ilmscore | Prediction Details
"after earnings what typically happens is there's an event that is called an IV crush this means that imply volatility is super high and then all of a sudden it will shrink down very very low and this means that a lot of these option contracts will also shrink down very very fast so when you sell this option contract for $425 or whenever or when I sell this and after earnings if the stock doesn't really go anywhere and IV shrinks down right people aren't betting on Amazon anymore this $425 will shrink down very very fast it will probably shrink down to maybe $200 or $100 or whatever it is"
By Steve | Call to Leap | April 20, 2024 | Incorrect
From video
How To Sell AMZN Cash Secured Puts (Beginner's Tutorial) 00:15:38 - 00:16:16
Interpreted Prediction
After Amazon's earnings report (before May 24, 2024), implied volatility (IV) for AMZN options will experience an 'IV crush,' causing the value of a $165 put option sold for $425 (expiring May 24, 2024) to rapidly decrease to $100-$200.
AI Evaluation Notes
The AMZN $165 put option expiring on May 24, 2024 closed at a price of $10. The prediction was that the value of the put option would decrease to $100-$200 after the earnings report, but the actual price was significantly lower, making the prediction completely wrong.

Prediction Details

Ticker
AMZN
Price at the predicted date
10 USD

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