to last year, it was basically flat. No inflation there. But if you compare today compared to last year, that is a 33% increase year-over-year.

1 month ago Pending

Diesel fuel prices are up 33% year-over-year as of March 11, 2026.

Pending

The CPI inflation report for March (due next month, April 2026) will be 'ugly' (higher) due to rising energy prices, specifically gasoline prices which are up 16% year-over-year.

the CPI inflation report for March that's going to be due next month because of the higher energy prices. So I just want to give you a preview of what's to come. And here are the stats. As of today, in the US, the national average for a gallon of gasoline is at $3.58. Yesterday, it was at $3.54. A week ago, it was at $3.20. A month ago in February, it was at $2.94. And when you compare year-over-year, it was at $38. That's 16% higher compared to last year. So, I'm telling you that the next report for March, it's going to be ugly.

1 month ago Pending

The CPI inflation report for March (due next month, April 2026) will be 'ugly' (higher) due to rising energy prices, specifically gasoline prices which are up 16% year-over-year.

Pending

Prediction Statistics by Year

Year

Total

Correct

Wrong

Pending

Accuracy

Videos (2026)

Video Title

Predictions

Published

Status

Housing Market Crash: Why Home Prices Still Aren't Falling

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Housing Market Crash: Why Home Prices Still Aren't Falling

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The Real Cost of the Iran War Is Surging

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Inflation Surges Higher — The Fed is Now Trapped

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How to Invest in 2026 After the Stock Market Drop

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Jobs Report Surprises Again… No Rate Cuts Now?

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The Fed is Printing Money Again... And Inflation is Accelerating

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Stagflation Risk is Rising Fast in The USA

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Stagflation Risk is Rising Fast in The USA

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How to Build a Stock Market Portfolio With Just 4 Investments

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Housing Market Update 2026 — The Hidden Costs Are Surging

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Inflation Is Going Up… So Why Is the Fed Cutting Rates?

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Private Credit: The Next Risk in the Financial System

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Americans Are Struggling With Debt and Missed Payments

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CPI Inflation Report: Gasoline Prices Surging — Trouble Ahead

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US Debt Crisis: Warning From The Bond Market

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Jobs Report Disaster: Major Warning for the U.S. Economy

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Rising Gasoline and Oil Prices Increase Recession Risk

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Stock Market Reaction to Iran: De-Escalation Priced In (Big Risk)

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Stock Market Reaction to Iran: De-Escalation Priced In (Big Risk)

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Trump's 1 Million Homes Plan — Will It Fix Housing or Backfire?

2 months ago • 0 •

Trump's 1 Million Homes Plan — Will It Fix Housing or Backfire?

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Trump Tariffs 2.0 — The New 15% Tax on You

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Trump Tariffs 2.0 — The New 15% Tax on You

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Trump Tariffs Blocked — It's Official (Supreme Court Ruling)

2 months ago • 7 •

Trump Tariffs Blocked — It's Official (Supreme Court Ruling)

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Interest Rate Cuts Are Coming — Investors Need to Position Now

2 months ago • 5 •

Interest Rate Cuts Are Coming — Investors Need to Position Now

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Analyzed

Labor Market Warning: The Jobs Report Doesn't Add Up

2 months ago • 4 •

Labor Market Warning: The Jobs Report Doesn't Add Up

2 months ago

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Trump Predicts the Stock Market Will Double in 3 Years

2 months ago • 2 •

Trump Predicts the Stock Market Will Double in 3 Years

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Labor Market Warning: Layoffs Surge 118% in January

3 months ago • 0 •

Labor Market Warning: Layoffs Surge 118% in January

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Stocks, Bitcoin, Gold: The New Fed Chair Changes Everything

3 months ago • 7 •

Stocks, Bitcoin, Gold: The New Fed Chair Changes Everything

3 months ago

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The Fed and Interest Rates: Why Rates Aren’t Coming Down Yet

3 months ago • 0 •

The Fed and Interest Rates: Why Rates Aren’t Coming Down Yet

3 months ago

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Gold Keeps Going Up — Is it Too Late to Buy?

3 months ago • 3 •

Gold Keeps Going Up — Is it Too Late to Buy?

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Trump Is Forcing Mortgage Rates Down — Here’s How

3 months ago • 0 •

Trump Is Forcing Mortgage Rates Down — Here’s How

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My Silver Exit Strategy in 2026 — When I Plan to Sell

3 months ago • 5 •

My Silver Exit Strategy in 2026 — When I Plan to Sell

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Gold at Record Highs — Is a Crash Coming in 2026?

3 months ago • 3 •

Gold at Record Highs — Is a Crash Coming in 2026?

3 months ago

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Jerome Powell Under Criminal Investigation — Here's Why This Matters

3 months ago • 3 •

Jerome Powell Under Criminal Investigation — Here's Why This Matters

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Trump's 10% Credit Card Interest Rate Cap — What Happens Next?

3 months ago • 0 •

Trump's 10% Credit Card Interest Rate Cap — What Happens Next?

3 months ago

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Jobs Report: US Labor Market Frozen in 2026 (What This Means Next)

3 months ago • 5 •

Jobs Report: US Labor Market Frozen in 2026 (What This Means Next)

3 months ago

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Venezuela — Why This Matters for Americans and Investors

4 months ago • 7 •

Venezuela — Why This Matters for Americans and Investors

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IRS Cracking Down on Side Hustle Income (Avoid These Mistakes!)

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IRS Cracking Down on Side Hustle Income (Avoid These Mistakes!)

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The U.S. Can’t Afford a Recession — So They’ll Print Trillions

1 week ago • 0 • No captions

The U.S. Can’t Afford a Recession — So They’ll Print Trillions

1 week ago

No captions

De-Dollarization: The Petrodollar Is Under Attack

2 weeks ago • 0 • No captions

De-Dollarization: The Petrodollar Is Under Attack

2 weeks ago

No captions

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Predictions (2026)

Prediction Statistics by Year

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