BTC
BTC
crypto
20.9%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 589
Pending: 2599
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
2026 is predicted to be a bearish year for Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and altcoins based on historical cycles and liquidity trends.
"historical crypto cycles and the liquidity cycle suggest 2026 is going to be a bearish year for BTC,..."
Jan 11, 2026
Pending
Bitcoin (BTC) is not immune to market manipulation, despite its size.
"That said, even large cryptos, including BTC, can be manipulated."
Jan 10, 2026
Correct
Even large cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin are susceptible to market manipulation.
"That said, even large cryptos, including BTC, can be manipulated."
Jan 10, 2026
Incorrect
Gold and crypto are predicted to bottom out around the same time, mirroring the pattern observed in 2018 and 2022.
"And yes, gold will probably bottom around the same time the crypto will, just like it did in 2018 an..."
Jan 6, 2026
Pending
A disconnect between cryptocurrency and global liquidity occurred around the summer of 2025.
"there was a disconnect between crypto and liquidity sometime in the summer of 2025."
Jan 6, 2026
Pending
The crypto market may have experienced a breakdown in spring 2025 due to market crashes triggered by 'Trump's liberation day tariffs'.
"our best guess is that something in the crypto market broke in the spring of 2025 when the markets c..."
Jan 6, 2026
Incorrect
Crypto prices are predicted to fall due to a liquidity drain from debt refinancing, creating a risk-off environment.
"crypto prices are also likely to fall, not because gold is falling, but because the liquidity drain ..."
Jan 6, 2026
Incorrect
Crypto prices are expected to begin recovering approximately three months after the announcement of emergency stimulus.
"And yes, once that emergency stimulus is announced, expect to see crypto prices start to recover aro..."
Jan 6, 2026
Pending
A small rally in the crypto market is anticipated in Q1 2026, based on an increase in liquidity.
"When you remember that crypto lags liquidity by 3 months, you understand there could be a small rall..."
Jan 6, 2026
Incorrect
Bitcoin is predicted to experience a massive rally in early 2026, mirroring gold's rally at the end of 2025.
"gold's massive rally at the end of 2025 should translate to a massive rally for Bitcoin at the begin..."
Jan 6, 2026
Incorrect
Following a potential short-term rally, the crypto market is expected to decline due to liquidity draining from the debt refinancing wall.
"after that small rally though, the crypto market is likely to fall as liquidity is drained due to th..."
Jan 6, 2026
Incorrect
Cryptocurrencies are predicted to remain 'softer' (less volatile or performing) until Bitcoin reaches new all-time highs.
"until Bitcoin is back at the all-time highs, cryptocurrencies are going to be a little softer."
Jan 5, 2026
Incorrect
Some investors are taking profits from Bitcoin due to its significant prior price appreciation.
"Bitcoin has already seen such a large price runup that it makes sense that some people are just taki..."
Jan 5, 2026
Incorrect
Bitcoin has experienced a large price runup, leading some investors to take profits. The speaker allocates a small portion of their portfolio to a Bitcoin ETF and dollar-cost averages into it.
"Bitcoin has already seen such a large price runup that it makes sense that some people are just taki..."
Jan 5, 2026
Incorrect
The speaker is optimistic that Bitcoin will be recognized as a digital store of value in the long term.
"But long term, I am optimistic that people are going to be looking for a digital store of value."
Jan 5, 2026
Incorrect
The speaker is optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects as a digital store of value.
"long term, I am optimistic that people are going to be looking for a digital store of value."
Jan 5, 2026
Incorrect
The speaker is long-term optimistic about Bitcoin as a digital store of value, expecting people to seek alternatives to holding dollars given continued money printing by the Fed over the next 10 years. The speaker allocates 10-15% of their portfolio to a Bitcoin ETF, an amount they are willing to risk.
"Now, even though Bitcoin's price swings like this are not unusual by any stretch of the imagination,..."
Jan 5, 2026
Pending
Prediction markets indicated a high probability of Donald Trump winning the 2024 US presidential election.
"Poly Market gave Donald Trump high odds of victory in October, at times approaching 100%."
