ilmscore | Prediction Details
By Wallstreet Trapper | June 3, 2024 | Incorrect
Interpreted Prediction
The speaker predicts a 'catastrophic' economic event, similar to or worse than 2008, which will lead to a significant increase in social problems such as crime, murder rates, child abuse, and suicide, as government support dwindles.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction anticipated a catastrophic economic event leading to increases in crime, murder rates, child abuse, and suicide rates, similar to or worse than 2008. However, available data indicates that murder rates plummeted by more than 20% in the U.S. in 2025, and the U.S. suicide rate fell in 2024 after hovering at high levels. While Japan recorded a slight decrease in child abuse cases, data from Utah and nationally indicate thousands of cases of child abuse were reported. The global economy is projected to slow, but not in a catastrophic way, from 3.3% in 2024 to 2.9% in both 2025 and 2026. Therefore, the prediction appears to be completely wrong.

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