ilmscore | Prediction Details
By Mark Tilbury | September 9, 2024 | Correct
Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that every dollar invested at age 20 will be worth $88 by retirement, assuming investment in assets like the S&P 500 with a 10% average annual return.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction states that a dollar invested at age 20 with a 10% average annual return will be worth $88 by retirement. The compound interest formula is FV = P * (1 + r)^n, where FV is future value, P is principal ($1), r is the annual interest rate (0.10), and n is the number of years. A common retirement age in the United States for those born after 1960 is 67, though 65 is also frequently considered. Assuming a typical retirement age of 65, the investment period would be 45 years (65 - 20). Calculating with these parameters, $1 invested at 10% for 45 years grows to approximately $72.89. The predicted value of $88 is approximately 20.7% higher than this calculated value, which falls within the 'somewhat accurate' range (20-30% for prices) of the rating guidelines.

Prediction Details

Target
Every dollar invested at age 20 will be worth $88
Predicted date
by the time you retire

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