Jan 4, 2026
Incorrect
Major financial institutions (City Bank, Bernstein, Standard Chartered) forecast Bitcoin's peak price to be between $150,000 and $200,000 in 2026.
"City Bank, Bernstein, Standard, Chartered, they are all forecasting the real peak to land between 15..."
Jan 2, 2026
Pending
Global liquidity models project the Bitcoin market cycle's peak to occur in mid-2026, rather than 2025.
"And according to global liquidity models, the cycle didn't peak in 2025. It is instead projected to ..."
Jan 2, 2026
Pending
Tom Lee predicts Bitcoin to reach $200,000 by the end of 2026, with a 'grind up' trajectory.
"Tom Lee from Fundstrat is predicting a super cycle where Bitcoin grinds up to $200,000 throughout 20..."
Jan 2, 2026
Pending
In early 2026, the trend in Bitcoin will be dictated by liquidity, specifically the expansion of the Fed's balance sheet and Global M2, rather than calendar-based cycles.
"First, forget the calendar. Watch the liquidity. Keep an eye on the Fed's balance sheet in Global M2..."
Jan 2, 2026
Pending
Global liquidity models suggest the Bitcoin cycle is projected to peak in mid-2026, not 2025.
"And according to global liquidity models, the cycle didn't peak in 2025. It is instead projected to ..."
Jan 2, 2026
Pending
Tom Lee predicts Bitcoin will reach $200,000 by mid-2026, characterizing it as a 'super cycle' with a slower, grinding ascent and a longer duration.
"Tom Lee from Fundstrat is predicting a super cycle where Bitcoin grinds up to $200,000 throughout 20..."
Jan 2, 2026
Pending
Major financial institutions (City Bank, Bernstein, Standard Chartered) forecast Bitcoin's peak price to be between $150,000 and $200,000 in 2026.
"City Bank, Bernstein, Standard, Chartered, they are all forecasting the real peak to land between 15..."
Jan 2, 2026
Pending
The period of 'easy money' in the Bitcoin bull run is over, but the 'smart money' is anticipated to continue its involvement.
"The easy money of the golden bull run might be over, but the smart money is just getting started."
Jan 2, 2026
Incorrect
The traditional four-year Bitcoin boom-and-bust cycle is considered dead and replaced by a secular bull market driven by liquidity.
"The four-year cycle as we knew it, the predictable clockwork boom and bust probably is dead, but it ..."
Jan 2, 2026
Correct
The traditional four-year Bitcoin boom-and-bust cycle is considered dead and replaced by a more robust, liquidity-driven secular bull market.
"The four-year cycle as we knew it, the predictable clockwork boom and bust probably is dead, but it ..."
Jan 2, 2026
Incorrect
Some individuals are making investment decisions in crypto based on predictions of Bitcoin's performance in specific future years (e.g., 2026), rather than fundamental analysis.
"People are investing not in crypto but based off of what Bitcoin might do in 2026."
Dec 31, 2025
Pending
There are predictions about Bitcoin's performance in 2026.
"Bitcoin might do in 2026."
Dec 31, 2025
Incorrect
The speaker is hosting an investor workshop on January 13, 2026, to discuss investment opportunities, implying anticipation of future market changes.
"And I should also remind you that this is one of the reasons why on January 13, 2026, I'm hosting a ..."
Dec 31, 2025
Incorrect
A prediction of Bitcoin reaching $150,000 per coin is being discussed as a speculative bet.
"Instead of owning Bitcoin, how about you bet on whether Bitcoin is going to hit $150,000 a coin?"
Dec 31, 2025
Incorrect
China is estimated to control between 14-20% of the global Bitcoin hash rate, indicating a resurgence of mining activity.
"According to recent data, China has quietly climbed back to control roughly 14 to 20% of the global ..."
Dec 27, 2025
Correct
Bitcoin mining operations in China are reportedly being disguised as AI compute centers or operating under state-owned enterprises to monetize excess energy.
"Many of these mining operations are reportedly disguising themselves as AI compute centers. or they'..."
Dec 27, 2025
Correct
China's current economic policy is focused on preventing a market crash, contrasting with the US Federal Reserve's goal of a soft landing.
