AI Evaluation Notes

The prediction stated that stocks and Bitcoin would experience higher prices *after a QE bomb is launched*. However, central banks (Federal Reserve and ECB) were engaged in quantitative tightening or maintaining their balance sheets during the period of January to April 2024, rather than launching a 'QE bomb' or initiating new quantitative easing measures. Therefore, the fundamental condition and causal mechanism stated in the prediction did not materialize. While Bitcoin prices did increase significantly from $42,786.25 on January 3, 2024, to approximately $68,960.29 by April 6, 2024, and the S&P 500 also showed an upward trend (from around 4,804.49 on January 1, 2024, to over 5,100 by mid-March 2024), these increases occurred without the predicted 'QE bomb' stimulus. Thus, the prediction, as described with its specific causal link, was incorrect.