Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that market participation will widen during the final blowoff portion of the stock market rally.
AI Evaluation Notes
While equity market breadth did show signs of improvement in March 2024, indicating some widening of participation, the stock market experienced a significant downturn in April 2024, with the S&P 500 declining by 4.16%. This contradicts the notion of a 'final blowoff portion of the rally' with continuously widening participation, as a blowoff typically precedes a market top followed by a more sustained decline or correction. The reversal in April suggests that the conditions for the predicted outcome were not fully met.
Prediction Details
Topic
Target
Participation to widen
Predicted
date
During the final blowoff portion of the rally