"While the Fed is trying to stick to a soft landing, China is trying to prevent a crash landing."
Dec 27, 2025
Pending
Historically, increased liquidity from China has led to a rise in Bitcoin's price.
"And historically, when the East turns on the liquidity taps, Bitcoin tends to float higher."
Dec 27, 2025
Incorrect
Due to falling property prices and stock market volatility in China, Bitcoin is seen as the primary asset for Chinese citizens to move capital out of the domestic system.
"Chinese citizens are sitting on a record 160 trillion yuan in household savings. With property price..."
Dec 27, 2025
Incorrect
Proposed new rules in Hong Kong could allow insurance companies, with $82 billion in annual premiums, to invest in digital assets, with even a 1% allocation expected to significantly exceed current retail inflows.
"The Hong Kong Insurance Authority is proposing new rules that would allow insurance companies to all..."
Dec 27, 2025
Incorrect
A shift in Bitcoin reserves from US-based exchanges to offshore platforms in Asia suggests that Asian traders and entities are accumulating the liquid supply of Bitcoin.
"The Bitcoin exchange reserve ratio, which compares US-based exchanges to offshore exchanges, shows a..."
Dec 27, 2025
Incorrect
Despite the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong in April 2024, mainland Chinese investors have not been able to participate through the Stock Connect program due to explicit blocking of crypto ETF purchases.
"When the spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs launched in Hong Kong in April 2024, the narrative was that ..."
Dec 27, 2025
Correct
The Chinese government holds approximately 200,000 BTC in seized assets, valued at $12 billion, which could be sold to address budget shortfalls or economic bailouts, potentially impacting Bitcoin's price.
"Furthermore, the Chinese government is sitting on a massive pile of seized crypto, estimated at near..."
Dec 27, 2025
Incorrect
A cryptocurrency is predicted to increase from $130 to $5,000-$6,000 within 5 years.
"Imagine if you don't buy it at all and after 5 years the same crypto is at 5,000 or 6,000."
Dec 26, 2025
Pending
Bitcoin tends to benefit from lower interest rates and increased money supply. Rising interest rates in Japan could lead to higher global interest rates due to competition for money.
"Because anytime there's more money in the economy or lower interest rates, Bitcoin has generally ben..."
Dec 24, 2025
Incorrect
Bitcoin is expected to reach 100k for Christmas.
"I think I think basically everyone wants it to kick on to 100k for Christmas."
Dec 22, 2025
Incorrect
The portfolio competition trade for the week will be 100% allocated to Bitcoin.
"So, we're going into Bitcoin. How much are we going into Bitcoin, folks? Full port into Bitcoin agai..."
Dec 22, 2025
Incorrect
Key Bitcoin price levels to watch are 92.7K (50-day moving average) and 93.4K (year's opening price).
"If we keep up the momentum three key levels to watch. Uh first one is the 50-day moving average whic..."
Dec 22, 2025
Incorrect
A key Bitcoin price level to watch is 94.3K, representing the 61.8% Fibonacci level from the rally.
"levels, there's 61.8% Fibonacci level from the rally um pre of the lows to the highs, which is a 94...."
Dec 22, 2025
Incorrect
The options market is bullish, with $24 billion expiring on Boxing Day, a 2.6:1 ratio of calls to puts, and a max pain point at 96K.
"the options market look is quite bullish. We've got a big options expiry on Friday, Boxing Day. Uh a..."
Dec 22, 2025
Incorrect
Global liquidity is projected to trend upwards in 2026, suggesting that any dips in Bitcoin price caused by Japanese market actions could present opportunities for patient investors.
"with the Fed easing and global liquidity trending up for 2026, any dip caused by Japan could be an o..."
Dec 18, 2025
Incorrect
A potential 20% drop in Bitcoin to $75,000 or $70,000 should be viewed as a liquidity event rather than a fundamental breakdown of the crypto thesis.
"if we do get that 20% flush, if we do see Bitcoin test 75K or 70K, recognize it for what it is, a li..."
Dec 18, 2025
Incorrect