ilmscore | Prediction Details
"it could be in the hundreds of billions or in the trillions of dollars analysts at UBS for example say that it's 500 billion so half of it just got Unwound but JB Morgan says it's $4 trillion so we're nowhere near it being over but no one knows all we really know is that we got really lucky this time around because Japan backtracked and was like we're not going to raise interest rates anymore just kidding but no one really knows the full size of the mother of all carry trades and how bad this could really get"
By Andrei Jikh | August 19, 2024 | Pending
From video
The Japan Bubble: How One Country Is Holding Up The Entire World 00:12:24 - 00:12:55
Interpreted Prediction
Estimates for the size of carry trades vary widely, from UBS's $500 billion to JPMorgan's $4 trillion, indicating significant uncertainty about their total scale and potential impact. The situation was mitigated by Japan's decision to not proceed with interest rate hikes.

Prediction Details

Topic
Carry Trade Size Estimates

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