From video
Interpreted Prediction
Futures and Options traders often experience beginner's luck and may escalate their lot sizes too quickly, potentially leading to overconfidence and significant losses, especially if the market is in a bull phase.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction suggests that beginner F&O traders often increase their lot sizes too quickly due to initial success, potentially leading to overconfidence and significant losses. While it's impossible to definitively quantify this, anecdotal evidence and general risk management principles suggest this is a common pitfall, making the prediction directionally accurate, though the specific magnitude of losses would vary.