Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that the real Bitcoin rally will commence after a 30-50% drop leads to calls for a bear market.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that a 'real Bitcoin rally' would commence after a 30-50% drop, leading to calls for a bear market. Between the prediction date of December 7, 2023, (Bitcoin price ~$43,250.82) and the target date of March 7, 2024, (Bitcoin price ~$67,209.75), Bitcoin did not experience a 30-50% drop. Instead, Bitcoin rallied by approximately 55.4% during this period, without the predicted preceding decline. While a rally did occur, it did not happen under the conditions specified in the prediction.
Prediction Details
Ticker
Target
The 'real rally' will begin
Predicted
date
After a 30-50% drop in Bitcoin and subsequent calls for a bear market