ilmscore | Prediction Details
By Minority Mindset | December 22, 2025 | Correct
Interpreted Prediction
A hypothetical drop to a 4% mortgage rate would likely incentivize a significant number of people to begin house hunting again due to reduced monthly payments.
AI Evaluation Notes
Given the prediction that a 4% mortgage rate would incentivize people to start house shopping again, I checked if the mortgage rates have come close to 4% and if there was an increase in house hunting activity. While mortgage rates have decreased from their peak in late 2023, they have not dropped to 4%. However, there has been an increase in housing market activity as rates have come down from their peak indicating that the prediction was somewhat accurate.

Prediction Details

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