"realistically we're not going to get rate Cuts anytime soon there's likely going to be a long road ahead of us especially if tariffs end up being passed back to the consumer and we're likely going to have to patiently wait for inflation to return back to 2% before we see any movements on interest rates"
By Graham Stephan | February 20, 2025 | Correct
From video
BREAKING: Trump Confirms NEW DOGE Tax Refunds – Billions Being Returned! 00:09:34 - 00:09:50
Interpreted Prediction
Interest rate cuts are unlikely anytime soon, and there will be a long road ahead, possibly exacerbated by tariffs passed to consumers, requiring a patient wait for inflation to return to 2% before any interest rate movements.
AI Evaluation Notes
Evaluated on 2026-04-19
The prediction accurately identified that interest rate cuts were unlikely for most of 2025 due to persistent inflation above the 2% target and the impact of tariffs on consumer prices. While rate cuts did commence in late 2025, this occurred before inflation consistently reached the 2% target, representing a minor divergence from the prediction's strict conditional statement.

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