Jobs Report: US Labor Market Frozen in 2026 (What This Means Next)

"there was a 13.8% chance that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates at that January 28th meeting... After the results, the odds of an interest rate cut at that meeting fell from 13.8% to now 5%."

"Before today's report, there is a 59.1% chance that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by then. And at that meeting after the results of today's jobs report, the odds that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates the same in March went up from 59.1% to 68.9%."

"They expect that the rate of unemployment will end this year, 2026, with an unemployment rate of 4.4%."

"Therefore, the expectation is that this situation that we're in right now, it's not going to get better. It's not going to get worse by year end. This is the environment that we're basically going to be stuck in for the rest of the year."

"The Federal Reserve projected that they're only going to cut interest rates one time this year by 0.25%."

"That new Fed chair is going to be much more aggressive with the interest rate cuts. At least that's expectation."

"I expect that the Federal Reserve is not going to cut interest rates at their upcoming meeting in January, January 28th."