By Graham Stephan | March 10, 2025 | Incorrect
Interpreted Prediction
70% of the $9.2 trillion U.S. national debt will need to be refinanced by June 2025.
AI Evaluation Notes
Evaluated on 2026-04-19
The prediction incorrectly identifies $9.2 trillion as the U.S. national debt, when it actually represents the amount of debt maturing in 2025. The claim that 70% of this amount ($6.44 trillion) needed refinancing by June 2025 is not supported by evidence; the net financing demand for the second quarter of 2025 was only $514 billion.

Prediction Details

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