ilmscore | Prediction Details
"after earnings if the stock doesn't really go anywhere and IV shrinks down right people aren't betting on Amazon anymore this $425 will shrink down very very fast it will probably shrink down to maybe $200 or $100 or whatever it is"
By Steve | Call to Leap | April 20, 2024 | Incorrect
From video
How To Sell AMZN Cash Secured Puts (Beginner's Tutorial) 00:16:00 - 00:16:15
Interpreted Prediction
The Amazon put option premium (initially $425) is predicted to drop to approximately $200 or $100 after earnings due to implied volatility (IV) crush, assuming the stock price remains stable.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction was made on 2024-04-20 and concerned the price of Amazon put options after an earnings announcement. Since we are past multiple earnings announcements since then, and the predicted price range ($100-$200) is significantly different from typical option prices, the prediction is considered completely wrong.

Prediction Details

Ticker
AMZN

Comments

Be the first to share your thoughts.

Like this prediction?

Join to make your opinion count.