Interpreted Prediction
Jerome Powell predicted that the arrival of tariffs would cause inflation.
AI Evaluation Notes
Jerome Powell indeed predicted that tariffs would cause inflation, with multiple statements made around March and April 2025 affirming this. New tariffs were enacted and significantly increased in early 2025. Data indicates that these tariffs contributed to inflation, with one source attributing 10.9% of headline PCE annual inflation for the 12-month period ending August 2025 to tariffs.
Prediction Details
Topic
Target
Tariffs will cause inflation
Predicted
date
Once tariffs are enacted