ilmscore | Prediction Details
By Andrei Jikh | April 19, 2024 | Incorrect
Gemini flagged this as a quote from another source, so it doesn't count toward author's accuracy metrics, but we still show the evaluation for transparency.
Interpreted Prediction
7% of economists predict a hard landing for the economy.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction anticipated a 'hard landing' for the economy in the short-term future following April 2024. However, economic data and reports from 2024 and 2025 consistently indicate that a hard landing did not occur. Instead, the U.S. economy experienced a 'soft landing' or avoided a recession, with many economists predicting this outcome.

Prediction Details

Target
A hard landing for the economy
Predicted date
Short-term economic future

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