ilmscore | Prediction Details
"I don't think so there's a first mover advantage in these businesses and in this business it makes sense to be the second and the third mo because the first guy comes he spends all the money you know he builds all the technology and then there's a smart guy who learns from this copies this and then you know has one up in the game he knows what mistakes to not make right and that's what happened with the blackberry right"
By Finance With Sharan | October 15, 2025 | Correct
From video
Why the Rich Are Moving From Cash to Gold | Money Printing, Inflation & India’s Opportunity | FWS 73 00:52:11 - 00:52:30
Interpreted Prediction
There is no first-mover advantage in many tech businesses. It is often more beneficial to be the second or third entrant, learning from the first mover's mistakes and technology.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that being the second or third mover is often more beneficial than being the first mover. There are examples in tech history that show that this prediction has been correct, such as Google Search being the second mover after AltaVista but ultimately dominating the search engine market.

Prediction Details

Topic
First-Mover Advantage

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